2020 Dominican Republic general election
General elections will be held in the Dominican Republic on 5 July 2020 to elect a president, vice-president, 32 senators and 190 deputies. They had originally been planned for 17 May, but were postponed due to the coronavirus pandemic.[1][2] They are the second elections since 1994 in which all positions will be elected simultaneously, and the first in Dominican history in which all authorities will be elected simultaneously and directly.[3][4][5][6] If no presidential candidate wins in the first round of voting, there will be a run-off.
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| This article is part of a series on the politics and government of the Dominican Republic |
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Legislature |
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Incumbent President Danilo Medina is ineligible to stand for re-election, having served two consecutive terms since 2012.
Electoral system
The President of the Dominican Republic is elected using the two-round system; if no candidate receives more than 50% + 1 vote of the total votes, a second-round runoff will be held between the two candidates with the highest votes on the first round.
The 32 members of the Senate are elected from the 31 provinces and the Distrito Nacional using first-past-the-post voting.[7]
The 190 members of the Chamber of Deputies are elected in three groups; 178 are elected by proportional representation from 32 multi-member constituencies based on the 31 provinces and the Distrito Nacional, with the number of seats based on the population of each province. A further seven members are elected by proportional representation by Dominican expatriates in 3 overseas constituencies, and five seats are allocated at the national level to parties that received at least 1% of the vote nationally, giving preference to those that did not win any of the 178 constituency seats.[8]
The 20 seats in the Central American Parliament are elected by proportional representation.
Presidential candidates
| Party | Presidential candidate | Vice presidential candidate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dominican Liberation Party (PLD) | Gonzalo Castillo[9] | Margarita Cedeño | |
| Modern Revolutionary Party (PRM) | Luis Abinader[9] | Raquel Peña | |
| Fuerza Del Pueblo (FP) | Leonel Fernández | Sergia Elena de Séliman | |
| Alianza País (ALPAÍS) | Guillermo Moreno García[9] | Agustín González Morel | |
| National Citizen Will Party (PNVC) | Juan Cohen | Hugo McFarlane Kaluche | |
| Partido Demócrata Institucional (PDI) | Ismael Reyes Cruz | Frank Gene Troncoso Haché | |
Opinion polls
President
| Pollster | Date(s) | Castillo (PLD) |
Abinander (PRM) |
Fernandez (FP) |
Moreno (ALPAIS) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Centro Económico del Cibao | 11–13 October 2019 | 29.7% | 43.7% | 23.6% | |
| Centro Económico del Cibao | 3–5 November 2019 | 31% | 42.9% | 18.4% | 1.9% |
| Centro Economico del Cibao[10][11] | 29 November–1 December 2019 | 25.6% | 46.6% | 24.4% | |
| Pool Logistic SRL | 1–5 December 2019 | 49% | 36% | 3.9% | |
| Ideame | 3–10 December 2019 | 31.8% | 47.5% | 18.3% | |
| ABC Marketing | 10–14 December 2019 | 22.6% | 47.3% | 20.9% | |
| Sigma Dos | 15–17 December 2019 | 39.9% | 35% | 8% | |
| Mark Penn/Stagwell | 8–10 January 2020 | 28% | 43% | 19% | |
