2019 Canarian regional election

The 2019 Canarian regional election was held on Sunday, 26 May 2019, to elect the 10th Parliament of the Autonomous Community of the Canary Islands. All 70 seats in the Parliament were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in eleven other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain, as well as the 2019 European Parliament election.

2019 Canarian regional election

26 May 2019

All 70 seats in the Parliament of the Canary Islands
36 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
RegisteredIsland: 1,719,596 3.5%
Regional: 1,720,724
TurnoutIsland: 904,369 (52.6%) 3.5 pp
Regional: 904.093 (52.5%)
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Ángel Víctor Torres Fernando Clavijo Asier Antona
Party PSOE CCa–PNC PP
Leader since 23 July 2017 12 September 2014 22 April 2016
Leader's seat Regional Tenerife La Palma
Last election 15 seats, 19.9% 18 seats, 21.8%[lower-alpha 1] 12 seats, 18.6%
Seats won 25 20 11
Seat change 10 2 1
Island vote 258,255 196,080 135,722
Island % 28.9% 21.9% 15.2%
Island swing 9.0 pp 0.1 pp 3.4 pp
Reg. vote 264,221 209,150 130,617
Reg. % 29.5% 23.4% 14.6%

  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
 
Leader Román Rodríguez Noemí Santana Casimiro Curbelo
Party NCa Podemos–SSPEquo ASG
Leader since 26 February 2005 1 April 2015 6 March 2015
Leader's seat Gran Canaria Gran Canaria La Gomera
Last election 5 seats, 10.2% 7 seats, 14.5% 3 seats, 0.6%
Seats won 5 4 3
Seat change 0 3 0
Island vote 80,891 78,532 6,222
Island % 9.0% 8.8% 0.7%
Island swing 1.2 pp 5.7 pp 0.1 pp
Reg. vote 82,980 76,433 n/a
Reg. % 9.3% 8.5% n/a

  Seventh party
 
Leader Vidina Espino
Party Cs
Leader since 2 March 2019
Leader's seat La Palma
Last election 0 seats, 5.9%
Seats won 2
Seat change 2
Island vote 65,854
Island % 7.4%
Island swing 1.5 pp
Reg. vote 62,115
Reg. % 6.9%

Constituency results map for the Parliament of the Canary Islands

President before election

Fernando Clavijo
CCa

Elected President

Ángel Víctor Torres
PSOE

Overview

Electoral system

The Parliament of the Canary Islands was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of the Canary Islands, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Canarian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1]

Voting for the Parliament was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over eighteen, registered in the Canary Islands and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Additionally, Canarians abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish: Voto rogado).[2] The 70 members of the Parliament of the Canary Islands were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of 15 percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Parties not reaching the threshold were not taken into consideration for seat distribution. Alternatively, parties could also enter the seat distribution as long as they reached four percent regionally. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the islands of El Hierro, Fuerteventura, Gran Canaria, La Gomera, La Palma, Lanzarote and Tenerife, as well as an additional constituency comprising the whole archipelago, with each being allocated a fixed number of seats: 3 for El Hierro, 8 for Fuerteventura, 15 for Gran Canaria, 4 for La Gomera, 8 for La Palma, 8 for Lanzarote, 15 for Tenerife and 9 for the regional constituency.[1]

Election date

The term of the Parliament of the Canary Islands expired four years after the date of its previous election. Elections to the Parliament were fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 24 May 2015, setting the election date for the Parliament on Sunday, 26 May 2019.[1][3][4]

After legal amendments in 2018, the president was granted the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of the Canary Islands and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process and that dissolution did not occur before one year had elapsed since the previous one. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Parliament was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances would not alter the period to the next ordinary election, with elected deputies merely serving out what remained of their four-year terms.[1]

Opinion polls

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll. When available, seat projections are also displayed below the voting estimates in a smaller font. 36 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of the Canary Islands (31 until 6 November 2018).

