Opinion polling for the next Japanese general election

In the run up to the next Japanese general election, various organisations are expected to carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 22 October 2017, to the present day. The next election will be held on 22 October 2021, unless a snap election is called.

Party identification polling

2018

Date Polling firm/source LDP CDP DPP DP Kibō
 Komei JCP Ishin SDP LP Other No party Und./
no ans.		 Lead
6–7 Oct Mainichi Shimbun 31 11 0 N/A 0 4 3 2 1 1 1 40 N/A 9
2–3 Oct Kyodo News 44.8 8.7 1.0 0.5 4.4 2.2 2.6 0.8 0.6 N/A 33.0 1.4 11.8
2–3 Oct Nikkei & TV Tokyo 46 8 1 0 4 3 2 0 0 0 33 3 13
2–3 Oct Yomiuri Shimbun 43 5 0 0 3 2 1 0 0 0 42 2 1
21–23 Sep Nikkei & TV Tokyo 48 6 1 0 4 3 1 1 0 0 32 4 16
21–23 Sep Yomiuri Shimbun 40 6 1 0 4 2 1 0 0 0 45 3 5
20–21 Sep Kyodo News 46.2 6.3 1.5 0.3 3.3 3.2 2.1 1.0 0.4 N/A 33.4 2.3 12.8
20 Sep Shinzō Abe wins the Liberal Democratic Party leadership election, securing a new 3-year term as leader of the party.
15–17 Sep NHK 35.8 4.8 0.7 N/A 0.1 4.1 3.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.2 43.0 7.4 7.2
15–16 Sep ANN 46.6 6.7 1.5 0.1 3.9 2.8 1.9 1.5 0.6 0.9 33.5 13.1
15–16 Sep Sankei & FNN 42.6 9.0 0.5 0.2 3.6 4.2 1.6 0.9 0.2 1.3 35.4 0.5 7.2
7–10 Sep Jiji Press 26.9 4.4 0.4 0.2 4.1 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.0 N/A 59.2 N/A 32.3
8–9 Sep Asahi Shimbun 40 5 1 0 2 3 1 0 0 0 36 12 4
1–2 Sep JNN 30.5 5.5 0.5 0.0 1.8 2.8 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.8 54.2 2.2 23.7
1–2 Sep Mainichi Shimbun 33 9 1 0 3 3 1 1 1 0 40 N/A 7
25–26 Aug Kyodo News 43.8 8.8 1.5 0.7 2.3 3.2 2.6 1.3 0.8 32.8 11.0
25–26 Aug Sankei & FNN 43.1 10.7 0.7 0.6 4.3 3.1 2.0 0.8 0.5 32.9 10.2
24–26 Aug Nikkei & TV Tokyo 45 10 1 0 3 3 1 1 0 33 3 12
24–26 Aug Yomiuri Shimbun 40 4 1 0 2 2 1 0 0 0 45 3 5
18–19 Aug ANN 44.0 10.7 0.7 0.1 3.8 5.6 1.6 0.7 0.1 0.7 32.0 12.0
3–6 Aug Jiji Press 27.1 4.6 0.5 0.0 3.3 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.2 N/A 58.9 N/A 31.8
4–5 Aug Asahi Shimbun 36 6 1 0 3 4 1 1 0 1 41 6 5
4–5 Aug JNN 31.7 7.5 0.5 0.2 3.4 1.8 1.5 0.6 0.3 0.8 50.7 1.1 19.0
3–5 Aug NHK 35.6 5.6 0.4 0.0 4.1 2.7 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.0 43.2 6.8 7.6
28–29 Jul Mainchi Shimbun 30 10 1 1 2 4 2 1 1 1 42 N/A 12
21–22 Jul ANN 42.1 13.1 1.4 0.1 4.3 3.7 0.9 0.7 0.3 1.1 32.3 9.8
21–22 Jul Kyodo News 41.6 12.4 0.9 0.4 2.9 3.0 2.1 0.5 0.5 32.8 8.8
21–22 Jul Sankei & FNN 37.3 11.7 0.8 0.4 2.7 4.2 2.5 0.4 0.5 1.2 37.6 0.7 0.3