| Gallup-RD | 16–21 January 2020 | 31.4% | 42.2% | 15.5% | 1.2% |
| Gallup-Hoy | 16–21 January 2020 | 31.7% | 44.9% | 19.3% | |
| CIES International | 31 January–2 February 2020 | 35% | 37% | 11% | 3% |
| Greenberg-Diario Libre | 21–24 February 2020 | 24% | 52% | 17% | 2% |
| CIES International | 23–25 February 2020 | 28.8% | 43.7% | 12.6% | 6.4% |
| CIMERAN< | 28–29 February 2020 | 25% | 52.5% | 17.5% | 3.5% |
| Centro Económico del Cibao | 28 February–5 March 2020 | 21.0% | 55.1% | 15.6% | |
| Sigma Dos | 2–7 April 2020 | 38.8% | 36.6% | 9.6% | |
| Horizon Research LLC | 7 April 2020 | 23.6% | 43.9% | 31.2% | |
| Global Trend Research | 12–15 April 2020 | 22.9% | 43.1% | 30.4% | 0.8% |
| ASISA | 13–19 April 2020 | 20.4% | 44% | 29.1% | |
| JB Consulting Group | 14–20 April 2020 | 46.6% | 31.1% | 3.6% | |
| APD Consulting Group | 17–20 April 2020 | 24.1% | 54.4% | 11.8% | 4.6% |
| CIES International | 17–20 April 2020 | 33% | 39% | 9% | 4% |
| Centro Economico del Cibao | 18–19 April 2020 | 23.7% | 53.4% | 7.3% | 1% |
| Polimetrics | 22–25 April 2020 | 40.8% | 38.3% | 9.3% | 1.9% |
| CID Latinoamericana | 22–23 April 2020 | 40% | 38% | 8% | |
| New Partners | 23–26 April 2020 | 27.4% | 52.1% | 9.9% | 2.1% |
| Market Reports | 25–27 April 2020 | 22.4% | 42.8% | 31.2% | |
| Mercado & Cuantificaciones | 27–29 April 2020 | 30.3% | 52.3% | 12.3% | 1.7% |
| GIDL | 26 April–1 May 2020 | 23.2% | 41.9% | 32.4% | |
| Datamarket | 1–3 May 2020 | 26% | 46% | 21% | 2% |
| Horizon Research LCC | 3–7 May 2020 | 22.8% | 41.3% | 22.8% | |
| Effective Project Comunications | 4–7 May 2020 | 29% | 49% | 16% | 3% |
| Polimetric | 4–9 May 2020 | 40.4% | 37.7% | 8.8% | |
| Centro Economico del Cibao | 11–12 May 2020 | 35.2% | 53.9% | 9.5% | |
| ABC Marketing | 13–16 May 2020 | 26.5% | 55.6% | 14.5% | |
| SISGLO | 17–20 May 2020 | 24.1% | 40.6% | 33.8% | |
| Centro Economico del Cibao | 18–19 May 2020 | 34.6% | 53.3% | 9.9% | 2.2% |
| Elections & Proyect Corp | 20–22 May 2020 | 21.8% | 42.1% | 33.9% | |
| IDEAME | 18–23 May 2020 | 31.5% | 51.8% | 14.3% | 1% |
| José Dorín Cabrera Mercadología | 21–23 May 2020 | 46.9% | 36.7% | 9.5% | 2.2% |
| Mark Penn/Stagwell | 20–25 May 2020 | 37% | 39% | 10% | |
| APD Consulting Group | 21–25 May 2020 | 34.4% | 51.6% | 11.6% | 2.3% |
| CID Latinoamericana[12][13] | 23–24 May 2020 | 41% | 39% | 10% | 3% |
| Centro Economico del Cibao | 25–26 May 2020 | 34.0% | 53.5% | 10.3% | 2.1% |
| CIES International | 24–27 May 2020 | 29% | 52% | 10% | 6% |
| CYGNAL | 26 May–2 June 2020 | 28.2% | 54.6% | 13.9% | 3.4% |
| Mercado & Cuantificaciones | 28–30 May 2020 | 33% | 51.3% | 11.2% | 1.1% |
| Datamarket | 26–30 May 2020 | 27% | 44% | 21% | 2% |
| Polimetrics | 30–31 May 2020 | 40.7% | 37.5% | 8.5% | 2.6% |
| GIDL | 1–3 June 2020 | 21.5% | 40.7% | 33.4% | 1.7% |
| Mercado & Cuantificaciones | 2–5 June 2020 | 34.5% | 52.1% | 8.2% | |
| New Partners | 2–5 June 2020 | 29.5% | 50.7% | 11.4% | |
| Global Trend Research | 4–6 June 2020 | 25.7% | 40.3% | 30.8% | |
| Gavindian Polsters | 4–8 June 2020 | 38% | 52% | 9% | 1% |
| Ideame | 5–9 June 2020 | 34.4% | 52.5% | 10.9% | 0.9% |
| Centro de Innovación y Políticas Públicas | 6–9 June 2020 | 36.3% | 52.3% | 7.7% | 1% |
| CID Latinoamericana | 9–11 June 2020 | 43% | 44% | 9% | 1% |
| Consulting and Field International | 9–12 June 2020 | 43% | 40% | 9% | 2% |
| Signma Dos[14][15] | 12–14 June 2020 | 43.6% | 40.4% | 10.1% | 1.9% |
