Madrilenian regional election, 2007

Madrilenian regional election, 2007
27 May 2007
All 120 seats in the Assembly of Madrid
61 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered 4,458,989 0.1%
Turnout 3,001,200 (67.3%)
4.7 pp

  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Esperanza Aguirre Rafael Simancas Inés Sabanés
Party PP PSOE IUCM
Leader since 16 October 2002 26 November 2000 26 January 2007
Last election 57 seats, 48.5% 45 seats, 39.0% 9 seats, 8.5%
Seats won 67 42 11
Seat change 10 3 2
Popular vote 1,592,162 1,002,862 264,782
Percentage 53.3% 33.6% 8.9%
Swing 4.8 pp 5.4 pp 0.4 pp
President before election

Esperanza Aguirre
PP

 Elected President

Esperanza Aguirre
PP

The 2007 Madrilenian regional election was held on Sunday, 27 May 2007, to elect the 8th Assembly of the Community of Madrid. All 120 seats in the Assembly were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

Esperanza Aguirre was re-elected for a second term in office, with the People's Party (PP) winning a record absolute majority comprising almost 56% of the seats in the Assembly. The Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) obtained one of the worst party results since 1995, resulting in Rafael Simancas resigning as Secretary-General of the Socialist Party of Madrid shortly thereafter. United Left (IU) continued on its rising trend and won 2 additional seats.

Overview

Electoral system

The Assembly of Madrid was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Madrid, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Madrilenian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a President of the Community.[1] Voting for the Assembly was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over eighteen, registered in the Community of Madrid and in full enjoyment of their political rights.

All members of the Assembly of Madrid were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of 5 percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied regionally. Parties not reaching the threshold were not taken into consideration for seat distribution. The Assembly was entitled to one member per each 50,000 inhabitants or fraction greater than 25,000.[1][2]

The electoral law provided that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors were allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors were required to secure the signature of at least 0.5 percent of the electors registered in the Community of Madrid. Electors were barred from signing for more than one list of candidates. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election being called.[2][3][4]

Election date

The term of the Assembly of Madrid expired four years after the date of its previous election. Elections to the Assembly were fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous ordinary election was held on 25 May 2003, setting the election date for the Assembly on Sunday, 27 May 2007.[1][2][3][4]

The President of the Community had the prerogative to dissolve the Assembly of Madrid and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process, no nationwide election was due and some time requirements were met: namely, that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional President within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Assembly was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances would not alter the period to the next ordinary election, with elected deputies merely serving out what remained of their four-year terms.[1]

Opinion polls

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll. When available, seat projections are also displayed below the voting estimates in a smaller font. 61 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Assembly of Madrid (56 until 21 November 2006).

Color key:

  Exit poll

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 27 May 2007 Assembly of Madrid election results →
Parties and coalitions Popular vote Seats
Votes % ±pp Total +/−
People's Party (PP) 1,592,16253.29+4.81 67+10
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) 1,002,86233.57–5.43 42–3
United Left of the Community of Madrid (IUCM) 264,7828.86+0.36 11+2
The Greens (LV, LVM, LVCM, LV–GV)1 33,0441.11+0.14 0±0
Anti-Bullfighting Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA) 6,8770.23New 0±0
Spanish Alternative (AES) 5,0390.17New 0±0
For a Fairer World (PUM+J) 5,0240.17New 0±0
Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE) 4,2310.14+0.07 0±0
National Democracy (DN) 3,5180.12–0.01 0±0
Spanish Phalanx of the CNSO (FE–JONS) 3,1230.10+0.03 0±0
The Phalanx (FE) 2,6750.09+0.01 0±0
Citizen Unity Party (PUC) 2,0990.07+0.04 0±0
Madrid is Castile (MEC) 2,0740.07New 0±0
Spanish Democratic Centre (CDEs) 1,8160.06New 0±0
Humanist Party (PH) 1,7570.06+0.01 0±0
Madrid First (PM) 1,6670.06New 0±0
Union for Leganés (ULEG) 1,4220.05New 0±0
Liberal Centrist Union (UCL) 1,3350.04New 0±0
Democratic Innovation (ID) 5740.02New 0±0
Save Telemadrid Party (PSTM) 00.00New 0±0
Blank ballots 51,6651.73–0.01
Total 2,987,746 120+9
Valid votes 2,987,74699.55–0.06
Invalid votes 13,4540.45+0.06
Votes cast / turnout 3,001,20067.31+4.73
Abstentions 1,457,78932.69–4.73
Registered voters 4,458,989
Sources[5][6][7]
Popular vote
PP
 
