Madrid City Council election, 2019
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All 57 seats in the City Council of Madrid 29 seats needed for a majority | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2019 Madrid City Council election, also the 2019 Madrid municipal election, is scheduled to be held on Sunday, 26 May 2019, to elect the 11th City Council of the municipality of Madrid. All 57 seats in the City Council will be up for election. The election will be held simultaneously with regional elections in at least seven autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain, as well as the 2019 European Parliament election.[1]
Electoral system
The municipal council or corporation is the governing body of the municipality of Madrid, composed of a mayor, deputy mayors and a plenary assembly of councillors. Voting for the local assemblies is on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprises all nationals over eighteen, registered and residing in the municipality of Madrid and in full enjoyment of their political rights, as well as resident non-national European citizens and those whose country of origin allows Spanish nationals to vote in their own elections by virtue of a treaty.[2][3][4]
Local councillors are elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of 5 percent of valid votes—which includes blank ballots—being applied in each local council. Parties not reaching the threshold are not taken into consideration for seat distribution.[2][3][4] Councillors are allocated to municipal councils based on the following scale:
| Population | Councillors |
|---|---|
| <100 | 3 |
| 101–250 | 5 |
| 251–1,000 | 7 |
| 1,001–2,000 | 9 |
| 2,001–5,000 | 11 |
| 5,001–10,000 | 13 |
| 10,001–20,000 | 17 |
| 20,001–50,000 | 21 |
| 50,001–100,000 | 25 |
| >100,001 | +1 per each 100,000 inhabitants or fraction +1 if total is an even number |
The mayor is indirectly elected by the plenary assembly. A legal clause requires that mayoral candidates earn the vote of an absolute majority of councillors, or else the candidate of the most-voted party in the assembly shall be automatically appointed to the post. In case of a tie, a toss-up would determine the appointee.[4]
The electoral law provides that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors are allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors are required to secure the signature of a determined amount of the electors registered in the municipality for which they are seeking election. For the case of Madrid, as its population is over 1,000,001, at least 8,000 signatures are required. Electors are barred from signing for more than one list of candidates. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election are required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election being called.[2][3]
Opinion polls
The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll. When available, seat projections are also displayed below the voting estimates in a smaller font. 29 seats are required for an absolute majority in the City Council of Madrid.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | _Logo.svg.png){kind=logo} |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC Report/La Razón[p 1][p 2] | 11–14 Sep 2018 | 800 | 67.4 | 30.1 20 |
27.0 18 |
14.0 9 |
15.9 10 |
– | – | – | – | w.AM | – | 3.1 |
| NC Report/La Razón[p 3][p 4] | 3–14 May 2018 | 800 | 70.2 | 24.4 16 |
23.4 15 |
16.3 11 |
22.7 15 |
– | – | 2.8 0 |
3.2 0 |
w.AM | – | 1.0 |
| Metroscopia/El País[p 5][p 6] | 23 Apr–10 May 2018 | 1,600 | 68 | 19.7 11/12 |
28.8 17/18 |
14.9 9 |
31.2 19 |
– | – | – | – | w.AM | – | 2.4 |
| Invymark/laSexta[p 7][p 8] | 23–27 Apr 2018 | ? | ? | 23.8 14 |
26.8 16 |
17.7 11 |
27.1 16 |
– | – | – | – | w.AM | – | 0.3 |
| GAD3/ABC[p 9] | 18–27 Apr 2018 | ? | ? | 21.4 13 |
28.2 17 |
16.5 10 |
29.1 17 |
– | – | – | – | w.AM | – | 0.9 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 10] | 24–26 Apr 2018 | 500 | ? | 22.4 13/14 |
30.4 18/19 |
12.6 7/8 |
27.8 17/18 |
– | – | – | – | w.AM | – | 2.6 |
| Equipo MEG/PSOE[p 11][p 12] | 13–18 Apr 2018 | 1,180 | ? | 23.9 14 |
19.2 12 |
23.8 14 |
23.5 14 |
– | 5.3 3 |
– | – | w.AM | – | 0.1 |
| SocioMétrica/El Español[p 13] | 23–30 Mar 2018 | 600 | ? | 23.5 15 |
24.0 15 |
12.4 7 |
28.0 17 |
– | 5.9 3 |
1.7 0 |
0.8 0 |
w.AM | – | 4.0 |
| NC Report/La Razón[p 14][p 15] | 26–29 Apr 2017 | 700 | 63.6 | 36.2 22 |
31.4 19 |
14.9 9 |
12.2 7 |
– | – | – | – | w.AM | – | 4.8 |
| Invymark/laSexta[p 16] | 26–27 Apr 2017 | ? | ? | 31.0 19 |
31.8 19 |
17.2 10 |
14.6 9 |
– | – | – | – | w.AM | – | 0.8 |
| Metroscopia/El País[p 17][p 18] | 24–26 Apr 2017 | 600 | 72 | 24.2 15 |
31.8 19 |
16.0 10 |
21.4 13 |
– | – | – | – | w.AM | – | 7.6 |
| 2016 general election[5] | 26 Jun 2016 | N/A | 73.8 | 40.2 24 |
– | 19.0 11 |
16.6 10 |
0.4 0 |
w.UP | 0.5 0 |
1.0 0 |
w.UP | 21.2 12 |
19.0 |
| 2015 general election[6] | 20 Dec 2015 | N/A | 76.6 | 35.8 22 |
– | 17.0 10 |
17.4 10 |
1.3 0 |
5.3 3 |
0.7 0 |
0.7 0 |
20.8 12 |
– | 15.0 |
| GAD3/ABC[p 19] | 4–10 Sep 2015 | 502 | ? | 33.7 21 |
29.1 18 |
17.4 10 |
13.8 8 |
– | – | – | – | w.AM | – | 4.6 |
| NC Report/La Razón[p 20][p 21] | 26 Jul–8 Aug 2015 | 900 | 65.7 | 35.0 22 |
30.1 18 |
14.5 9 |
13.5 8 |
0.3 0 |
2.7 0 |
– | – | w.AM | – | 4.9 |
| NC Report/La Razón[p 22][p 23] | 16–20 Jun 2015 | 900 | ? | 35.7 22 |
32.9 20 |
13.0 8 |
12.6 7 |
1.1 0 |
1.3 0 |
– | – | w.AM | – | 2.8 |
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | N/A | 68.9 | 34.6 21 |
31.8 20 |
15.3 9 |
11.4 7 |
1.8 0 |
1.7 0 |
0.6 0 |
0.6 0 |
w.AM | – | 2.8 |
References
- Opinion poll sources
- ↑ "Carmena pierde apoyos y se aleja de revalidar Madrid". La Razón (in Spanish). 17 September 2018.
