French presidential election, 2022
| |||
| |||
Opinion polls | |||
| |||
|
The first round of the 2022 French presidential election will be held between 8 and 23 April 2022, with the second round held two weeks after the first. Should no candidate win a majority of the vote in the first round, a runoff will be held between the top two candidates two weeks later. The incumbent president is Emmanuel Macron of La République En Marche!, who won the 2017 presidential election and whose term lasts until 13 May 2022.
Background
The President of the French Republic is elected to a five-year term in a two-round election under Article 7 of the constitution: if no candidate secures an absolute majority of votes in the first round, a second round is held two weeks later between the two candidates who received the most votes.[1] Per the constitution, the first round of the presidential election must be held between 20 and 35 days before the transition of power at the end of the five-year term of the incumbent president. Because Emmanuel Macron took office on 14 May 2017, the transition of power is slated to take place on 13 May 2022, meaning that the first round of the presidential election will be held between 8 and 23 April 2022, with the second round held two weeks after the first.[2]
To be listed on the first-round ballot, candidates must secure 500 signatures (often referred to as parrainages) from national or local elected officials from at least 30 different departments or overseas collectivities, with no more than a tenth of these signatories from any single department.[3]
Potential candidates
La République En Marche!
- Emmanuel Macron, incumbent president since 2017, eligible for a second term[4]
The Republicans
- Valérie Pécresse, president of the regional council of Île-de-France since 2015[5]
- Laurent Wauquiez, president of The Republicans since 2017, president of the regional council of Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes since 2016[6]
Following the 2017 presidential election, The Republicans (LR) sent its members a questionnaire on the topic of the "refoundation" of the party; of the 40,000 respondents, 70% voted against an open primary to determine the party nominee.[7]
National Rally
- Marine Le Pen, president of the National Rally since 2011, deputy for Pas-de-Calais's 11th constituency since 2017, regional councillor of Hauts-de-France since 2016, and candidate in the 2012 and 2017 presidential elections[8]
- Marion Maréchal, deputy for Vaucluse's 3rd constituency from 2012 to 2017 and regional councillor of Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur from 2015 to 2017[9]
La France Insoumise
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon, deputy for Bouches-du-Rhône's 4th constituency since 2017 and candidate in the 2012 and 2017 presidential elections[10]
- François Ruffin, deputy for Somme's 1st constituency since 2017, journalist, and documentary filmmaker of Merci patron![11]
Socialist Party
- Anne Hidalgo, mayor of Paris since 2014[12]
- François Hollande, president from 2012 to 2017[13]
In a document dated 17 October 2017, the Socialist Party (PS) noted that the financing of the 2022 presidential campaign was not assured despite "economic restructuring" but still planned to spend €12,000,000, the maximum permitted before the first round. According to the report, the leadership of the party seriously considered the possibility of not presenting a socialist candidate in 2022.[14]
Debout la France
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, president of Debout la France, deputy for Essonne's 8th constituency, and candidate in the 2012 and 2017 presidential elections[15]
Génération.s
- Benoît Hamon, regional councillor of Île-de-France since 2015, Minister of National Education, Higher Education and Research in 2014, and candidate in the 2017 presidential election[16]
Independents
- Jean Lassalle, deputy for Pyrénées-Atlantiques's 4th constituency since 2002, candidate in the 2017 presidential election[17]
- Xavier Bertrand, president of the regional council of Hauts-de-France since 2016[18]
Declined to be candidates
- Jacques Cheminade, candidate of Solidarity and Progress (S&P) in the 1995, 2012, and 2017 presidential elections[19]
- Cécile Duflot, Minister of Housing and Territorial Equality from 2012 to 2014 and national secretary of Europe Ecology – The Greens (EELV) from 2010 to 2012[20]
- François Fillon, prime minister from 2007 to 2012 and candidate of The Republicans (LR) in the 2017 presidential election[21]
- Bruno Le Maire, Minister of Economy and Finance since 2017 and candidate in the 2016 primary of the right and centre[22]
- Philippe Poutou, candidate of the New Anticapitalist Party (NPA) in the 2012 and 2017 presidential elections[23]
- Nicolas Sarkozy, president from 2007 to 2012 and candidate in the 2016 primary of the right and centre[24]
Opinion polls
First round
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Arthaud LO |
Poutou NPA |
Mélenchon FI |
Hamon Génération.s |
Macron REM |
Lassalle Résistons! |
Wauquiez LR |
Fillon LR |
Dupont-Aignan DLF |
Le Pen RN |
Asselineau UPR |
Cheminade S&P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ifop-Fiducial | 12–16 Apr 2018 | 1,201 | – | 0.5% | 1% | 16.5% | 7% | 36% | 1% | 8% | – | 6% | 23% | 1% | <0.5% |
0.5% | 1% | 16.5% | 6% | 33% | 1% | – | 12% | 6% | 23% | 1% | <0.5% | ||||
Ifop | 13–18 Oct 2017 | 1,908 | – | 1% | 1.5% | 18% | 7% | 28% | 1.5% | – | 15% | 5% | 21.5% | 1% | 0.5% |
2017 election | 23 Apr 2017 | – | 22.23% | 0.64% | 1.09% | 19.58% | 6.36% | 24.01% | 1.21% | – | 20.01% | 4.70% | 21.30% | 0.92% | 0.18% |
References
- ↑ "Constitution du 4 octobre 1958 - Article 7". Légifrance. Retrieved 8 December 2017.
