Colombian presidential election, 2018

Colombian presidential election, 2018
27 May 2018 (first round)
17 June 2018 (second round)
Turnout 53.37% (first round) Increase 13.29%
53.04% (second round) Decrease 0.33%

 
Nominee Iván Duque Márquez Gustavo Petro
Party Democratic Center Humane Colombia
Alliance Grand Alliance for Colombia List of Decency
Home state Bogotá Bogotá
Running mate Marta Lucía Ramírez Ángela María Robledo
Popular vote 10,373,080 8,034,189
Percentage 53.98% 41.81%
Candidate with the most votes in the first round by departments
  Iván Duque
  Gustavo Petro
  Sergio Fajardo

Candidate with the most votes in the second round by departments
  Iván Duque
  Gustavo Petro
President before election

Juan Manuel Santos
Social Party of National Unity

 Elected President

Iván Duque Márquez
Democratic Center

Colombia
This article is part of a series on the
politics and government of
Colombia

Presidential elections were held in Colombia on 27 May 2018.[1] As no candidate received a majority of the vote, a second round was held on 17 June.[2] Incumbent President Juan Manuel Santos is ineligible for re-election, having already served two terms. President Iván Duque is serving a four-year term from 7 August 2018 to 7 August 2022.

Electoral system

The President of Colombia is elected using the two-round system; if no candidate receives a majority of the vote in the first round, a run-off is held between the top two candidates.[2]

Legislation

According to the Colombian constitution, the citizens older than eighteen years old that are not part of the Armed Forces, that are not in an interdiction process and that have not been sentenced can vote. The people that are in detention centers, such as prisons and reformatories, can vote from the establishments determined by the National Civil Registry. The civil registry inscription is not automatic and the citizen must go to the regional office of the Registry to inscribe their personal identification in a polling station.[3]

The election of the President is made along with the Vicepresident's and their stay in office will be four years without the possibility of re-election. The election process is not done simultaneously with any other. Article 191 of the constitution establishes that the candidate must be Colombian by birth and be older than thirty years old.

The first round is held on the last Sunday of May, which by 2018 will be the 27th, and the winner will be the candidate that has obtained half plus one of the votes. In case none of the candidates obtains the votes, the two candidates who in the first round obtained the majority of the votes will go to the second round; the winner will be the one who gets the most votes.[4]

The agencies in charge of oversee the event administratively are the National Registry of Civil and the National Electoral Council.[5]

In the legislative act number 02 of 2015 establishes that the presidential candidate who obtains the second most votes will obtain a seat in the Senate and their Vicepresident candidate will obtain a seat in the House of Representatives.[6]

Blank vote

According to the sentence C-490 of 2011 of the Constitutional Court, the blank vote is a "political expression of dissent, abstention or nonconformity, with political effects" and adds that "the blank vote constitutes a valuable expression of dissent through which the protection of the voter's freedom is promoted. As a consequence of this recognition, the Constitution ascribes a decisive impact on electoral processes aimed at providing one-person and publicly elected public corporations."[7]

Main candidates

Party/alliance Presidential candidate Vice Presidential candidate
Colombia Coalition Sergio Fajardo Claudia López Hernández
Liberal Party/Indigenous Social Alliance Coalition Humberto de La Calle Clara López
List of Decency
  • Alternative Indigenous and Social Movement
  • Human Colombia Movement
  • Patriotic Union
 Gustavo Petro Ángela María Robledo
Grand Alliance for Colombia
  • Democratic Center
  • For an Honest and Strong Colombia
  • La Patria de Pie Movement
  • Partido Somos Región Colombia
  • Free and Fair Colombia
  • MIRA Party
 Iván Duque Márquez Marta Lucía Ramírez
Mejor Vargas Lleras Germán Vargas Lleras Juan Carlos Pinzón
We Are All Colombia Jorge Antonio Trujillo Fredy Obando Pinillo

Retired candidates

The Common Alternative Revolutionary Force declined its presidential aspiration on 9 March 2018, stating health problems of its candidate Rodrigo Londoño, as the reason.[8]

On 16 March 2018 Juan Carlos Pinzón ended his presidential campaign accepting to be Germán Vargas' Vicepresident candidate.[9]