21–22 Jul Yomiuri Shimbun 41 8 0 0 3 3 1 1 0 0 41 2 Tied
20–22 Jul Nikkei & TV Tokyo 38 12 1 0 3 4 2 1 0 0 36 4 2
14–15 Jul Asahi Shimbun 34 8 1 0 4 3 1 1 0 1 39 8 5
6–9 Jul Jiji Press 25.4 4.7 0.6 0.2 3.7 2.1 1.1 1.0 0.0 N/A 58.2 N/A 32.8
7–8 Jul JNN 29.8 8.0 0.6 0.1 3.0 3.2 1.3 1.6 0.0 0.7 50.4 1.5 20.6
6–8 Jul NHK 38.1 7.5 0.7 0.1 2.7 3.1 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.2 39.1 7.0 1.0
23–24 Jun Mainichi Shimbun 30 11 0 0 4 2 2 1 0 1 41 N/A 11
22–24 Jun Nikkei & TV Tokyo 44 9 0 0 4 4 1 1 0 0 30 6 14
16–17 Jun ANN 47.7 11.2 1.5 0.2 3.0 3.0 1.1 1.1 0.2 0.7 30.3 17.4
16–17 Jun Asahi Shimbun 34 9 1 0 3 3 1 0 0 1 40 8 6
16–17 Jun Sankei & FNN 39.7 12.8 0.8 0.1 3.3 4.0 2.6 0.8 0.1 1.9 33.2 0.7 6.5
15–17 Jun NTV 38.9 10.2 0.4 0.3 3.4 2.9 1.9 0.8 0.0 0.0 41.1 0.1 2.2
15–17 Jun Yomiuri Shimbun 38 6 1 0 3 3 0 0 0 0 44 3 6
8–11 Jun Jiji Press 25.8 5.2 0.6 0.1 3.8 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1 N/A 58.9 N/A 33.1
8–10 Jun NHK 35.8 8.9 1.1 0.0 2.4 4.1 0.7 1.2 0.0 0.2 38.2 7.4 2.4
2–3 Jun JNN 30.8 10.7 0.5 0.2 3.2 4.0 2.2 0.6 0.3 0.9 44.4 2.3 13.6
26–27 May Mainichi Shimbun 26 13 1 1 4 4 2 0 1 1 40 N/A 14
25–27 May Nikkei & TV Tokyo 42 12 1 0 4 4 2 1 0 0 30 5 12
19–20 May ANN 41.4 15.2 1.5 0.7 4.1 5.7 1.6 1.3 0.4 1.2 26.9 3.5
19–20 May Asahi Shimbun 36 9 1 0 3 3 1 0 0 0 39 8 3
18–20 May NTV 36.7 12.2 0.5 0.4 3.7 3.2 1.4 1.2 0.5 0.3 39.8 0.3 3.1
18–20 May Yomiuri Shimbun 37 7 2 0 4 3 2 0 0 0 42 3 5
11–14 May Jiji Press 26.8 5.0 0.6 0.2 4.4 1.7 0.7 0.4 0.2 N/A 57.7 N/A 30.9
12–13 May JNN 30.4 8.3 0.8 0.3 3.7 2.5 1.8 0.3 0.1 0.9 49.1 1.9 18.7
12–13 May Kyodo News 37.1 13.3 1.1 0.7 3.7 4.5 1.5 0.8 0.7 34.2 2.9
11–13 May NHK 35.9 7.9 1.1 0.1 3.5 2.3 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.3 40.4 7.3 4.5
7 May The Democratic Party merges with a majority of Kibō no Tō members to form the Democratic Party for the People.[1]
27–29 Apr Nikkei & TV Tokyo 40 14 N/A 1 0 3 3 2 0 0 0 32 4 8
21–22 Apr ANN 37.6 13.6 2.9 0.4 3.1 4.1 1.9 1.6 0.5 0.2 34.1 3.5
21–22 Apr Mainichi Shimbun 29 13 1 1 3 3 2 1 0 2 40 N/A 11
20–22 Apr Yomiuri Shimbun 37 10 2 1 2 3 1 0 0 0 40 3 3
14–15 Apr Asahi Shimbun 33 10 2 0 4 3 1 0 0 0 40 7 7
13–15 Apr NTV 33.4 9.5 1.2 0.7 4.0 3.4 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1 44.4 0.0 1.0
6–9 Apr Jiji Press 25.3 5.1 0.7 0.4 3.9 2.4 1.0 0.7 0.0 N/A 58.3 N/A 33.0
7–8 Apr JNN 31.7 8.8 1.8 1.1 3.1 2.4 1.8 0.1 0.1 0.8 47.3 1.1 15.6