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls   Exit poll

Results

Overall

Summary of the 24 May 2019 Parliament of the Canary Islands election results
Parties and coalitions Island constituencies Regional
constituency
Seats
Votes % ±pp Votes % Total +/−
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) 258,25528.88+8.99 264,22129.53 25+10
Canarian Coalition–Canarian Nationalist PartyUnited (CCaPNC)1 196,08021.93+0.09 209,15023.37 20+2
People's Party (PP) 135,72215.18–3.41 130,61714.60 11–1
New Canaries (NCa) 80,8919.05–1.18 82,9809.27 5±0
Yes We Can Canaries (Podemos–SSPEquo)2 78,5328.78–5.76 76,4338.54 4–3
Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (Cs) 65,8547.36+1.42 62,1156.94 2+2
Vox (Vox) 22,0782.47+2.27 22,1782.48 0±0
Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA) 10,0291.12–0.11 12,1661.36 0±0
Canarian United Left (IUC)3 9,1151.02–1.18 8,5980.96 0±0
Gomera Socialist Group (ASG) 6,2220.70+0.14 3±0
The Greens–Green Group (LV–GV) 5,0580.57New 6,2630.70 0±0
Canaries Now (ANCUP)4 2,5150.28–0.34 3,1630.35 0±0
More for Telde (+xT) 1,9850.22–0.15 0±0
Tenerife Socialist Group (ASTf) 1,5120.17New 0±0
Santa Cruz Common Sense (SCSC) 1,3790.15New 0±0
Nivaria (Nivaria) 1,1530.13New 0±0
Communist Party of the Canarian People (PCPC) 9890.11–0.09 1,2000.13 0±0
With You, We Are Democracy (Contigo) 9700.11New 7940.09 0±0
Fuerteventura Party (PF) 9540.11New 0±0
Old Age in Action (3e en acción) 9110.10New 0±0
United for Lanzarote (UPLanzarote) 6570.07New 0±0
For a Fairer World (PUM+J) 5750.06–0.14 9790.11 0±0
Democratic Union of the Canary Islands (UDC) 5220.06New 1,2480.14 0±0
Let's Vote Fuerteventura (Votemos) 3870.04New 0±0
Humanist Party (PH) 3370.04New 0±0
Canaries for Progress (Ci–Progreso) 2630.03New 0±0
Federation Free Socialist Party (PSLF) 2240.03New 0±0
Movement for the Unity of the Canarian People (MUPC) –0.19 7820.09 0±0
Independent Citizens' Union (UCIN) New 4500.05 0±0
Libertarian Party (P–LIB) New 4360.05 0±0
Blank ballots 11,1111.24–0.59 11,0891.24
Total 894,280 894,862 70+10
Valid votes 894,28098.88+0.68 894,86298.98
Invalid votes 10,0891.12–0.68 9,2311.02
Votes cast / turnout 904,36952.59–3.50 904,09352.54
Abstentions 815,22747.41+3.50 816,63147.46
Registered voters 1,719,596 1,720,724
Sources[6][7]
Popular vote (island constituencies)
PSOE
28.88%
CCa–PNC
21.93%
PP
15.18%
NCa
9.05%
SPC
8.78%
Cs
7.36%
Vox
2.47%
PACMA
1.12%
IUC
1.02%
ASG
0.70%
Others
2.28%
Blank ballots
1.24%
Popular vote (regional constituency)
PSOE
29.53%
CCa–PNC
23.37%
PP
14.60%
NCa
9.27%
SPC
8.54%
Cs
6.94%
Vox
2.48%
PACMA
1.36%
Others
2.67%
Blank ballots
1.24%
Seats
PSOE
35.71%
CCa–PNC
28.57%
PP
15.71%
NCa
7.04%
SPC
5.71%
ASG
4.29%
Cs
2.86%

Distribution by constituency

Constituency PSOE CCa–PNC PP NCa SPC Cs ASG
% S % S % S % S % S % S % S
El Hierro 31.5 1 35.4 1 18.2 1 5.0 3.7
Fuerteventura 26.0 3 25.1 3 13.8 1 11.2 1 7.0 5.7
Gran Canaria 28.3 5 11.7 2 16.5 3 17.7 3 8.9 1 8.9 1
La Gomera 20.7 1 9.1 4.4 4.0 6.6 1.7 52.1 3
La Palma 27.2 3 30.9 3 25.0 2 3.7 4.2 3.2
Lanzarote 28.4 3 32.0 3 12.7 1 5.3 8.1 1 5.6
Tenerife 30.2 6 29.2 5 13.5 2 2.0 9.6 1 7.0 1
Regional 29.5 3 23.4 3 14.6 1 9.3 1 8.5 1 6.9
Total 28.9 25 21.9 20 15.2 11 9.0 5 8.8 4 7.4 2 0.7 3

Aftermath

Investiture
Ángel Víctor Torres (PSOE)
Ballot → 12 July 2019
Required majority → 36 out of 70 Y
37 / 70
33 / 70
Abstentions
0 / 70
Absentees
0 / 70
Sources[8]

Notes

  1. Aggregated data for CCPNC and Unidos in the 2015 election.
  2. Within CCa.
  3. Within Unidas Podemos.
  4. Within PSOE.

