Opinion polling for the 2002 New Zealand general election
Opinion polling was commissioned throughout the duration of the 46th New Zealand Parliament in the lead up to the 2002 election by various organisations.
Party vote
Polls are listed in the table below in chronological order. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between survey firms.
Graphical summary
Individual polls
| Poll | Date[nb 1] | Labour | National | Alliance | ACT | Green | NZ First | United Future |
Prog |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999 election result[1] | 27 Nov 1999 | 38.74 | 30.50 | 7.74 | 7.04 | 5.16 | 4.26 | N/A[nb 2] | |
| Herald-DigiPoll | 30 Jun 2000 | 43 | 32 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 6 | – | – |
| June 2000 – Dover Samuels resigns from Cabinet pending an investigation into alleged sex crimes committed before he entered politics. | |||||||||
| NBR-Compaq | 7–10 Sep 2000 | 36 | 41 | 6 | 4 | 7 | – | – | – |
| TV3-NFO | 9 Apr 2001 | 50 | 32 | 3.7 | 4.2 | 5 | 2 | 0.5 | – |
| NBR-Compaq | 5 May 2001 | 43 | 32 | 5 | 6 | 6.5 | – | – | – |
| One News Colmar Brunton | 14 May 2001 | 44 | 41 | 2 | – | 6 | – | – | – |
| TV3-NFO | 11 Jun 2001 | 49 | 31 | 3.5 | 2 | 7 | 3.3 | – | – |
| 8 October 2001 – Bill English is elected leader of the National Party. | |||||||||
| One News Colmar Brunton | 9–12 Oct 2001 | 46 | 39 | 2 | 3.1 | 5 | 3.5 | – | – |
| NBR-Compaq | 19 Oct 2001 | 43 | 33 | 3.8 | 5.2 | 8 | 3.6 | – | – |
| One News Colmar Brunton | 12 Nov 2001 | 44 | 40 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | – | – |
| April 2002 – Jim Anderton leaves the Alliance and Laila Harré replaces him as leader. | |||||||||
| NBR HP-Invent | 7 Jun 2002 | 53 | 29 | 0.5 | 4.5 | 7.2 | 3.3 | – | 1.3 |
| TV3-NFO | 10 Jun 2002 | 56 | 24 | 1.2 | 3.9 | 9 | 3.1 | – | <0.5 |
| Herald-DigiPoll | 10 Jun 2002 | 49.9 | 31.2 | 0.1 | 4.7 | 7.7 | 2.5 | 0.1 | 0.7 |
| One News Colmar Brunton | 17 Jun 2002 | 53 | 27 | 0.5 | 4 | 9 | 3 | – | 2 |
| Herald-DigiPoll | 26 Jun 2002 | 52.1 | 25.7 | 0.5 | 4.4 | 8.3 | 3.8 | – | 2 |
| Herald-DigiPoll | 3 Jul 2002 | 51.2 | 24.6 | 0.4 | 5.7 | 9.6 | 4.4 | 0.1 | 1.4 |
| TV3-NFO | 5 Jul 2002 | 51 | 24 | 1.1 | 5 | 10.8 | 5.7 | – | 1.1 |
| Herald-DigiPoll | 11 Jul 2002 | 48 | 24.5 | 0.4 | 5.8 | 10.1 | 6.4 | 0.7 | 1.5 |
| TV3-NFO | 11 Jul 2002 | 48 | 24 | 1.2 | 6.3 | 7.9 | 7.9 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| One News Colmar Brunton | 15 Jul 2002 | 46 | 27 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 6 | – | 1 |
| Herald-DigiPoll | 17 Jul 2002 | 46.7 | 23.1 | 0.4 | 5.5 | 11.3 | 8.3 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| TV3-NFO | 18 Jul 2002 | 46 | 25 | 1.4 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Herald-DigiPoll | 22 Jul 2002 | 40.8 | 23.6 | 0.4 | 8.1 | 6.9 | 10.2 | 6.6 | 1.3 |
| One News Colmar Brunton | 25 Jul 2002 | 44 | 21 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 0.5 |
| TV3-NFO | 25 Jul 2002 | 43 | 21 | 1.4 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 3.9 | 1.2 |
| Herald-DigiPoll | 26 Jul 2002 | 38.8 | 23.2 | 1.3 | 8.9 | 9 | 9.6 | 5.4 | 1.4 |
| 2002 election result[2] | 27 Jul 2002 | 41.26 | 20.93 | 1.27 | 7.14 | 7.00 | 10.38 | 6.69 | 1.70 |
Preferred Prime Minister
Individual polls
| Poll | Date[nb 1] | Helen Clark | Jenny Shipley | Winston Peters | Jim Anderton |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TV3-NFO | 9 Apr 2001 | 36 | 11 | – | – |
| One News Colmar Brunton | 14 May 2001 | 37 | 17 | – | 3 |
| Poll | Date[nb 1] | Helen Clark | Bill English | Winston Peters | Jim Anderton |
| One News Colmar Brunton | 9–12 Oct 2001 | 41 | 21 | – | – |
| One News Colmar Brunton | 12 Nov 2001 | 40 | 19 | – | – |
| One News Colmar Brunton | 17 Jun 2002 | 52 | 17 | 4 | 2 |
| One News Colmar Brunton | 15 Jul 2002 | 48 | 19 | 7 | 2 |
Electorate polling
Candidate vote
| Poll | Date[nb 1] | Marian Hobbs | Hekia Parata | Robert Reid |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominion Post BRC | 2-4 Jul 2002 | 32 | 15 | 1 |
Candidate vote
| Poll | Date[nb 1] | Jim Anderton | Mike Mora | Alex Neil | Sean Gourley |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMR Research | 22 Jul 2002 | 40.6 | 26.4 | 19 | 2 |
Candidate vote
| Poll | Date[nb 1] | Lynne Pillay | Laila Harré | Marie Hasler |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Link | 24 Jul 2002 | 33 | 25 | 24 |
Candidate vote
| Poll | Date[nb 1] | Sandra Goudie | Max Purnell | Jeanette Fitzsimons |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Link | 24 Jul 2002 | 33 | 27 | 24 |
Candidate vote
| Poll | Date[nb 1] | Dover Samuels | Mere Mangu |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marae DigiPoll | 6–17 Jul 2002 | 44 | 9 |
Notes
- These are the survey dates of the poll, or if the survey dates are not stated, the date the poll was released.
- United Future was founded in 2000 and Jim Anderton's Progressive Party was founded in 2002, thus neither party contested the 1999 general election.
References
- "1999 GENERAL ELECTION - Summary of Overall Results". Wellington: Electoral Commission. 27 November 1999. Retrieved 15 December 2017.
- "Official Count Results -- Overall Status". Wellington: Electoral Commission. 10 August 2002. Retrieved 15 December 2017.
This article is issued from Wikipedia. The text is licensed under Creative Commons - Attribution - Sharealike. Additional terms may apply for the media files.