6–8 Apr NHK 35.4 8.5 1.4 0.3 3.5 2.9 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.2 39.2 7.0 3.8
31 Mar – 1 Apr Kyodo News 39.1 14.2 0.9 1.3 3.9 3.9 2.2 0.6 0.7 32.0 7.1
31 Mar – 1 Apr Yomiuri Shimbun 36 9 1 0 3 2 1 1 0 0 41 4 5
24–25 Mar ANN 40.6 16.2 3.7 0.9 3.8 4.9 1.1 1.3 0.3 0.8 26.4 14.2
23–25 Mar Nikkei & TV Tokyo 40 12 2 1 4 4 1 0 0 0 31 5 9
17–18 Mar Asahi Shimbun 32 11 1 1 3 3 1 0 0 0 36 12 4
17–18 Mar Kyodo News 36.2 11.5 2.8 1.0 3.2 2.9 3.1 1.1 0.4 36.5 0.3
17–18 Mar Mainichi Shimbun 29 13 1 1 3 4 2 39 N/A 10
16–18 Mar NTV 33.3 10.3 2.0 0.9 3.7 3.9 1.3 1.7 0.5 0.7 41.7 0.1 8.4
9–12 Mar Jiji Press 25.2 5.3 1.2 0.5 2.9 2.6 0.8 0.6 0.1 N/A 58.3 N/A 33.1
10–11 Mar FNN 35.4 14.0 1.2 1.4 4.0 3.1 2.7 0.5 0.2 0.9 36.2 0.4 0.8
9–11 Mar NHK 36.3 10.2 1.2 0.6 3.1 2.6 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 37.9 5.9 1.6
9–11 Mar Yomiuri Shimbun 38 9 1 1 4 3 1 0 0 0 38 3 Tied
3–4 Mar JNN 30.3 11.4 1.1 0.8 3.8 3.6 0.9 0.4 0.0 1.1 44.9 1.7 14.6
3–4 Mar Kyodo News 39.5 11.1 1.4 1.6 3.7 3.7 2.6 0.3 0.6 34.1 5.4
24–25 Feb ANN 44.9 13.3 1.5 1.1 3.7 5.4 2.3 1.8 0.1 0.5 25.4 19.5
24–25 Feb Mainichi Shimbun 35 13 1 0 3 3 3 0 1 1 37 N/A 2
23–25 Feb Nikkei 42 11 2 1 4 2 3 1 31 4 11
17–18 Feb Asahi Shimbun 35 10 1 1 3 4 1 1 0 0 38 6 3
16–18 Feb NTV 36.7 11.1 2.3 1.2 4.1 4.0 1.6 1.1 0.1 0.1 37.3 0.4 0.6
10–12 Feb NHK 38.7 8.3 1.4 0.4 2.1 2.7 1.1 0.4 0.6 0.2 36.8 7.4 1.9
9–12 Feb Jiji Press 28.5 4.2 0.9 0.3 3.9 1.8 1.1 0.3 0.1 N/A 57.6 N/A 29.1
10–11 Feb FNN 38.8 15.6 0.7 1.8 3.2 3.3 2.9 0.9 0.0 31.0 7.8
10–11 Feb Kyodo News 41.2 10.9 0.9 2.0 4.0 2.7 2.9 0.7 0.7 33.4 7.8
10–11 Feb Yomiuri Shimbun 42 9 2 1 3 2 1 0 0 0 36 2 6
3–4 Feb JNN 32.9 10.6 1.0 0.8 3.4 2.8 1.8 0.3 0.3 0.9 43.3 1.8 10.4
26–28 Jan Nikkei 43 9 2 1 2 4 1 0 0 1 32 7 11
26–28 Jan NTV 31.5 13.0 1.4 1.0 3.8 2.8 1.6 1.0 0.8 0.8 41.8 0.5 10.3
20–21 Jan Asahi Shimbun 39 9 1 1 4 3 1 0 0 1 34 7 5
20–21 Jan ANN 42.3 16.6 3.0 1.2 3.6 4.8 2.0 0.9 0.2 1.1 24.3 18.0
20–21 Jan FNN 40.8 14.8 0.7 1.3 4.1 3.4 3.0 0.5 0.6 1.4 29.0 0.4 11.8
20–21 Jan Mainichi Shimbun 30 14 0 2 3 4 2 0 1 0 37 N/A 7
12–15 Jan Jiji Press 28.1 6.2 0.8 0.6 3.4 2.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 N/A 56.0 N/A 27.9
13–14 Jan Kyodo News 38.4 12.7 1.3 1.2 2.8 3.8 2.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 35.4 1.3 3.0
13–14 Jan JNN 33.8 11.3 1.2 0.6 3.3 3.5 1.8 0.4 0.1 0.8 41.3 1.9 7.5
12–14 Jan Yomiuri Shimbun 39 8 1 1 4 2 1 1 0 0 40 2 1
6–8 Jan NHK 38.1 9.2 1.3 1.0 2.4 3.6 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.4 36.6 6.2 1.5

