German presidential election, 2022

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The next presidential election (officially the 17th Federal Convention) will be held in Germany no later than thirty days before the sitting president's term ends, as mandated by the German Constitution, the Grundgesetz, unless the presidency falls vacant prematurely. On 19 March 2017 Frank-Walter Steinmeier, who has been elected by the 16th Federal Convention on 12 February 2017, entered office and started his first five-year-term as president. Therefore the next Federal Convention will convene no later than 16 February 2022. If Steinmeier's term ends prematurely, the Federal Convention will meet no later than thirty days after the start of the vacancy.[1]

Composition of the Federal Convention

The Federal Convention consists of all the members of the current Bundestag and an equal number of state electors, that is distributed on the sixteen states of Germany in proportion to the states respective population. The state electors are elected by the state-legislatures.[1] Until February 2022, at least one federal election to the Bundestag will be held (presumably 2021) and in twelve states there will be at least one state election, so any projection about the composition of the Federal Convention would be highly speculative, as yet (June 2018).[2]

The results of the following elections could potentially affect the composition of the 17th Federal Convention, assuming Steinmeier's term will not end prematurely:

  • Saarland state election, 2017, held on 26 March 2017 (CDU 40.7%, SPD 29.6%, The Left 12.9%, AfD 6.2%)
  • Schleswig-Holstein state election, 2017, held on 7 May 2017 (CDU 32%, SPD 27.2%, Greens 12.9%, FDP 11.5%, AfD 5.9%, SSW 3.3%[lower-alpha 1])
  • North Rhine-Westphalia state election, 2017, held on 14 May 2017 (CDU 33%, SPD 31.2%, FDP 12.6%, AfD 7.4%, Greens 6.4%)
  • Lower Saxony state election, 2017, held on 15 October 2017 (SPD 36.9%, CDU 33.6%, Greens 8.7%, FDP 7.5%, AfD 6.2%)
  • Bavaria state election, 2018, will be held on 14 October 2018
  • Hesse state election, 2018, will be held on 28 October 2018
  • Bremen state election, 2019, will be held 26 May 2019
  • Saxony state election, 2019, will be held in 2019 (summer)
  • Brandenburg state election, 2019, will be held in 2019 (autumn)
  • Thuringia state election, 2019, will be held in 2019 (autumn)
  • Hamburg state election, 2020, will be held in 2020 (spring)
  • Baden-Württemberg state election, 2021, will be held in 2021 (spring)
  • Rhineland-Palatinate state election, 2021, will be held in 2021 (spring)
  • Saxony-Anhalt state election, 2021, will be held in 2021 (spring)
  • Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, 2021, will be held in 2021 (autumn)
  • Berlin state election, 2021, will be held in 2021 (autumn)
  • German federal election, 2021, will be held in 2021 (summer or autumn)

Potential candidates

Every member of the Federal Convention (members of the Bundestag and state electors, once they are elected by their respective state parliament) can propose candidates for the presidency. It is required that the President is a German citizen and at least 40 years old. Every candidate has to declare his consent to running. Candidates can be proposed before the Federal Convention and (theoretically) during the Convention before every ballot. If the President-elect is a member of a legislature or a government on federal or state level, he has to resign from that office before the start of his term. A sitting President is not allowed to run for a third consecutive term.

References

  1. 1 2 Grundgesetz: Art. 54 De Jure
  2. ↑ Wahltermine Wahlen, Wahlrecht und Wahlsysteme
  1. ↑ The SSW is exempt from the 5%-threshold, as it represents the national minority of the Danes in Schleswig-Holstein
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