Galician regional election, 2005

Galician regional election, 2005
19 June 2005
All 75 seats in the Parliament of Galicia
38 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered 2,616,811 1.9%
Turnout 1,680,202 (64.2%)
4.0 pp

  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Manuel Fraga Emilio Pérez Touriño Anxo Quintana
Party PP PSdeG–PSOE BNG
Leader since 1989 10 October 1998 23 November 2003
Leader's seat Lugo Pontevedra Ourense
Last election 41 seats, 51.6% 17 seats, 21.8% 17 seats, 22.6%
Seats won 37 25 13
Seat change 4 8 4
Popular vote 756,562 555,603 311,954
Percentage 45.2% 33.2% 18.7%
Swing 6.4 pp 11.4 pp 3.9 pp
Constituency results map for the Parliament of Galicia
President before election

Manuel Fraga
PP

 Elected President

Emilio Pérez Touriño
PSdeG–PSOE

The 2005 Galician regional election was held on Sunday, 19 June 2005, to elect the 7th Parliament of the Autonomous Community of Galicia. All 75 seats in the Parliament were up for election.

Overview

Electoral system

The Parliament of Galicia was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Galicia, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Galician Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a President of the Regional Government.[1] Voting for the Parliament was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over eighteen, registered in Galicia and in full enjoyment of their political rights.

The 75 members of the Parliament of Galicia were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of 5 percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Parties not reaching the threshold were not taken into consideration for seat distribution. Additionally, the use of the D'Hondt method might result in an effective threshold over five percent, depending on the district magnitude.[2] Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of A Coruña, Lugo, Ourense and Pontevedra. Each constituency was entitled to an initial minimum of 10 seats, with the remaining 35 allocated among the constituencies in proportion to their populations.[1][3]

The electoral law provided that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors were allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors were required to secure the signature of at least 1 percent of the electors registered in the constituency for which they sought election. Electors were barred from signing for more than one list of candidates. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election being called.[3][4][5]

Election date

The term of the Parliament of Galicia expired four years after the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. The election Decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Journal of Galicia, with election day taking place between the fifty-fourth and the sixtieth day from publication. The previous election was held on 21 October 2001, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 21 October 2005. The election Decree was required to be published no later than 27 September 2005, with the election taking place up to the sixtieth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament on Saturday, 26 November 2005.[1][3]

The President of the Regional Government had the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of Galicia and call a snap election, provided that it did not occur before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution under this procedure. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional President within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Parliament was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[6]

Opinion polls

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll. When available, seat projections are also displayed below the voting estimates in a smaller font. 38 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Galicia.

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls   Exit poll

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 19 June 2005 Parliament of Galicia election results →
Parties and coalitions Popular vote Seats
Votes % ±pp Total +/−
People's Party (PP) 756,56245.23–6.39 37–4
Socialists' Party of Galicia (PSdeG–PSOE) 555,60333.22+11.39 25+8
Galician Nationalist Bloc (BNG) 311,95418.65–3.93 13–4
United Left (EU–IU) 12,4190.74+0.06 0±0
Galician People's Front (FPG) 2,9820.18–0.03 0±0
Party of Self-employed and Professionals (AUTONOMO) 2,8400.17–0.12 0±0
Democratic and Social Centre (CDS) 2,4120.14New 0±0
We–People's Unity (Nós–UP) 1,7490.10New 0±0
Humanist Party (PH) 1,4290.09–0.18 0±0
Spanish Phalanx of the CNSO (FE–JONS) 1,0810.06New 0±0
Ourensan Democracy (DO) 6230.04New 0±0
National Democracy (DN) 5500.03New 0±0
People's Spanish Social Party (PSEP) 4200.03New 0±0
Republican Left–Galician Republican Left (IR–ERG) 4050.02New 0±0
Galician Identity (IG) 3760.02New 0±0
Social Democratic Party of Law (SDD) 2390.01–0.03 0±0
Blank ballots 20,9121.25–0.44
Total 1,672,556 75±0
Valid votes 1,672,55699.54+0.24
Invalid votes 7,6460.46–0.24
Votes cast / turnout 1,680,20264.21+4.05
Abstentions 936,60935.79–4.05
Registered voters 2,616,811
Sources[7][8]
Popular vote
PP
 
 45.23%
PSdeG–PSOE
 
 33.22%
BNG
 
 18.65%
Others
 
 1.65%
Blank ballots
 
 1.25%
Seats
PP
 
 49.33%
PSdeG–PSOE
 
 33.33%
BNG
 
 17.33%

Distribution by constituency

Constituency PP PSdeG BNG
% S % S % S
A Coruña 42.9 11 33.2 8 20.5 5
Lugo 48.9 8 34.5 5 14.5 2
Ourense 50.8 8 30.9 4 16.3 2
Pontevedra 44.1 10 33.6 8 19.2 4
Total 45.2 37 33.2 25 18.7 13