- ↑ "Comment les dates de l'élection sont-elles choisies ?". Conseil constitutionnel présidentielle 2017. Retrieved 8 December 2017.
- ↑ "Concernant les parrainages, qu'est-ce qui a changé depuis 2012 ?". Conseil constitutionnel présidentielle 2017. Retrieved 8 December 2017.
- ↑ Sébastien Tronche (2 July 2017). "Richard Ferrand aux députés LREM : "l'objectif, c'est la réélection d'Emmanuel Macron en 2022"". Europe 1. Retrieved 8 December 2017.
- ↑ Valérie Hacot (11 September 2017). "Avec son nouveau mouvement Libres!, Pécresse se fait le refuge des anti-Wauquiez". Le Parisien. Retrieved 8 December 2017.
- ↑ Alain Duhamel (11 October 2017). "Laurent Wauquiez, le challenger de 2022". Libération. Retrieved 8 December 2017.
- ↑ Louis Hausalter (22 December 2017). "A droite, "Wauquiez voudra tuer la primaire"". Marianne. Retrieved 16 January 2018.
- ↑ "Marine Le Pen : "Je suis la plus solide et la mieux placée" pour 2022". Europe 1. Agence France-Presse. 21 September 2017. Retrieved 8 December 2017.
- ↑ "La nouvelle vie de Marion Maréchal-Le Pen, loin de la politique". Europe 1. Maxence Lambrecq. 12 September 2017. Retrieved 8 December 2017.
- ↑ Marcelo Wesfreid (12 July 2017). "Jean-Luc Mélenchon se pose en premier opposant au gouvernement". Le Figaro. Retrieved 8 December 2017.
- ↑ Jules Pecnard (24 May 2018). "Ruffin, candidat à une présidentielle ? «Je suis là pour vivre des aventures»". Le Figaro. Retrieved 2 June 2018.
- ↑ Myriam Encaoua (16 October 2017). "Anne Hidalgo : «Nous avons gagné les JO 2024 car nous sommes engagés dans l'écologie»". Le Parisien. Retrieved 8 December 2017.
- ↑ "Législatives : François Hollande réconforte les socialistes battus". Le Parisien. 13 June 2017. Retrieved 8 December 2017.
- ↑ Marie-Pierre Haddad (2 November 2017). "Et si le Parti socialiste n'était pas en mesure de présenter un candidat en 2022 ?". RTL. Retrieved 16 January 2018.
- ↑ Lucas Burel; Paul Laubacher (29 October 2017). "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, l'homme qui y croit encore". L'Obs. Retrieved 8 December 2017.
- ↑ "Hamon lance son mouvement et quitte le PS". Les Échos. Agence France-Presse. 1 July 2017. Retrieved 8 December 2017.
- ↑ Zacharie Kartener; Céleste Relave (21 September 2018). "Afterwork DTGE : Quand Jean remplit Lassalle". La Péniche. Retrieved 21 September 2018.
- ↑ Bruno Roger-Petit (26 June 2017). "Xavier Bertrand, dernier espoir de la droite avant Wauquiez". Challenges. Retrieved 8 December 2017.
- ↑ Romain David (18 March 2017). "Jacques Cheminade, le dernier tour de piste d'un ovni de la présidentielle". Europe 1. Retrieved 2 June 2018.
- ↑ Abel Mestre (5 April 2018). "Cécile Duflot : « Je quitte la politique avec beaucoup de sérénité »". Le Monde. Retrieved 5 April 2018.
- ↑ Michaël Bloch (19 November 2017). "François Fillon : "La politique peut vous détruire"". Le Journal du Dimanche. Retrieved 8 December 2017.
- ↑ Arthur Berdah (19 November 2017). "Bruno Le Maire exhorte Emmanuel Macron à se représenter en 2022". Le Figaro. Retrieved 8 December 2017.
- ↑ Clarisse Martin (20 April 2017). "Philippe Poutou ne sera pas candidat à la présidentielle de 2022". RTL. Agence France-Presse. Retrieved 8 December 2017.
- ↑ "Nicolas Sarkozy : «J'abandonne la politique parce qu'on ne gagne pas assez d'argent»". La Dépêche du Midi. 11 August 2017. Retrieved 8 December 2017.