| John Zogby Strategies | 12–14 June 2020 | 34% | 54% | 9% | 2% |
| Datamarket | 12–14 June 2020 | 32% | 43% | 17% | 2% |
| Greenberg-Diario Libre | 11–16 June 2020 | 29% | 56% | 12% | 1% |
| Gallup | 12–16 June 2020 | 35.5% | 53.7% | 8.6% | 1.3% |
| Mercado y Cuantificaciones | 15–17 June 2020 | 33.5% | 55.8% | 7.0% | 0.3% |
| PoliRD | 16–18 June 2020 | 45.1% | 41.7% | 9.8% | 1.8% |
| ABC Marketing | 15–20 June 2020 | 32.6% | 54.8% | 10.4% | |
| Market Reports | 18–21 June 2020 | 26.2% | 40.8% | 30.6% | |
| Polismetrics | 20–25 June 2020 | 42.9% | 39.2% | 9.6% | 1.8% |
| Emevenca | 20–23 June 2020 | 41% | 46% | 8% | 2% |
| Mark Penn /Stagwell-SIN | 16–23 June 2020 | 35% | 47% | 11% | |
| Centro Economico del Cibao | 22–23 June 2020 | 33.4% | 55.2% | 9.7% | 1.7% |
| NewPartners | 24–25 June 2020 | 29% | 54% | 10% |
Party identification and Congress
| Pollster | Date(s) | PLD | PRM | FP | PRSC | PRD | ALPAIS | Others | N/A |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIES International | 19–22 September, 2019 | 31% | 33% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 4.7% | 12.2% | 15.6% | |
| Gallup-Hoy | 16–21 January 2020 | 37.5% | 43.3% | 8.5% | 0.1% | 2.9% | 7.6% | ||
| CIES International | 23–25 February, 2020 | 27.5% | 43.6% | 10% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 11.3% | |
| Makert Reports | 25–27 April 2020 | 29.1% | 34.7% | 19.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 6.8% | |
| Datamarket[16] | 1–3 May 2020 | 27% | 37% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 11% | 6% |
| Effective Project Comunications | 4–7 May 2020 | 32% | 44% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 2% |
| José Dorín Cabrera Mercadología | 21–23 May 2020 | 34.2% | 23.2% | 8.4% | 0.5% | 3.6% | 30.1% | ||
| CID Latinoamericana | 23–24 May 2020 | 45% | 38% | 6% | |||||
| Datamarket | 26–30 May 2020 | 27% | 37% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 11% | 6% |
| CYGNAL | 26 May–2 June 2020 | 26.7% | 40.5% | 9.5% | |||||
| Polimetrics | 30–31 May 2020 | 35.4% | 29.9% | 8.9% | 0.9% | 9.2% | 25.7% | ||
| CID Latinoamerica | 9–11 June 2020 | 43% | 40% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 5% |
| Mercados y Cuantificaciones | 15–17 June 2020 | 34% | 47.8% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1% | 9.3% |
| ABC Marketing | 15–20 June 2020 | 29.8% | 46.7% | 12.3% | 3.1% | 6.0% | |||
| Market Reports | 18–21 June 2020 | 27.3% | 33.2% | 22.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 6.8% | |
| NewPartners | 24–25 June 2020 | 28% | 50% | 6% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 13% |
Conduct
Representatives of the Organization of American States (OAS) will arrive to the Dominican Republic on 13 February 2020 to monitor the elections.[17][18][19]
Results
| Candidates | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gonzalo Castillo | Dominican Liberation Party | ||
| Luis Abinader | Modern Revolutionary Party | ||
| Leonel Fernández | Fuerza Del Pueblo | ||
| Guillermo Moreno García | Alianza País | ||
| Juan Cohen | National Citizen Will Party | ||
| Ismael Reyes Cruz | Partido Demócrata Institucional | ||
| Invalid/blank votes | – | ||
| Total | 100 | ||
| Registered voters/turnout | |||
| Source: | |||
References
- "Padrón para las elecciones de mayo tendrá un incremento de más de 69 mil electores" (in Spanish). Listin Diario. 14 January 2020. Retrieved 14 January 2020.