Aftermath

Investiture
Emilio Pérez Touriño (PSdeG)
Ballot → 29 July 2005
Required majority → 38 out of 75 ☑
38 / 75
37 / 75
Abstentions
0 / 75
Absentees
0 / 75
Sources[8]

References

Opinion poll sources
  1. 1 2 3 "LOS SONDEOS: Fallan con Fraga y Quintana; aciertan con Touriño". Libertad Digital (in Spanish). 19 June 2005.
  2. ↑ "PP gana elecciones pero pierde mayoría absoluta, según sondeos". Nación.com (in Spanish). 19 June 2005.
  3. ↑ "El PP pierde la mayoría absoluta en Galicia, con el 97,2% de los votos escrutados". ABC (in Spanish). 19 June 2005.
  4. ↑ "El voto de la emigración decidirá si Fraga recupera la mayoría o pierde el poder". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 19 June 2005.
  5. 1 2 3 4 "Elecciones Autonómicas 2005" (PDF). Infortécnica (in Spanish). 13 June 2005.
  6. 1 2 3 "Las encuestas publicadas este domingo en la prensa de Galicia mantienen la incertidumbre sobre si el PP obtendrá la mayoría absoluta (38 escaños), necesaria para continuar en el Gobierno". El Confidencial (in Spanish). 12 June 2005.
  7. 1 2 "Las encuestas ponen a Fraga al límite de la mayoría absoluta". 20minutos (in Spanish). 12 June 2005.
  8. ↑ "El PP de Fraga afronta la última semana de campaña sin mayoría absoluta". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 13 June 2005.
  9. 1 2 "Intención de voto elecciones autonómicas 2005. Total Galicia (Pulsómetro 13/06/2005)". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 13 June 2005.
  10. ↑ "Pulsómetro / El PP sigue sin alcanzar la mayoría absoluta". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 12 June 2005.
  11. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 "Barómetro diario. Elecciones Gallegas 2005". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 13 June 2005.
  12. ↑ "Pulsómetro / El PP perdería hoy la mayoría absoluta con claridad". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 11 June 2005.
  13. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 "Intención de voto elecciones autonómicas 2005. Total Galicia (Pulsómetro 11/06/2005)". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 11 June 2005.
  14. ↑ "El PP, con 35 escaños, perdería su actual mayoría absoluta en las elecciones gallegas". ABC (in Spanish). 12 June 2005.
  15. ↑ "El PP no asegura la mayoría absoluta ante el ascenso del PSdeG y el leve retroceso del BNG". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 12 June 2005.
  16. ↑ "Fraga se situaría cuatro escaños por debajo de la mayoría absoluta". Diario de León (in Spanish). 11 June 2005.
  17. ↑ "Fraga sigue al borde de la mayoría absoluta". La Razón (in Spanish). 12 June 2005.
  18. ↑ "Fraga se aleja de la mayoría absoluta en la recta final del 19-J". El País (in Spanish). 12 June 2005.
  19. ↑ "El PP se aleja de la mayoría absoluta". El País (in Spanish). 12 June 2005.
  20. ↑ "Las encuestas no se ponen de acuerdo en los resultados y dan a Fraga entre 34 y 39 escaños". Libertad Digital (in Spanish). 12 June 2005.
  21. ↑ "El PP aún puede conservar Galicia, pero el 70% quería otro candidato". El Mundo (in Spanish). 12 June 2005.
  22. ↑ "El PSdG supera por primera vez en intención de voto al PP en la provincia de A Coruña". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 8 June 2005.
  23. ↑ "Fraga revalidaría la mayoría absoluta con un ajustado triunfo sobre la alianza PSdG-BNG". Libertad Digital (in Spanish). 11 June 2005.
  24. ↑ Díaz de Rada Igúzquiza, Vidal (2010). Comparación entre los resultados proporcionados por encuestas telefónicas y personales: el caso de un estudio electoral. CIS. p. 128.
  25. ↑ "El PP sube por segundo día consecutivo aunque no alcanza la mayoría absoluta, según el cuarto Pulsómetro". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 6 June 2005.
  26. ↑ "Preelectoral de Galicia. Elecciones autonómicas 2005 (Estudio nº 2608. Mayo-Junio 2005)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 10 June 2005.
  27. ↑ "Estudio CIS nº 2608. Ficha técnica" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 10 June 2005.
  28. ↑ "El CIS pronostica que a Fraga le faltarán entre 2 y 4 escaños para la mayoría absoluta". ABC (in Spanish). 11 June 2005.
  29. ↑ "El PP recupera posiciones y el PSOE frena su ascenso, según el tercer Pulsómetro". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 5 June 2005.