- ↑ "Radiografía del voto" (PDF). La Razón (in Spanish). 17 September 2018.
- ↑ "Encuesta Ayuntamiento de Madrid: El PP ganaría y tendría mayoría junto a Ciudadanos". La Razón (in Spanish). 14 May 2018.
- ↑ "Intención de voto en el Ayuntamiento de Madrid" (PDF). La Razón (in Spanish). 14 May 2018.
- ↑ "Ciudadanos se convierte en la primera fuerza política de la ciudad de Madrid". El País (in Spanish). 14 May 2018.
- ↑ "Situación política en el Ayuntamiento de Madrid". El País (in Spanish). 14 May 2018.
- ↑ "Barómetro de laSexta: Ahora Madrid y Ciudadanos empatarían a la cabeza en las municipales de Madrid". laSexta (in Spanish). 3 May 2018.
- ↑ "MADRID. Elecciones municipales. Encuesta Invymark para LaSexta. Abril 2018". Electograph (in Spanish). 3 May 2018.
- ↑ "Ciudadanos supera a Carmena y le arrebata la alcaldía con el apoyo del PP". ABC (in Spanish). 1 May 2018.
- ↑ "Vuelco electoral en Madrid: Cs podría hacerse con la Alcaldía con el apoyo del PP". El Mundo (in Spanish). 14 May 2018.
- ↑ "Sondeo Equipo MEG abril 2018 para el Ayuntamiento de Madrid". PSOE (in Spanish). 19 April 2018.
- ↑ "MADRID. Elecciones municipales. Sondeo PSOE. Abril 2018". Electograph (in Spanish). 19 April 2018.
- ↑ "Villacís ganaría las elecciones y sería alcaldesa con el apoyo del PP". El Español (in Spanish). 9 April 2018.
- ↑ "La "operación Lezo" no lastra al PP: hoy gobernaría el Ayuntamiento de Madrid". La Razón (in Spanish). 1 May 2017.
- ↑ "Encuesta NC Report abril 2017" (PDF). La Razón (in Spanish). 1 May 2017.
- ↑ "El PP seguiría siendo el partido más votado en la Comunidad de Madrid pero tendría difícil gobernar". laSexta (in Spanish). 2 May 2017.
- ↑ "El PP se desploma y Ahora Madrid se convierte en primera fuerza". El País (in Spanish). 15 May 2017.
- ↑ "Situación política en Madrid". El País (in Spanish). 15 May 2017.
- ↑ "Carmena perdería la alcaldía de Madrid en solo tres meses de gobierno". ABC (in Spanish). 13 September 2015.
- ↑ "PP y C's ganarían hoy en el Ayuntamiento de Madrid". La Razón (in Spanish). 25 August 2015.
- ↑ "Encuesta agosto 2015" (PDF). La Razón (in Spanish). 25 August 2015.
- ↑ "El PP gobernaría hoy Madrid y el PSOE cae por su pacto con Podemos". La Razón (in Spanish). 21 June 2015.
- ↑ "NC Report / 20 de junio de 2015" (PDF). La Razón (in Spanish). 21 June 2015.
- Other
- 1 2 "El 26 de mayo de 2019: elecciones europeas, autonómicas y municipales". Telecinco (in Spanish). 20 March 2018. Retrieved 31 March 2018.
- 1 2 3 "General Electoral System Organic Law of 1985". Organic Law No. 5 of 19 June 1985. Official State Gazette (in Spanish). Retrieved 28 December 2016.
- 1 2 3 "Representation of the people Institutional Act". juntaelectoralcentral.es. Central Electoral Commission. Retrieved 16 June 2017.
- 1 2 3 "Regulation of the Basis of Local Regimes Law of 1985". Law No. 7 of 2 April 1985. Official State Gazette (in Spanish). Retrieved 27 August 2017.
- ↑ "Electoral Results Consultation. Congress. June 2016. Madrid Municipality". infoelectoral.mir.es (in Spanish). Ministry of the Interior. Retrieved 12 November 2017.
- ↑ "Electoral Results Consultation. Congress. December 2015. Madrid Municipality". infoelectoral.mir.es (in Spanish). Ministry of the Interior. Retrieved 12 November 2017.