Piedad Córdoba and her Vicepresident candidate Jaime Araújo Rentería retired their candidacy on 9 April 2018.[10]

Viviane Morales and her Vicepresident candidate Jorge Leyva Durán, of the Somos Región Colombia party, retired their candidacy on 2 May 2018.[11][12] Afterwards, Morales adhered to Iván Duque's campaign, while Leyva joined Germán Vargas Lleras' candidacy.[13]

Opinion polls

First round

2017

Polling organisation/client Date(s) conducted Sample size Candidate Margin of error Source
Alejandro Ordóñez Antonio Navarro Wolf Claudia López Clara López Francisco Santos German Vargas Lleras Gustavo Petro Humberto de La Calle Iván Duque Márquez Jorge Enrique Robledo Juan Manuel Galán Juan Carlos Pinzon Luis Alfredo Ramos Marta Lucia Ramirez Piedad Cordoba Sergio Fajardo Others Blank vote Don't know/No response
Invamer 2017-05-22 1200 4.9% - 6.0% 8.4% - 21.5% 14.2% 5.4% - 4.0% - 2.4% 7.7% 6.5% 2.8% 11.0% - 6.3% - 3.6% Caracol TV, Blu Radio, Semana
Cifras y Conceptos 2017-05-22 1769 6% - 10% 6% - 14% 13% 4% 2% 4% 4% - - 3% - 5% 6% - 22% 5% Caracol Radio, Red+ Noticias
Datexco 2017-05-26 900 1.1% - 3.6% 5.9% 1.1% 16.5% 7.6% 1.5% 0.9% 2.4% 4.1% 1.2% 1.6% 2.6% 1.9% 12.1% 4.2% - 31.3% 3.27% El Tiempo, W Radio
EcoAnalitica 2017-07-17 1285 - - 15.8% - - 15.1% 14.2% 3.1% 17.4% 7.2% - 0.9% - 2.5% - 8.8% - 8.2% 6.8% 3% Guarumo
Cifras y Conceptos 2017-08-03 1800 6% 1% 10% 7% - 13% 13% 3% 2% 4% 5% 2% 1% 1% - 8% 6% - 17% 5% Caracol Radio, Red+ Noticias
Datexco 2017-08-02 900 0.6% 2.2% 4.9% 6.7% 2.1% 5.3% 14.3% 2.5% 0.4% 2.9% 4.9% 2.2% 1.1% 2.5% 1.8% 10.3% 4.1% - 31.4% 3.27% El Tiempo, W Radio
Datexco 2017-09-07 900 2.1% 1.9% 5.3% 8.3% - 6.7% 11.2% 3.4% 1.3% 2.5% 5.6% 1.7% 1.5% 2.7% 1.3% 9.6% 5% - 29.9 3.27% El Tiempo, W Radio
EcoAnalitica 2017-09-08 1657 2.0% 1.8% 9.0% 3.3% - 8.3% 10.1% 3.9% 7.8% 3.7% 2.2% 1.6% 2.5% 2.1% 0.5% 6.9% 7.4% 20.7% 6.2% 2.6% Guarumo
YanHass 2017-09-16 1250 3% 3% 6% 3% 2% 11% 9% 2% 1% 2% 4% 1% 1% 2% 2% 7% 4.8% 23% 13% 3.3% RCN
Invamer 2017-09-28 1200 3.1% - 11.2% 3.2% - 12.5% 10.4% 8.3% 6.9% 5.3% 8.8% 1.2% - 4.6% 1.4% 21.0% - 2.1% 8.2% 3% Caracol TV, Blu Radio, Semana
Cifras y Conceptos 2017-11-26 1795 2% - 7% 5% - 14% 17% 10% 2% 3% - 1% - 2% 1% 15% 1% - 14% 4,5% Caracol Radio, Red+ Noticias
Invamer 2017-12-07 1200 1.2% - 6.9% 2.9% - 12% 14.3% 9.1% 8.4% 2% 3.6% 0.9% - 8.7% 2.2% 18.7% 2.1% 6% 14% 9.6% Caracol TV, Blu Radio, Semana