  30. ↑ "El Pulsómetro de la SER elaborado por el Instituto Opina da al PPdeG entre 35 y 35 diputados en las elecciones del 19-J, lo que implica una ligera recuperación respecto a los datos del CIS. El Barómetro de La Voz de Galicia da una bajada al PPdeG de los actuales 41 escaños a 36". Galicia Digital (in Spanish). 5 June 2005.
  31. ↑ "El PP arranca la campaña gallega sin mayoría absoluta". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 3 June 2005.
  32. ↑ "Intención de voto elecciones autonómicas 2005. Total Galicia (Pulsómetro 03/06/2005)". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 3 June 2005.
  33. ↑ "El primer sondeo del barómetro diario de La Voz deja al PP sin mayoría absoluta". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 4 June 2005.
  34. ↑ "El PP perdería hoy la mayoría absoluta en el Parlamento por dos escaños". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 20 May 2005.
  35. ↑ "Situación política y social de Galicia, IX (Estudio nº 2603. Abril-Mayo 2005)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 31 May 2005.
  36. ↑ "Estudio CIS nº 2603. Ficha técnica" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 31 May 2005.
  37. ↑ "El CIS deja en minoría a Fraga y pregunta si el PP tenía que haberlo sustituido". ABC (in Spanish). 1 June 2005.
  38. ↑ "Los sondeos mantienen al PP muy cerca de la mayoría absoluta en Galicia". Libertad Digital (in Spanish). 8 May 2005.
  39. ↑ "Fraga se queda al borde de la mayoría absoluta". El País (in Spanish). 8 May 2005.
  40. ↑ "Fraga visita Uruguay y Argentina". LaRed21 (in Spanish). 11 May 2005.
  41. ↑ "Fraga tiene "casi asegurada" la mayoría absoluta en las elecciones del 19 de junio". Libertad Digital (in Spanish). 23 April 2005.
  42. ↑ "Fraga aprovecha la confusión territorial del Gobierno para adelantar las gallegas al 19 de junio". ABC (in Spanish). 22 April 2005.
  43. ↑ "Barómetro gallego, noviembre-diciembre 2004. Actitudes, valores y cultura política de los gallegos". USC (in Spanish). 27 January 2005.
  44. ↑ "El barómetro de la Universidad de Santiago vaticina la pérdida de la mayoría absoluta del PP en Galicia". ABC (in Spanish). 27 January 2005.
  45. ↑ "Confírmanse as expectativas de cambio político en Galiza". Vieiros (in Galician). 28 January 2005.
  46. ↑ "Fraga perderá la mayoría absoluta, según un 'barómetro' electoral". El País (in Spanish). 28 January 2005.
  47. ↑ "PSOE y BNG superarían en casi 12 puntos al PP si hoy se celebrasen elecciones". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 12 December 2004.
  48. ↑ "El efecto Zapatero pierde fuelle y dispara el recelo de los gallegos". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 12 December 2004.
  49. ↑ "Ampla vantaxe da suma PSOE-BNG e Quintana o único candidato con aprobado". Vieiros (in Galician). 12 December 2004.
  50. ↑ "La crisis del "Prestige" situaría a día de hoy al PP fuera del Gobierno gallego". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 21 February 2003.
  51. ↑ "El PP frena su caída en intención de voto y logra una leve recuperación". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 19 October 2002.
Other
  1. 1 2 3 "Statute of Autonomy for Galicia of 1981". Organic Law No. 1 of 6 April 1981. Official State Gazette (in Spanish). Retrieved 8 August 2017.
  2. ↑ Gallagher, Michael (30 July 2012). "Effective threshold in electoral systems". Trinity College, Dublin. Retrieved 22 July 2017.
  3. 1 2 3 "Parliament of Galicia Elections Law of 1985". Law No. 2 of 13 August 1985. Official Journal of Galicia (in Spanish). Retrieved 8 August 2017.
  4. ↑ "General Electoral System Organic Law of 1985". Organic Law No. 5 of 19 June 1985. Official State Gazette (in Spanish). Retrieved 28 December 2016.
  5. ↑ "Representation of the people Institutional Act". juntaelectoralcentral.es. Central Electoral Commission. Retrieved 16 June 2017.
  6. ↑ "Xunta and President Law of 1983". Law No. 1 of 22 February 1983. Official Journal of Galicia (in Spanish). Retrieved 8 August 2017.
  7. ↑ "Parliament of Galicia election results, 19 June 2005" (PDF). juntaelectoralcentral.es (in Spanish). Electoral Commission of Galicia. 13 July 2005. Retrieved 25 September 2017.
  8. 1 2 "Parliament of Galicia elections since 1981". historiaelectoral.com (in Spanish). Electoral History. Retrieved 25 September 2017.
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