 53.29%
PSOE
 
 33.57%
IUCM
 
 8.86%
LV
 
 1.11%
Others
 
 1.45%
Blank ballots
 
 1.73%
Seats
PP
 
 55.83%
PSOE
 
 35.00%
IUCM
 
 9.17%

Elected legislators

The following table lists the elected legislators sorted by order of election.[8]

Aftermath

Investiture processes to elect the President of the Community of Madrid required for an absolute majority—more than half the votes cast—to be obtained in the first ballot. If unsuccessful, a new ballot would be held 48 hours later requiring of a simple majority—more affirmative than negative votes—to succeed. If none of such majorities were achieved, successive candidate proposals could be processed under the same procedure. In the event of the investiture process failing to elect a regional President within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Assembly would be automatically dissolved and a snap election called.[1]

Investiture
Esperanza Aguirre (PP)
Ballot → 19 June 2007
Required majority → 61 out of 120 ☑
67 / 120
53 / 120
Abstentions
0 / 120
Absentees
0 / 120
Sources[7]

References

Opinion poll sources
  1. ↑ "Madrid: el PP revalidaría la mayoría en Asamblea y Ayuntamiento". Expansión (in Spanish). 27 May 2007.
  2. ↑ "Sólo Navarra y Baleares podrían cambiar de gobierno, según el sondeo de RTVE y FORTA". Europa Press (in Spanish). 27 May 2007.
  3. ↑ "Rajoy saca peor nota que Zapatero en los bastiones electorales del PP". El País (in Spanish). 20 May 2007.
  4. ↑ "Aguirre amplía su mayoría en Madrid". El País (in Spanish). 20 May 2007.
  5. ↑ "Gallardón y Aguirre ampliarían su victoria en Madrid con más del 52% de los votos". ABC (in Spanish). 20 May 2007.
  6. ↑ "Vuelco electoral en Navarra, Baleares y Canarias y aplastante victoria del PP en Madrid". Terra (in Spanish). 17 May 2007.
  7. ↑ "Encuestas autonómicas". Celeste-Tel (in Spanish). 17 May 2007.
  8. ↑ "El PP reforzará su mayoría en Madrid". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 20 May 2007.
  9. ↑ "La campaña por Madrid echa a andar con todas las encuestas favorables al PP". ABC (in Spanish). 10 May 2007.
  10. ↑ "Sondeo de Sigma Dos: El PP renovaría siete autonomías y podría perder dos". El Mundo (in Spanish). 12 May 2007.
  11. ↑ "Aguirre acaricia una ventaja de 10 puntos". El Mundo (in Spanish). 12 May 2007.
  12. ↑ "Elecciones 27-M / Sondeo El Mundo-Sigma Dos". El Mundo (in Spanish). 12 May 2007.
  13. ↑ "El PP revalidaría la mayoría en el Ayuntamiento y la Comunidad de Madrid". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 11 May 2007.
  14. ↑ "Pulsómetro 11/05/2007". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 11 May 2007. Archived from the original on 13 May 2007.
  15. ↑ "Preelectoral elecciones autonómicas, 2007. Comunidad de Madrid (Estudio nº 2696. Abril-Mayo 2007)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 11 May 2007.
  16. ↑ "La aritmética juega en contra del PSOE sólo en las islas Canarias". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 12 May 2007.
  17. ↑ "El PP de Aguirre y Gallardón se distancia de un PSOE estancado". ABC (in Spanish). 12 March 2007.