2018

Polling organisation/client Date(s) conducted Sample size Candidate Margin of error Source
Alejandro Ordóñez Clara López German Vargas Lleras Gustavo Petro Humberto de La Calle Iván Duque Márquez Juan Carlos Pinzon Marta Lucia Ramirez Piedad Cordoba Sergio Fajardo Viviane Morales Rodrigo Londoño Others Blank vote Don't know/No response
Guarumo 2018-02-02 2187 2.5% 3.2% 8.4% 12.5% 6.5% 12.2% 1.7% 5.8% 0.9% 14.6% - 1.6% 1.6% 6% 16.3% 4% El Tiempo, W Radio
YanHass 2018-02-02 1251 3% 3% 8% 13% 4% 6% 2% 2% 1% 14% 1% 1% 2% 6% 30% 2.2% RCN
Invamer 2018-02-02 1200 - 4.2% 15.6% 23.5% 11% 9.2% 3.4% - 1.7% 20.2% 2.2% 1.6% - 6.7% - 3 % Caracol TV, Blu Radio, Semana
Cifras y Conceptos 2018-02-02 2813 3% 4% 10% 16% 5% 8% 1% 5% 1% 19% - 1% 4% 7% 16% 4.6 % Caracol Radio, Red+ Noticias
Centro Nacional de Consultoría 2018-02-08 1187 1% - 10% 23% 5% 8% 2% 6% 2% 18% 1% 1% 1% 22% - 3.6% Noticiero CM&
Centro Nacional de Consultoría 2018-02-22 1175 2% - 8% 22% 5% 15% 2% 6% 1% 16% 2% 0% 1% 20% - 3.8% Noticiero CM&
Centro Estratégico Latinoamericano de Geopolítica 2018-02-28 1200 - 5.6% 13.5% 19% 7.3% 6.2% - 8.4% 5% 24% - - 3.5% 7.5% - 1% - 2.8% -
Cifras y Conceptos 2018-03-01 2960 3% - 8% 22% 4% 22% 1% 6% 1% 11% 2% 1% 1% 2% 6% 4.5% Caracol Radio, Red+ Noticias
Guarumo 2018-03-04 3425 1.5% - 6.3% 23.1% 4.1% 23.6% 1% 5.7% 0.3% 8.1% 0.8% 0.3% 1.5% 13.2% 10.5% 2.7% El Tiempo, W Radio
Centro Nacional de Consultoría 2018-03-08 1192 3% - 7% 21% 4% 38% 1% 11% 1% 12% 2% 1% 1% 18% - 3.6% Noticiero CM&
Invamer 2018-03-27 1200 - - 6.3% 26.7% 5% 45.9% - - - 10.7% 2.5% - - - - - portafolio.co
Invamer 2018-04-27 1200 - - 7.9% 31% 2.5% 41.3% - - - 13.3% 2% - 0.1% 1.9% 46.5% 3% Semana

Second round

Former candidate of Sergio Fajardo, leader of Movimiento Compromiso Ciudadano, announced his blank vote for the second round,[14] as well as former liberal candidate Humberto de La Calle, although his party joined Iván Duque's campaign.[15] The Alternative Democratic Pole joined Gustavo Petro's campaign, but a minority sector led by Senator Jorge Robledo (MOIR) decided to vote blank too.[16] The directive of Green Alliance let their followers choose between supporting Gustavo Petro or voting blank, but considered unacceptable to support Iván Duque.[17] Movimiento Mejor Vargas Lleras and the Radical Change party sent the program of their former candidate to Iván Duque to consider it for a future government, although there was not an official adhesion.[18] The Partido de la U and the Social Party of National Unity let their voters choose freely to vote for their preferred option.[19][20]

Polling organisation/client Date(s) conducted Sample size Candidate Margin of error Source
Gustavo Petro Iván Duque Márquez Blank vote Don't know/No response
Centro Nacional de Consultoría 2018-05-31 1323 35% 55% 10% - 3.05% Noticiero CM&
YanHaas 2018-06-05 1251 34% 52% 14% - 3.2% RCN, La FM, El Colombiano
Mosqueteros 2018-06-07 2147 38.3% 50.2% 11.5% - 2.17% JPG, MSM, Yamil Cure Ruíz
Invamer 2018-06-07 1200 37.3% 57.2% 5.5% - 2.83% Caracol TV, Blu Radio, Semana
Datexco 2018-06-08 1993 40.2% 46.2% 13.6% - 2.31% W Radio
Cifras & Conceptos 2018-06-08 1983 36.4% 45.3% 18.3% - 4.8% Caracol Radio, RED+ Noticias
Centro Nacional de Consultoría 2018-06-09 1591 38% 51% 11% - 2.8% Noticiero CM&
Guarumo 2018-06-10 3955 36% 52.5% 11.5% - 2.1% El Tiempo, W Radio
CELAG / Telesurtv 2018-06-11 2063 40% 45.5% 7.7% 6.8% 2.2% Telesurtv