References

Opinion poll sources
  1. "El PSOE gana las elecciones en Canarias, según sondeo de RTVC". RTVC (in Spanish). 26 May 2019.
  2. "La izquierda acaricia la mayoría absoluta en Canarias, según un sondeo de la televisión autonómica". eldiario.es (in Spanish). 26 May 2019.
  3. "Los resultados de nuestra encuesta elaborada por GfK en las tres Islas Orientales, para el Parlamento de Canarias". RTVE (in Spanish). 26 May 2019.
  4. "Así deja los resultados de la encuesta GfK para Televisión Canaria en las cuatro Islas Occidentales". RTVE (in Spanish). 26 May 2019.
  5. "#emojiPanel Canarias (24M)". electomania.es (in Spanish). 24 May 2019.
  6. "#emojiPanel Canarias (23M)". electomania.es (in Spanish). 23 May 2019.
  7. "#emojiPanel Islas Canarias (22M)". electomania.es (in Spanish). 22 May 2019.
  8. "#emojiPanel Islas Canarias (21M)". electomania.es (in Spanish). 21 May 2019.
  9. "El PSOE gana en Madrid, pero la suma de PP, Cs y Vox lo aleja de Sol". La Razón (in Spanish). 20 May 2019.
  10. "Resultados por comunidades. Encuesta mayo 2019" (PDF). La Razón (in Spanish). 20 May 2019.
  11. "Encuesta electoral: Ajustada batalla entre bloques el 26-M". La Razón (in Spanish). 20 May 2019.
  12. "#emojiPanel Islas Canarias (20M)". electomania.es (in Spanish). 20 May 2019.
  13. "#electoPanel Canarias (19M): absoluta para la suma PSOE+CC". electomania.es (in Spanish). 19 May 2019.
  14. "La izquierda roza la mayoría en la Cámara". Canarias7 (in Spanish). 19 May 2019.
  15. "#electoPanel Canarias (16M): el PSOE acaricia el Gobierno insular". electomania.es (in Spanish). 16 May 2019.
  16. "#electoPanel Canarias (13M): agüita con el empate técnico PP-Cs". electomania.es (in Spanish). 13 May 2019.
  17. "#electoPanel Canarias (10M): el PP deja 'aplatanado' a Cs al quitarle un escaño". electomania.es (in Spanish). 10 May 2019.
  18. "#electoPanel islas Canarias (7M): PSOE y CC siguen su tendencia ascendente. Fuerte lucha PP-Cs". electomania.es (in Spanish). 7 May 2019.
  19. "Estimaciones de voto en Comunidades Autónomas y grandes ciudades (Estudio nº 3245. Marzo-abril 2019)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 9 May 2019.
  20. "ElectoPanel autonómico (12A): las mayorías siguen en el aire". electomania.es (in Spanish). 12 April 2019.
  21. "ElectoPanel autonómicas (3A): Ciudadanos decidirá el bloque ganador en la mayoría de CCAA". electomania.es (in Spanish). 3 April 2019.
  22. "ElectoPanel autonómico (27M). Semana de retrocesos para Vox". electomania.es (in Spanish). 27 March 2019.
  23. "ElectoPanel Autonómico (20M): 'Navarra Suma' (PP-Cs-UPN) no suma para recuperar el Gobierno Foral". electomania.es (in Spanish). 20 March 2019.
  24. "ElectoPanel autonómico 13M: el PSOE es el más votado, pero la derecha suma en la mayoría de CCAA". electomania.es (in Spanish). 13 March 2019.
  25. "ElectoPanel autonómico: la irrupción de Vox en casi todas las CCAA posibilitaría a la derecha gobernar la mayoría de ellas". electomania.es (in Spanish). 6 March 2019.
  26. "Estimación Mayo 2018. Canarias. Autonómicas 2019". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 18 May 2018.
  27. "CANARIAS. Elecciones autonómicas. Encuesta SyM Consulting. Mayo 2018". Electograph (in Spanish). 18 May 2018.
  28. "Ciudadanos irrumpe en el Parlamento para ser llave en Canarias". Diario de Avisos (in Spanish). 29 April 2018.
  29. "La entrada de Ciudadanos hunde a CC y PP". Canarias7 (in Spanish). 22 April 2018.
  30. "CANARIAS. Elecciones autonómicas. Encuesta TSA para Canarias7. Abril 2018". Electograph (in Spanish). 22 April 2018.
  31. "CANARIAS. Sondeo Hamalgama Métrica-Ágora Integral. Autonómicas. Septiembre 2017". Electograph (in Spanish). 10 September 2017.
Other
  1. "Ley Orgánica 1/2018, de 5 de noviembre, de reforma del Estatuto de Autonomía de Canarias". Organic Law No. 1 of 5 November 2018. Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Retrieved 6 November 2018.
  2. Reig Pellicer, Naiara (16 December 2015). "Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote". cafebabel.co.uk. Retrieved 17 July 2017.
  3. "Ley 7/2003, de 20 de marzo, de Elecciones al Parlamento de Canarias". Law No. 7 of 20 March 2003. Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Retrieved 12 September 2017.
  4. "Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General". Organic Law No. 5 of 19 June 1985. Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 January 2020.
  5. "La izquierda toca la mayoría absoluta". La Provincia (in Spanish). 18 May 2019.
  6. "2019 Election Results". parcan.es (in Spanish). Parliament of the Canary Islands. Retrieved 24 January 2020.
  7. "Parliament of the Canary Islands elections since 1983". historiaelectoral.com (in Spanish). Electoral History. Retrieved 2 December 2019.
  8. "Investidura de Ángel Víctor Torres como presidente de Canarias". La Provincia Diario De Las Palmas (in Spanish). 12 July 2019. Retrieved 12 July 2019.
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