Pre-election pendulum for the New South Wales state election, 2015
The Mackerras Pendulum for the 2015 New South Wales state election
Legislative Assembly
Pendulum
LABOR SEATS | |||
Marginal | |||
Marrickville | Carmel Tebbutt | ALP v GRN | 0.9 points |
Wollongong | Noreen Hay | ALP v IND | 1.0 points |
Maroubra | Michael Daley | ALP | 1.6 points |
Fairfield | Guy Zangari | ALP | 1.7 points |
Kogarah | Cherie Burton | ALP | 1.9 points |
Cabramatta | Nick Lalich | ALP | 2.1 points |
Blacktown | John Robertson | ALP | 3.7 points |
Keira | Ryan Park | ALP | 3.9 points |
Cessnock | Clayton Barr | ALP | 4.4 points |
Miranda | Barry Collier5 | ALP | 5.2 points |
Fairly safe | |||
Wallsend | Sonia Hornery | ALP | 6.6 points |
Mount Druitt | Richard Amery | ALP | 6.7 points |
Lakemba | Robert Furolo | ALP | 7.0 points |
Canterbury | Linda Burney | ALP | 8.3 points |
Auburn | Barbara Perry | ALP | 8.5 points |
Shellharbour | Anna Watson | ALP | 8.6 points |
Newcastle | Tim Crakanthorp | ALP | 8.7 points |
Safe | |||
Bankstown | Tania Mihailuk | ALP | 10.3 points |
Liverpool | Paul Lynch | ALP | 14.7 points |
Heffron | Ron Hoenig2 | ALP v GRN | 20.0 points |
Charlestown | Jodie Harrison7 | ALP v GRN | 20.6 points |
Safe | |||
INDEPENDENT & OTHER SEATS | |||
Balmain | Jamie Parker | GRN v LIB | 3.5 points |
Newtown | Newly created electorate | GRN v ALP | 4.4 points |
Sydney | Alex Greenwich3 | IND v LIB | 13.7 points |
Lake Macquarie | Greg Piper | IND v LIB | 14.9 points |
- ^ Member for Clarence, Steve Cansdell, resigned on 16 September 2011. He was succeeded by Chris Gulaptis at the Clarence state by-election, 2011.
- ^ Member for Heffron, Kristina Keneally, resigned on 29 June 2012. She was succeeded by Ron Hoenig at the Heffron state by-election, 2012.
- ^ Member for Sydney, Clover Moore, was forced to resign on 20 September 2012. She was succeeded by Alex Greenwich at the Sydney state by-election, 2012.
- ^ Member for Northern Tablelands, Richard Torbay, resigned on 20 March 2013. He was succeeded by Adam Marshall at the Northern Tablelands state by-election, 2013.
- ^ Member for Miranda, Graham Annesley, resigned on 28 August 2013. He was succeeded by Barry Collier at the Miranda state by-election, 2013.
- ^ Member for Wyong, Darren Webber, Member for The Entrance, Chris Spence and Member for Terrigal, Chris Hartcher were suspended for the Liberal Party due to investigations undertaken by the ICAC
- ^ Member for Charlestown, Andrew Cornwell, resigned with immediate effect in August 2014. He was succeeded by Jodie Harrison at the Charlestown state by-election, 2014.
- ^ As a result of a redistribution, the ALP-held seat of Macquarie Fields becomes notionally Liberal. ALP-held Toongabbie is replaced by the notionally Liberal electorate of Seven Hills.[3]
Legislative Council
Current balance
Party | Seats held | Current 42-seat Council | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2011 | Now | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Labor Party | 14 | 14 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Liberal Party | 12 | 10 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
National Party | 7 | 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The Greens | 5 | 5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Shooters and Fishers Party | 2 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Christian Democratic Party | 2 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Independents | 0 | 2[4] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
References
- ↑ http://www.abc.net.au/news/nsw-election-2015/guide/pendulum/
- ↑ http://www.abc.net.au/elections/nsw/2013/redistribution.htm
- ↑ http://www.abc.net.au/elections/nsw/2013/redistribution.htm
- ↑ http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/nation/nsw-police-minister-mike-gallacher-resigns-over-alleged-donation-scam-raised-at-icac-hearing/story-e6frg6nf-1226903206764
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