Results

Candidate with the most votes in the first round by municipality:
  Iván Duque - Marta Lucía Ramírez
  Gustavo Petro - Ángela María Robledo
  Sergio Fajardo - Claudia López
  Germán Vargas Lleras - Juan Carlos Pinzón
Candidate Party/alliance First round Second round
Votes % Votes %
Iván Duque MárquezGrand Alliance for Colombia7,569,69339.1410,373,08053.98
Gustavo PetroList of Decency4,851,25425.098,034,18941.81
Sergio FajardoColombia Coalition4,589,69623.73
Germán Vargas LlerasMejor Vargas Lleras1,407,8407.28
Humberto De la CallePLC–ASI399,1802.06
Jorge Antonio TrujilloWe Are All Colombia75,6140.39
Promotores Voto En BlancoParty of Ethnic Reclamation "PRE"60,3120.31
Viviane Morales HoyosSomos Región Colombia41,4580.21
Blank votes341,0871.76808,1044.21
Invalid votes300,080–295,499–
Total19,336,13410019,510,684100
Registered voters/turnout36,227,26753.3736,783,94053.04
Source: El Tiempo Government

First round votes by department

Department Duque Petro Fajardo Vargas De la Calle Trujillo Morales
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Amazonas 7,114 39.02% 5,931 32.53% 2,693 14.77% 1,295 7.10% 739 4.05% 87 0.47% 51 0.27%
Antioquia 1,367,745 53.10% 238,440 9.25% 731,609 28.40% 99,642 3.86% 59,974 2.32% 7,626 0.29% 5,203 0.20%
Arauca 49,415 56.70% 17,824 20.45% 12,036 13.81% 3,336 3.82% 1,588 1.82% 395 0.45% 229 0.26%
Atlántico 234,045 27.18% 331,687 38.52% 85,634 9.94% 171,968 19.97% 16,728 1.94% 3,872 0.44% 2,244 0.26%
Bogotá 983,931 26.78% 1,098,478 29.90% 1,240,799 33.77% 172,158 4.68% 93,830 2.55% 13,959 0.37% 6,354 0.17%
Bolívar 256,732 40.61% 242,378 38.33% 55,468 8.77% 52,111 8.24% 10,304 1.62% 2,544 0.40% 1,616 0.25%
Boyacá 225,146 40.81% 122,686 22.24% 148,029 26.83% 29,967 5.43% 10,647 1.93% 1,959 0.35% 1,321 0.23%
Cauca 107,141 22.84% 230,919 49.24% 60,891 12.98% 42,032 8.96% 13,128 2.79% 2,533 0.54% 1,228 0.26%
Cesar 171,647 43.60% 141,502 35.94% 29,021 7.37% 39,281 9.97% 3,112 0.79% 1,831 0.46% 948 0.24%
Chocó 30,136 26.14% 49,552 42.98% 3,834 3.32% 24,343 21.11% 3,843 3.33% 536 0.46% 504 0.43%
Caldas 190,557 42.91% 34,694 7.81% 161,420 36.35% 30,784 6.93% 14,322 3.22% 1,449 0.32% 1,215 0.27%
Córdoba 228,190 38.70% 249,303 42.28% 22,396 3.79% 66,728 11.31% 10,448 1.77% 3,186 0.54% 1,387 0.23%
Caquetá 67,884 52.23% 29,965 23.05% 21,157 16.28% 3,497 2.69% 2,675 2.05% 443 0.34% 381 0.29%
Casanare 107,131 60.25% 23,130 13.00% 38,047 21.39% 3,445 1.93% 1,473 0.82% 579 0.32% 371 0.20%
Cundinamarca 475,359 40.13% 236,862 19.99% 328,519 27.73% 85,862 7.24% 20,567 1.73% 5,115 0.43% 2,810 0.23%
Guainía 3,872 40.92% 2,126 22.47% 1,218 12.87% 1,839 19.43% 185 1.95% 45 0.47% 27 0.28%
Guaviare 11,488 46.13% 5,762 23.13% 3,869 15.53% 1,646 6.60% 927 3.72% 141 0.56% 85 0.34%
Huila 240,669 53.48% 95,270 21.17% 77,837 17.29% 17,623 3.91% 7,155 1.59% 1,067 0.23% 798 0.17%
La Guajira 76,137 38.51% 85,149 43.07% 10,243 5.18% 18,010 9.11% 3,492 1.76% 889 0.44% 481 0.24%
