2020 Tuscan regional election

The 2020 Tuscan regional election will take place in Tuscany, Italy sometime between 15 September and 15 November. It was originally scheduled to take place on 31 May 2020, but it was delayed due to the coronavirus pandemic in Italy.[1][2]

2020 Tuscan regional election

TBD

All 41 seats in the Regional Council
  Majority party Minority party
 
Leader Eugenio Giani Susanna Ceccardi
Party Democratic Party League
Alliance Centre-left coalition Centre-right coalition

President before election

Enrico Rossi
Democratic Party

Elected President

TBD

Electoral law

Tuscany uses its own legislation of 2014 to elect its Regional Council. The councillors are elected in provincial constituencies by proportional representation using the D'Hondt method. Florence constituency is further divided into 4 sub-constituencies. Preferential voting is allowed: a maximum of two preferences can be expressed for candidates of the same party list and provided the two chosen candidates are of different gender.

In this system parties are grouped in alliances, supporting a candidate for the post of President of Tuscany. The candidate receiving at least 40% of the votes is elected to the post and his/her list (or the coalition) is awarded a majority in the Regional Council. If no candidate gets more than 40% of the votes, a run-off is held fourteen days after, with only the two top candidates from the first round allowed. The winning candidate is assured a majority in the Regional Council.[3]

Council apportionment

According to the official 2011 Italian census, the 40 Council seats which must be covered by proportional representation are so distributed between Tuscan provinces. The number of seats to be assigned in each province is the following:

 AR  FI  GR  LI  LU  MS  PI  PT  PO  SI 
4 11 2 4 4 2 4 3 3 3

The Province of Florence is further divided into smaller electoral colleges.

Parties and candidates

Political alliance Constituent lists Leader
Centre-left coalition Democratic Party (PD)
Eugenio Giani
Italia Viva (IV)
Tuscany 2020 (incl. Art.1)
More Europe (+E)
Green Europe (EV)
Svolta! (incl. Volt and IiC)
Centre-right coalition League (Lega)
Susanna Ceccardi
Forza Italia (FI)
Brothers of Italy (FdI)
Five Star Movement (M5S)
Irene Galletti
Tuscany to the Left (incl. PRC, PaP)
Tommaso Fattori
Communist Party (PC)
Salvatore Catello
Italian Communist Party (PCI)
TBA

Polls

Candidates

Date Polling firm/
Client
Sample size Giani Ceccardi Other CDX Galletti Fattori Catello Others Undecided Lead
26 Jun 2020 Noto[lower-alpha 1] 1,000 46.0 40.0 N/A 8.0 N/A N/A 6.0 N/A 6.0
29–31 May 2020 Noto[lower-alpha 1] 1,000 44.0 40.0 N/A 8.0 3.0 2.0 3.0 24.0 4.0
18–19 Feb 2020 EMG 1,000 50.0 40.0 N/A 5.5 N/A 3.0 1.5 N/A 10.0
19–23 Dec 2019 EMG 48.0 N/A 40.5[lower-alpha 2] 8.5 N/A N/A 3.0 N/A 7.5
48.0 40.0 N/A 9.0 N/A N/A 3.0 N/A 8.0
48.0 N/A 39.5[lower-alpha 3] 9.0 N/A N/A 3.0 N/A 8.5
28 Nov–5 Dec 2019 SWG 1,000 44.0 44.0 N/A 7.0 N/A N/A 5.0 17.0 Tie
46.0 46.0 N/A w. CSX N/A N/A 8.0 20.0 Tie

Parties

Date Polling firm Sample size Centre-left Centre-right M5S Others Undecided Lead
PD IV LS Other Lega FI FdI Other
29–31 May 2020 Noto[lower-alpha 1] 1,000 33.0 6.0 1.5 4.5 24.0 4.0 11.5 3.0 5.0 7.5 26.0 9.0
18–19 Feb 2020 EMG 1,000 32.0 10.0 6.0 27.0 3.0 11.0 6.0 5.0 N/A 5.0
29 Dec 2019 EMG 30.0 7.0 4.0 4.0 27.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 N/A 3.0
28 Nov–5 Dec 2019 SWG 1,000 29.0 5.0 4.5 5.5 34.0 3.0 5.0 2.5 8.0 3.5 18.0 5.0
12–18 Jul 2018 Ipsos 800 28.5 N/A 3.9 2.3 29.5 8.4 4.0 0.2 21.0 2.2 N/A 1.0
  1. This poll was commissioned by a political party.
  2. Antonfrancesco Vivarelli Colonna (Independent)
  3. Giovanni Donzelli (FdI)

See also

References

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