2017

Date Polling firm/source LDP CDP DP Kibō
 Komei JCP Ishin SDP LP Other No party Und./
no ans.		 Lead
16–17 Dec Asahi Shimbun 36 9 1 1 3 3 1 0 0 0 36 10 Tied
16–17 Dec FNN 37.7 13.9 1.8 2.3 4.1 4.3 2.4 0.6 0.4 0.9 31.1 0.5 6.6
15–17 Dec Nikkei & TV Tokyo 40 10 1 1 3 4 2 1 0 0 33 4 7
15–17 Dec NTV 34.3 10.5 2.4 1.2 2.7 4.3 1.6 0.7 0.0 0.7 41.2 0.3 6.9
8–11 Dec Jiji Press 24.8 5.0 1.8 0.9 4.1 1.7 1.0 0.6 0.0 N/A 58.7 N/A 33.9
9–10 Dec ANN 42.3 14.5 2.7 1.8 5.3 3.9 2.3 0.4 0.4 0.0 26.4 15.9
8–10 Dec NHK 38.1 7.9 1.8 1.4 4.1 3.5 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 34.1 6.9 4.0
8–10 Dec Yomiuri Shimbun 40 9 1 2 3 2 1 0 0 0 39 2 1
2–3 Dec Kyodo News 37.1 12.5 1.8 3.2 2.7 3.1 2.2 1.1 0.3 N/A 34.4 1.6 2.7
2–3 Dec JNN 35.7 9.8 1.2 1.0 3.1 3.7 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.9 41.3 1.4 5.6
24–26 Nov Nikkei 39 14 1 2 5 3 2 0 0 30 3 9
17–19 Nov NTV 32.8 10.4 1.0 2.7 3.8 3.6 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.7 41.1 0.0 8.3
10–13 Nov Jiji Press 27.9 5.4 1.2 1.5 3.6 1.8 1.3 0.3 0.1 N/A 55.0 N/A 27.1
11–12 Nov Mainichi Shimbun 34 14 0 4 4 3 2 0 0 1 34 N/A Tied
11–12 Nov Asahi Shimbun 37 12 1 3 3 3 2 1 0 1 30 7 7
11–12 Nov FNN 38.5 15.3 1.5 3.9 4.1 3.4 2.4 0.8 0.5 0.7 28.1 0.8 10.4
11–12 Nov JNN 35.6 11.0 1.9 3.4 4.0 3.4 2.9 0.8 0.2 0.3 34.9 1.6 0.7
10–12 Nov NHK 37.1 9.6 1.3 3.2 5.2 3.1 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.2 32.4 6.1 4.7
4–5 Nov ANN 43.7 19.9 2.2 4.4 4.3 6.1 2.7 0.8 0.3 0.3 15.3 23.8
1–2 Nov Nikkei & TV Tokyo 44 14 1 4 5 4 3 0 0 0 23 2 21
1–2 Nov Yomiuri Shimbun 42 14 2 5 3 3 2 0 0 0 25 3 17
23–24 Oct Asahi Shimbun 39 17 0 3 4 3 2 1 0 0 21 10 18
23–24 Oct Yomiuri Shimbun 43 14 1 5 4 3 2 1 0 0 24 3 19