Magdalena 160,752 38.23% 143,107 34.03% 28,233 6.71% 71,896 17.10% 6,811 1.62% 1,833 0.43% 992 0.23%
Meta 211,322 49.36% 75,945 17.73% 101,987 23.82% 21,473 5.01% 4,737 1.10% 1,832 0.42% 855 0.19%
Nariño 134,455 26.09% 238,683 46.33% 70,707 13.72% 44,709 8.67% 10,455 2.02% 1,376 0.26% 1,333 0.25%
Norte de Santander 377,152 61.00% 56,848 9.19% 102,210 16.53% 63,525 10.27% 6,108 0.98% 2,424 0.39% 1,091 0.17%
Putumayo 23,136 22.81% 60,520 59.68% 9,788 9.65% 1,850 1.82% 2,973 2.93% 253 0.24% 200 0.19%
Quindío 109,072 41.92% 30,357 11.66% 97,741 37.57% 11,861 4.55% 4,335 1.66% 1,010 0.38% 480 0.18%
Risaralda 175,159 40.38% 54,207 12.49% 164,736 37.98% 20,657 4.76% 7,645 1.76% 1,054 0.24% 816 0.18%
San Andrés y Providencia 5,691 44.71% 2,361 18.55% 1,986 15.60% 1,507 11.84% 655 5.14% 150 1.17% 32 0.25%
Santander 439,664 44.35% 171,806 17.33% 271,849 27.42% 63,762 6.43% 17,250 1.74% 4,180 0.42% 2,059 0.20%
Sucre 129,004 37.00% 154,208 44.23% 12,041 3.45% 40,761 11.69% 4,805 1.37% 2,121 0.60% 937 0.26%
Tolima 284,138 49.59% 95,458 16.66% 117,874 20.57% 49,266 8.59% 11,775 2.05% 2,112 0.36% 1,217 0.21%
Valle del Cauca 523,898 29.97% 485,943 27.80% 499,925 28.60% 137,245 7.85% 40,923 2.34% 8,523 0.48% 3,684 0.21%
Vaupés 1,013 15.09% 2,514 37.47% 553 8.24% 1,359 20.25% 1,141 17.00% 24 0.35% 21 0.31%
Vichada 8,466 53.68% 3,244 20.57% 1,513 9.59% 1,962 12.44% 207 1.31% 68 0.43% 88 0.55%
Source: El Tiempo

Second round votes by department

Candidate with the most votes in the second round by municipality:
  Iván Duque - Marta Lucía Ramírez
  Gustavo Petro - Ángela María Robledo
Department Iván Duque Gustavo Petro
Votes % Votes %
Amazonas 9 962 50.42% 9 324 47.19%
Antioquia 1 844 027 72.53% 558 514 21.97%
Arauca 59 417 64.94% 28 858 31.54%
Atlántico 342 866 42.82% 440 103 54.96%
Bogotá 1 447 685 40.98% 1 884 869 53.35%
Bolívar 345 415 51.18% 316 670 46.92%
Boyacá 308 733 54.81% 233 755 41.50%
Cauca 160 191 32.19% 323 443 65.00%
Cesar 216 750 54.24% 174 175 43.58%
Chocó 46 289 39.21% 69 448 58.82%
Caldas 283 920 65.67% 121 476 28.09%
Córdoba 310 231 50.16% 298 944 48.34%
Caquetá 79 689 62.17% 43 511 33.94%
Casanare 127 906 72.78% 41 559 23.64%
Consulates 180 995 69.91% 69 558 26.86%
Cundinamarca 658 212 56.48% 452 307 38.81%
Guainía 5 873 57.06% 4 097 39.80%
Guaviare 15 755 58.35% 9 838 36.43%
Huila 296 245 64.71% 146 530 32.01%
La Guajira 106 328 49.89% 103 271 48.45%
Magdalena 226 136 51.83% 201 567 46.20%
Meta 264 513 63.95% 131 819 31.87%
Nariño 192 588 33.53% 366 673 63.85%
Norte de Santander 486 004 77.89% 112 496 18.03%
Putumayo 30 918 27.88% 77 220 69.63%
Quindío 156 973 62.76% 78 071 31.21%
Risaralda 257 267 61.57% 136 646 32.70%
San Andrés y Providencia 9 303 61.20% 5 282 34.75%
Santander 591 714 60.30% 345 224 35.18%
Sucre 171 322 48.25% 178 934 50.39%
Tolima 379 766 65.89% 174 655 30.30%
Valle del Cauca 746 819 43.66% 885 289 51.76%
Vaupés 3 096 38.75% 4 759 59.56%
Vichada 10 172 63.94% 5 304 33.34%