- "La JCE pospone las elecciones presidenciales y congresuales para el 5 de julio" (in Spanish). Diario Libre. 14 April 2020. Retrieved 14 April 2020.
- "Elecciones de 2020 son un reto para la JCE" (in Spanish). El Día. 2 August 2017. Retrieved 2 December 2017.
- "Este será el orden de los partidos en la próxima boleta electoral" (in Spanish). Listin Diario. 10 December 2019. Retrieved 10 December 2019.
- "Candidatos presidenciales podrán gastar más de 900 millones durante campaña electoral" (in Spanish). Listin Diario. 17 March 2020. Retrieved 17 March 2020.
- "La JCE aprueba tres formatos distintos para boletas de mayo" (in Spanish). Listin Diario. 19 March 2020. Retrieved 19 March 2020.
- Senado (Senate) IPU
- Cámara de Diputados (Chamber of Deputies) IPU
- "Once partidos gestan coalición para desplazar al PLD del poder" (in Spanish). Listin Diario. Retrieved 23 October 2019.
- "Luis derrotaría fácil a Gonzalo y a Leonel en primera vuelta, según encuesta". Acento (in Spanish). Retrieved 2020-06-23.
- Diario, Listin (2019-12-10). "Encuesta otorga mayoría de simpatías a Luis Abinader". listindiario.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 2020-06-23.
- "Resumen y Predicciones de Encuestas Elecciones 2020 Republica Dominicana". ElInfluyente.com. 2020-06-16. Retrieved 2020-06-22.
- Hoy (2020-06-01). "Encuesta dice ya Gonzalo Castillo está arriba de Luis Abinader en primera y segunda vuelta | Hoy Digital" (in Spanish). Retrieved 2020-06-23.
- Diario, Listin (2020-06-21). "Encuesta da a Gonzalo 43.6%, Abinader 40.4% y Leonel 10.1%". listindiario.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 2020-06-22.
- Noticias, R. C. (2020-06-21). "Gonzalo Castillo ganaría las elecciones con una ventaja de más de 3 puntos frente a Luis Abinader, según encuesta". Roberto Cavada (in Spanish). Retrieved 2020-06-24.
- Noticias, R. C. (2020-05-05). "Abinader ganaría elecciones con 46 %; Gonzalo Castillo 26 % y Leonel Fernández 21 %, según encuesta Datamarket". Roberto Cavada (in Spanish). Retrieved 2020-06-25.
- "Misión de OEA observará elecciones del 2020 en República Dominicana" (in Spanish). Listin Diario. 25 November 2019. Retrieved 25 November 2019.
- "Observadores electorales de la OEA harán visita preliminar la próxima semana" (in Spanish). Listin Diario. 17 January 2020. Retrieved 17 January 2020.
- "JCE recibirá observadores de 20 países para elecciones municipales" (in Spanish). Listin Diario. 9 February 2020. Retrieved 9 February 2020.
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