Cabinet approval / disapproval ratings

2018

Date Polling firm/source Approve Disapprove Und. / no answer
6–7 Oct Mainichi Shimbun 37 40 20
2–3 Oct Kyodo News 46.5 38.2 15.3
2–3 Oct Nikkei & TV Tokyo 50 42 9
2–3 Oct Yomiuri Shimbun 50 39 10
21–23 Sep Nikkei & TV Tokyo 55 39 5
21–23 Sep Yomiuri Shimbun 50 41 9
20–21 Sep Kyodo News 47.4 40.0 12.6
15–17 Sep NHK 42.1 38.7 19.2
15–16 Sep ANN 39.4 38.7 21.9
15–16 Sep Sankei & FNN 49.3 41.8 8.9
7–10 Sep Jiji Press 41.7 36.6 N/A
8–9 Sep Asahi Shimbun 41 38 21
1–2 Sep JNN 46.2 52.0 1.8
1–2 Sep Mainichi Shimbun 37 41 20
25–26 Aug Kyodo News 40.3 44.3 N/A
25–26 Aug Sankei & FNN 45.6 44.4 N/A
24–26 Aug Nikkei & TV Tokyo 48 42 10
24–26 Aug Yomiuri Shimbun 50 40 10
18–19 Aug ANN 38.8 44.6 16.6
3–6 Aug Jiji Press 38.5 38.9 N/A
4–5 Aug Asahi Shimbun 38 41 21
4–5 Aug JNN 43.8 54.0 2.3
3–5 Aug NHK 41.4 40.6 18.0
28–29 Jul Mainchi Shimbun 37 44 18
21–22 Jul ANN 38.2 45.6 16.2
21–22 Jul Kyodo News 43.4 41.8 N/A
21–22 Jul Sankei & FNN 42.1 47.3 10.6
21–22 Jul Yomiuri Shimbun 45 45 10
20–22 Jul Nikkei & TV Tokyo 45 47 8
14–15 Jul Asahi Shimbun 38 43 19
6–9 Jul Jiji Press 37.0 40.9 N/A
7–8 Jul JNN 43.1 55.8 1.3
6–8 Jul NHK 44.1 38.8 17.1
23–24 Jun Mainichi Shimbun 36 40 22
22–24 Jun Nikkei & TV Tokyo 52 42 N/A
16–17 Jun ANN 39.4 44.5 16.1
16–17 Jun Asahi Shimbun 38 45 17
16–17 Jun Kyodo News 44.9 43.2 N/A
16–17 Jun Sankei & FNN 44.6 45.6 9.8
15–17 Jun NTV 39.4 41.9 18.7
15–17 Jun Yomiuri Shimbun 45 44 11
8–11 Jun Jiji Press 35.5 43.4 N/A
8–10 Jun NHK 37.8 43.5 18.6
2–3 Jun JNN 39.0 59.1 2.1
26–27 May Mainichi Shimbun 31 48 19
25–27 May Nikkei & TV Tokyo 42 53 5
19–20 May ANN 34.1 51.1 14.8
19–20 May Asahi Shimbun 36 44 20
18–20 May NTV 32.4 50.6 17.0
18–20 May Yomiuri Shimbun 42 47 11
11–14 May Jiji Press 38.1 43.0 N/A
12–13 May JNN 40.6 57.7 1.7
12–13 May Kyodo News 38.9 50.3 N/A
11–13 May NHK 37.8 43.5 18.7
27–29 Apr Nikkei & TV Tokyo 43 51 7
21–22 Apr ANN 29.0 55.2 15.8
21–22 Apr Mainichi Shimbun 30 49 20
20–22 Apr Yomiuri Shimbun 39 53 8
14–15 Apr Asahi Shimbun 31 52 17
13–15 Apr NTV 26.7 53.4 20.0
6–9 Apr Jiji Press 38.4 42.6
7–8 Apr JNN 40.0 58.4 1.7
6–8 Apr NHK 37.7 44.5 17.8
31 Mar – 1 Apr Kyodo News 42.4 47.5 N/A
31 Mar – 1 Apr Yomiuri Shimbun 42 50 8
24–25 Mar ANN 32.6 54.9 12.5
23–25 Mar Nikkei & TV Tokyo 42 49 9
17–18 Mar Asahi Shimbun 31 48 21
17–18 Mar Kyodo News 38.7 48.2 N/A
17–18 Mar Mainichi Shimbun 33 47 19
16–18 Mar NTV 30.3 53.0 16.7
9–12 Mar Jiji Press 39.3 40.4 N/A
9–11 Mar NHK 43.8 38.1 18.1
10–11 Mar FNN 45.0 43.8 11.2
9–11 Mar Yomiuri Shimbun 48 42 9
3–4 Mar JNN 49.3 48.9 1.9
3–4 Mar Kyodo News 48.1 39.0 N/A
24–25 Feb ANN 44.3 41.7 14.0
24–25 Feb Mainichi Shimbun 45 32 20
23–25 Feb Nikkei 56 36 8
17–18 Feb Asahi Shimbun 44 37 19
16–18 Feb NTV 44.0 37.3 18.7
10–12 Feb NHK 46.4 34.3 19.3
9–12 Feb Jiji Press 48.7 31.9 N/A
10–11 Feb FNN 51.0 39.0 10.0
10–11 Feb Kyodo News 50.8 36.9 N/A
10–11 Feb Yomiuri Shimbun 54 36 9
3–4 Feb JNN 50.6 46.8 2.6
26–28 Jan Nikkei 55 37 8
26–28 Jan NTV 36.9 43.8 19.2
20–21 Jan Asahi Shimbun 45 33 22
20–21 Jan ANN 40.1 42.3 17.6
20–21 Jan FNN 52.6 39.2 8.2
20–21 Jan Mainichi Shimbun 44 38 16
12–15 Jan Jiji Press 46.6 33.6 N/A
13–14 Jan Kyodo News 49.7 36.6 13.7
13–14 Jan JNN 54.6 43.9 1.5
12–14 Jan Yomiuri Shimbun 54 35 11
6–8 Jan NHK 45.7 37.0 17.3