References

  1. ↑ Resolution No 5552 National Civil Registry (Colombia)
  2. 1 2 Explainer: Colombia's 2018 Elections AS/COA, 28 June 2017
  3. ↑ Colombia. "¿Cómo funciona el proceso de inscripción de cédulas?". Colombia.
  4. ↑ MOE. "Sistema Electoral Elecciones Generales". Colombia.com.
  5. ↑ "¿Cuáles organismos conforman la Organización Electoral y cuáles son sus funciones?". Colombia.com.
  6. ↑ Secretaria General del Senado. "Acto Legislativo número 02 de 2015". secretariasenado.gov.co (in Spanish). Retrieved 5 March 2018.
  7. ↑ Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil. "Voto en Blanco". Retrieved 18 January 2013.
  8. ↑ Manetto, Francesco (9 March 2018). "Las FARC retiran su candidatura a la presidencia de Colombia". El País (in Spanish). ISSN 1134-6582. Retrieved 31 May 2018.
  9. ↑ "Vargas Lleras confirma a Juan Carlos Pinzón como fórmula vicepresidencial | ELESPECTADOR.COM". ELESPECTADOR.COM (in Spanish). 16 March 2018. Retrieved 31 May 2018.
  10. ↑ Bonces, Eduardo. "Piedad Córdoba no despegó y se retiró". www.elcolombiano.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 10 April 2018.
  11. ↑ Muñoz, Leonardo. "Viviane Morales Renuncia a su candidatura presidencial". www.eltiempo.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 2 May 2018.
  12. ↑ "Viviane Morales renunció a su candidatura presidencial". www.lafm.com.co (in Spanish). Retrieved 2 May 2018.
  13. ↑ Marulanda, Olga Patricia Rendón. "Partido de Viviane Morales se dividió entre Duque y Vargas Lleras". www.elcolombiano.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 31 May 2018.
  14. ↑ "Ni Petro, ni Duque: Sergio Fajardo anuncia que votará en blanco" (in Spanish). Semana. 31 May 2018. Retrieved 13 June 2018.
  15. ↑ "Humberto de la Calle votará en blanco" (in Spanish). Semana. 31 May 2018. Retrieved 13 June 2018.
  16. ↑ "Polo Democrático se decide por Gustavo Petro" (in Spanish). El Espectador. 31 May 2018. Retrieved 13 June 2018.
  17. ↑ "Alianza Verde convoca a votar contra Duque" (in Spanish). El Espectador. 31 May 2018. Retrieved 13 June 2018.
  18. ↑ "Cambio Radical entrega a Duque el programa de gobierno de Vargas Lleras" (in Spanish). Semana. 28 May 2018. Retrieved 13 June 2018.
  19. ↑ "Partido de la U deja en libertad a sus electores" (in Spanish). El Colombiano. 29 May 2018. Retrieved 13 June 2018.
  20. ↑ "La ASI deja en libertad a su militancia de cara a la segunda vuelta" (in Spanish). El Heraldo. 12 June 2018. Retrieved 13 June 2018.
This article is issued from Wikipedia. The text is licensed under Creative Commons - Attribution - Sharealike. Additional terms may apply for the media files.