Next Galician regional election

Next Galician regional election
No later than 30 October 2020
All 75 seats in the Parliament of Galicia
38 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls

 
Leader Alberto Núñez Feijóo Luis Villares Gonzalo Caballero Míguez
Party PP En Marea PSdeG–PSOE
Leader since 15 January 2006 19 August 2016 8 October 2017
Leader's seat Pontevedra Lugo A Coruña
Last election 41 seats, 47.6% 14 seats, 19.1% 14 seats, 17.9%
Seats needed N/A 24 24
 
Leader Ana Pontón
Party BNG
Leader since 30 April 2016
Leader's seat A Coruña
Last election 6 seats, 8.3%
Seats needed 32
Incumbent President

Alberto Núñez Feijóo
PP

The next Galician regional election will be held no later than Saturday, 30 October 2020, to elect the 11th Parliament of the Autonomous Community of Galicia. All 75 seats in the Parliament were up for election.

Overview

Electoral system

The Parliament of Galicia is the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Galicia, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Galician Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a President of the Regional Government.[1] Voting is on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprises all nationals over eighteen, registered in Galicia and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Additionally, Galicians abroad are required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish: Voto rogado).[2]

The 75 members of the Parliament of Galicia are elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of 5 percent of valid votes—which includes blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Parties not reaching the threshold are not taken into consideration for seat distribution. Additionally, the use of the D'Hondt method may result in an effective threshold over five percent, depending on the district magnitude.[3] Seats are allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of A Coruña, Lugo, Ourense and Pontevedra. Each constituency is entitled to an initial minimum of 10 seats, with the remaining 35 allocated among the constituencies in proportion to their populations.[1][4]

The electoral law provides that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors are allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors are required to secure the signature of at least 1 percent of the electors registered in the constituency for which they are seeking election. Electors are barred from signing for more than one list of candidates. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election are required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election being called.[4][5][6]

Election date

The term of the Parliament of Galicia expires four years after the date of its previous election, unless it is dissolved earlier. The election Decree shall be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Journal of Galicia, with election day taking place between the fifty-fourth and the sixtieth day from publication. The previous election was held on 25 September 2016, which means that the legislature's term will expire on 25 September 2020. The election Decree shall be published no later than 1 September 2020, with the election taking place up to the sixtieth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament on Saturday, 30 October 2020.[1][4]

The President of the Regional Government has the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament and call a snap election, provided that it does not occur before one year has elapsed since a previous dissolution under this procedure. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional President within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Parliament is to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[7]

Parties and leaders

Below is a list of the main parties and coalitions which will likely contest the election:

Parties and coalitions Composition Ideology Candidate
People's Party (PP) Conservatism, Christian democracy Alberto Núñez Feijóo
En Masse (En Marea) Democratic socialism, Participatory democracy Luis Villares
Socialists' Party of Galicia (PSdeG–PSOE) Social democracy Xoaquín Fernández Leiceaga
Galician Nationalist Bloc–We–Galician Candidacy (BNG–Nós) Left-wing nationalism, Galician nationalism Ana Pontón

Opinion polls

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll. When available, seat projections are also displayed below the voting estimates in a smaller font. 38 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Galicia.

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead
SyM Consulting[p 1] 10–13 Apr 2018 2,500 62.9 41.1
34/37		 16.0
12/13		 21.7
17/19		 7.6
4/5		 8.6
4/6		 19.4
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 2][p 3][p 4] 18 Jul–28 Aug 2017 1,500 ? 45.9
40		 20.1
15		 17.8
14		 8.5
6		 – 25.8
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 5][p 6] 7–13 Jun 2017 855 ? 46.4
41		 20.7
16		 16.9
12		 9.2
6		 – 25.7
2016 regional election 25 Sep 2016 N/A 53.6 47.6
41		 19.1
14		 17.9
14		 8.3
6		 3.4
0		 28.5

References

Opinion poll sources
  1. ↑ "Estimación Abril 2018. Galicia. Autonómicas 2020". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 12 May 2018.
  2. ↑ "Feijoo sostiene su holgada mayoría, pero En Marea le arrebata un escaño". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 15 June 2017.
  3. ↑ "Los resultados de la encuesta". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 24 September 2017.
  4. ↑ "GALICIA. Sondeo Sondaxe. Autonómicas. Agosto 2017". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 24 September 2017.
  5. ↑ "El PSOE adelanta a En Marea a nivel nacional aupado por el efecto Sánchez". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 15 June 2017.
  6. ↑ "Resultados electorales. Elecciones generales en Galicia". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 15 June 2017.
Other
  1. 1 2 3 "Statute of Autonomy for Galicia of 1981". Organic Law No. 1 of 6 April 1981. Official State Gazette (in Spanish). Retrieved 8 August 2017.
  2. ↑ Reig Pellicer, Naiara (16 December 2015). "Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote". cafebabel.co.uk. Retrieved 17 July 2017.
  3. ↑ Gallagher, Michael (30 July 2012). "Effective threshold in electoral systems". Trinity College, Dublin. Retrieved 22 July 2017.
  4. 1 2 3 "Parliament of Galicia Elections Law of 1985". Law No. 2 of 13 August 1985. Official Journal of Galicia (in Spanish). Retrieved 8 August 2017.
  5. ↑ "General Electoral System Organic Law of 1985". Organic Law No. 5 of 19 June 1985. Official State Gazette (in Spanish). Retrieved 28 December 2016.
  6. ↑ "Representation of the people Institutional Act". juntaelectoralcentral.es. Central Electoral Commission. Retrieved 16 June 2017.
  7. ↑ "Xunta and President Law of 1983". Law No. 1 of 22 February 1983. Official Journal of Galicia (in Spanish). Retrieved 8 August 2017.
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