2017

Date Polling firm/source Approve Disapprove Und. / no answer
16–17 Dec Asahi Shimbun 41 38 21
16–17 Dec FNN 47.5 44.6 7.9
15–17 Dec Nikkei & TV Tokyo 50 40 10
15–17 Dec NTV 37.8 45.3 16.9
8–11 Dec Jiji Press 42.6 36.1 N/A
9–10 Dec ANN 43.7 39.6 16.7
8–10 Dec NHK 49 35 N/A
8–10 Dec Yomiuri Shimbun 53 36 11
2–3 Dec Kyodo News 47.2 40.4 12.4
2–3 Dec JNN 52.7 45.7 1.6
24–26 Nov Nikkei 52 39 9
17–19 Nov NTV 41.1 41.4 17.5
10–13 Nov Jiji Press 45.4 37.1 N/A
11–12 Nov Mainichi Shimbun 46 36 15
11–12 Nov Asahi Shimbun 44 39 17
11–12 Nov FNN 47.7 42.4 9.9
11–12 Nov JNN 53.1 45.8 1.1
10–12 Nov NHK 46 35 N/A
4–5 Nov ANN 44.2 41.5 14.3
1–2 Nov Nikkei & TV Tokyo 54 38 7
1–2 Nov Yomiuri Shimbun 52 40 7
1–2 Nov Kyodo News 49.5 38.3 N/A
23–24 Oct Asahi Shimbun 42 39 19
23–24 Oct Yomiuri Shimbun 52 37 10

References

  1. ↑ "New opposition party lacking in numbers after 2 parties merge". Asahi Shimbun. 7 May 2018. Retrieved 7 May 2018.
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