  18. ↑ "Aguirre y Gallardón ganan a sus rivales en valoración y arrasan en intención de voto". ABC (in Spanish). 12 March 2007.
  19. ↑ "El PP espera ganar por goleada". El Mundo (in Spanish). 28 March 2007.
  20. ↑ "Aguirre: el mejor resultado de su historia". El Mundo (in Spanish). 27 November 2006.
  21. ↑ "El voto en las comunidades. Elecciones autonómicas 2007" (PDF). El Mundo (in Spanish). 27 November 2006.
  22. ↑ "Aguirre y Gallardón aumentan su ventaja según una encuesta de SIGMA DOS-El Mundo". 20minutos (in Spanish). 27 November 2006.
  23. 1 2 "Suspiro de alivio en Génova con la última encuesta de Madrid". Semanal Digital (in Spanish). 17 September 2006.
  24. ↑ "Una encuesta encargada por el PSOE anuncia una mayoría de izquierdas". El País (in Spanish). 13 September 2006.
  25. ↑ "Rajoy saca peor nota que Zapatero en los bastiones electorales del PP". El País (in Spanish). 2 May 2006.
  26. ↑ "Informe Encuesta Comunidad y Ayuntamiento de Madrid. Abril 2006" (PDF). Instituto Opina (in Spanish). 2 May 2006.
  27. ↑ "Una encuesta asegura al PP la mayoría absoluta en la región, con 59 escaños". ABC (in Spanish). 12 December 2005.
  28. ↑ "El PP consolidaría su mayoría absoluta en Madrid y La Rioja y avanza en Andalucía y Castilla la Mancha". Libertad Digital (in Spanish). 19 December 2005.
  29. ↑ "Aguirre pierde la mayoría absoluta, según una macroencuesta encargada por el PSOE". El País (in Spanish). 15 May 2005.
  30. ↑ "Simancas niega su apoyo a Maragall por confundir "diversidad con privilegio"". ABC (in Spanish). 15 May 2005.
  31. ↑ "Enfado de Simancas por la encuesta de El Mundo: "El profesor Malo que se dedique a lo suyo"". Libertad Digital (in Spanish). 28 February 2005.
Other
  1. 1 2 3 4 5 "Statute of Autonomy of the Community of Madrid of 1983". Organic Law No. 3 of 25 February 1983. Official State Gazette (in Spanish). Retrieved 22 February 2017.
  2. 1 2 3 "Community of Madrid Electoral Law of 1986". Law No. 11 of 16 November 1986. Official Gazette of the Community of Madrid (in Spanish). Retrieved 22 February 2017.
  3. 1 2 "General Electoral System Organic Law of 1985". Organic Law No. 5 of 19 June 1985. Official State Gazette (in Spanish). Retrieved 28 December 2016.
  4. 1 2 "Representation of the people Institutional Act". juntaelectoralcentral.es. Central Electoral Commission. Retrieved 16 June 2017.
  5. ↑ "Summary and electoral results of the VIII Legislature". asambleamadrid.es (in Spanish). Assembly of Madrid. Retrieved 30 September 2017.
  6. ↑ "Assembly of Madrid election results, 27 May 2007" (PDF). juntaelectoralcentral.es (in Spanish). Electoral Commission of Madrid. 15 June 2007. Retrieved 30 September 2017.
  7. 1 2 "Assembly of Madrid elections since 1983". historiaelectoral.com (in Spanish). Electoral History. Retrieved 30 September 2017.
  8. ↑ Junta Electoral Provincial de Madrid: "Elecciones a la Asamblea de Madrid 2007" (PDF). Boletín Oficial de la Comunidad de Madrid (141): 69–70. 2007-06-15.
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