Opinion polling for the next Portuguese legislative election

In the run up to the next Portuguese legislative election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Portugal. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous legislative election, held on 6 October 2019, to the present day.

Nationwide polling

Graphical summary

Polling

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded but both are displayed in bold. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication.

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout CDU O Lead
Intercampus 9–13 Jun 2020 610 ? 40.0 24.1 9.8 6.2 4.1 3.1 6.8 1.9 0.8 3.2 15.9
Aximage 5–8 Jun 2020 605 59.2 39.9 25.8 8.0 4.9 1.2 4.3 5.3 1.4 0.2 9.0 14.1
Eurosondagem 1–4 Jun 2020 1,021 ? 38.0 29.3 8.0 5.3 2.7 3.0 4.1 1.1 8.5 8.7
Pitagórica 16–24 May 2020 802 ? 44.8 24.1 6.1 5.8 2.8 3.3 6.4 1.6 5.1 20.7
Eurosondagem 17–20 May 2020 2,120 ? 37.9 30.0 8.1 5.2 3.2 2.2 4.3 1.2 7.9 7.9
Intercampus 5–9 May 2020 620 ? 40.3 23.3 9.0 5.9 3.6 3.6 6.8 3.2 0.7 3.6 17.0
Eurosondagem 4–7 May 2020 1,005 ? 37.7 29.4 8.3 5.5 3.0 2.5 4.0 1.2 8.4 8.3
Pitagórica 15–26 Apr 2020 605 ? 41.9 23.1 8.1 5.6 2.6 2.6 7.3 2.6 6.2 18.8
Intercampus 9–14 Apr 2020 623 ? 35.4 23.3 11.9 5.8 3.9 4.9 7.8 2.4 0.7 3.9 12.1
Eurosondagem 29 Mar–2 Apr 2020 1,008 ? 37.5 27.2 9.0 6.0 2.8 2.4 3.6 1.2 10.3 10.3
Pitagórica 13–21 Mar 2020 605 ? 41.7 25.2 8.6 5.4 2.9 3.1 8.1 2.0 3.1 16.5
Intercampus 13–19 Mar 2020 611 ? 31.4 21.9 14.5 6.1 3.6 5.9 8.6 2.3 0.2 5.5 9.5
Eurosondagem 1–5 Mar 2020 1,011 ? 37.3 27.4 8.8 6.3 2.9 2.8 3.3 1.1 10.1 9.9
Aximage 14–18 Feb 2020 839 56.1 35.1 26.1 7.7 5.4 2.1 4.1 4.3 2.5 0.7 12.0 9.0
Intercampus 11–17 Feb 2020 614 ? 31.1 23.8 13.2 6.3 3.5 5.4 6.9 2.9 0.8 6.1 7.3
Eurosondagem 2–6 Feb 2020 1,020 ? 37.4 26.7 9.0 6.5 3.3 3.1 2.5 1.1 0.5 9.9 10.7
ICS/ISCTE 22 Jan–5 Feb 2020 800 ? 33 28 9 8 4 3 6 2 1 6 5
Intercampus 19–24 Jan 2020 619 ? 32.8 25.8 11.9 6.2 1.9 6.0 6.2 2.3 1.7 5.2 7.0
Eurosondagem 5–9 Jan 2020 1,010 ? 37.2 26.5 9.6 6.6 3.5 3.6 2.2 1.3 0.6 8.9 10.7
Intercampus 12–17 Dec 2019 606 ? 33.9 25.7 10.7 6.3 3.9 6.1 5.7 2.4 1.1 4.2 8.2
Eurosondagem 8–12 Dec 2019 1,019 ? 37.1 26.9 9.5 7.1 3.6 3.5 1.9 1.1 0.6 8.7 10.2
Intercampus 20–26 Nov 2019 604 ? 34.9 24.9 10.8 8.1 2.9 4.8 4.8 2.9 2.7 3.2 10.0
Eurosondagem 17–21 Nov 2019 1,011 ? 36.9 27.1 10.1 6.9 4.0 3.3 11.7 9.8
Aximage 8–11 Nov 2019 639 ? 37.4 27.1 10.4 6.2 4.0 3.2 3.0 1.3 0.9 6.5 10.3
Intercampus 22–28 Oct 2019 604 ? 35.6 24.8 10.7 6.9 4.4 5.3 2.5 0.8 2.7 6.3 10.8
2019 Legislative Election 6 Oct 2019 N/A 48.6 36.4
108
27.8
79
9.5
19
6.3
12
4.2
5
3.3
4
1.3
1
1.3
1
1.1
1
8.8
0
8.6

Leadership polls

Preferred Prime Minister

Poll results showing public opinion on who would make the best Prime Minister are shown in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first.

António Costa vs Rui Rio

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date N Both/
O
NO Lead
Aximage 5–8 Jun 2020 57.3 18.2 39.1
Aximage 7–10 Mar 2020 41.1 21.3 30.8 19.8
Aximage 14–18 Feb 2020 43.8 21.8 24.7 3.9 5.8 22.0
Aximage 9–12 Jan 2020 43.6 19.5 27.5 2.8 6.6 24.1

Cabinet approval/disapproval ratings

Poll results showing public opinion on the performance of the Government are shown in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first.

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size António Costa's cabinet
Approve Disapprove Average No opinion Net
Pitagórica 16–24 May 2020 802 53 10 37 0 16
Intercampus 6–9 May 2020 620 62.9 11.5 23.7 1.9 39.2
Pitagórica 15–26 Apr 2020 605 48 11 41 0 7
Intercampus 9–14 Apr 2020 623 67.4 10.7 20.1 1.8 47.3
Pitagórica 13–21 Mar 2020 605 33 20 47 0 14
Intercampus 13–19 Mar 2020 611 47.9 25.2 25.7 2.1 22.2
Eurosondagem 1–5 Mar 2020 1,011 42.5 26.9 0.0 30.6 15.6
Intercampus 11–17 Feb 2020 614 31.6 33.4 32.9 2.1 0.5
Eurosondagem 2–6 Feb 2020 1,020 43.3 26.9 0.0 30.0 16.4
ICS/ISCTE 22 Jan–5 Feb 2020 800 57 34 0 9 23
Intercampus 19–24 Jan 2020 619 35.1 31.6 31.3 1.9 3.5
Eurosondagem 5–9 Jan 2020 1,010 42.9 26.8 0.0 30.3 16.1
Intercampus 12–17 Dec 2019 606 33.7 34.5 28.7 3.1 0.8
Eurosondagem 8–12 Dec 2019 1,019 43.4 26.6 0.0 30.0 16.8
Intercampus 20–26 Nov 2019 604 34.3 30.3 31.0 4.5 3.3
Eurosondagem 17–21 Nov 2019 1,011 43.7 26.8 0.0 29.5 16.9
Intercampus 22–28 Oct 2019 604 36.7 28.1 31.6 3.5 5.1
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