Polish presidential election, 2020
 | |||
| |||
|
| |||
| |||
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Poland in 2020, although they may be held earlier if the office of President become vacated as a result of death, resignation or removal from office. Incumbent president, Andrzej Duda, is eligible for reelection.
Electoral system
The President of Poland is directly elected using the two-round system. They are limited to two five-year terms. The term of Andrzej Duda will expire on 6 August 2020, and the president-elect will take oath of office on that day, before the National Assembly (a joint session of the Sejm and Senat).
Possible candidates
Law and Justice
- Andrzej Duda, President of Poland is eligible to run for a second term. His approval ratings are high – In September 2017, his approval rating stood at 71% and in February 2018, at 72%. A record surpassed only by Aleksander Kwaśniewski from 1995 to 2005, whose approval ratings surpassed 75%.[1] [2]
Civic Platform
- Donald Tusk, President of the European Council, former Prime Minister of Poland and a candidate in 2005. He is widely expected to run, as his term expires at the end of 2019.[3][4]
Modern
- Kamila Gasiuk-Pihowicz, Polish lawyer and politician. Deputy leader of Modern.
Kukiz'15
- Paweł Kukiz, leader of Kukiz'15, presidential candidate in 2015, Polish punk rock musician. He declared that he supports the current president for now. However, Kukiz has indicated that he would run in the next presidential election, "should the president [Andrzej Duda] retreat to partisan party politics".[5]
Liberty
- Janusz Korwin-Mikke, leader of the Liberty is considered to run, as he has run in every presidential election since 1995.
Independent
Opinion polls
First round
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Undecided/would not vote | Others | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duda PiS |
Kaczyński PiS |
Szydło PiS |
Tusk PO |
Schetyna PO |
Kopacz PO |
Komorowski PO |
Czarzasty SLD |
Kukiz K'15 |
Petru .N |
Lubnauer .N |
Kosiniak-Kamysz PSL |
Biedroń IN |
Zandberg Razem |
Korwin-Mikke Liberty |
Rzepliński IN |
Nowacka IN | ||||
| Ariadna | 17-21 August July 2018 | 14% | 6%[lower-alpha 1] | 34% | 1% | - | 21% | - | - | - | - | 6% | - | - | 1% | 14% | 1% | 2% | - | - |
| Pollster | 11-12 July 2018 | - | 19% | 32% | - | - | 21% | - | - | - | - | 7% | - | - | - | 17% | - | 4% | - | - |
| Millward Brown | 25-26 April 2018 | 6% | 4% | 44% | - | - | 24% | - | - | - | - | 4% | - | - | 2% | 15% | 1% | - | - | - |
| Pollster | 5 April 2018 | - | 4%[lower-alpha 2] | 36% | - | - | 26% | - | - | - | - | 7% | - | 3% | 2% | 19% | - | 3% | - | - |
| IBRiS | 4 April 2018 | 9.3% | - | 33.5% | - | - | 33.0% | - | - | - | - | 6.8% | - | - | 3.0% | 11.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | - | - |
| Pollster | 3-5 January 2018 | - | - | 39% | - | - | 21% | - | - | - | 1% | 9% | - | 2% | 3% | 15% | 3% | 4% | - | 3% |
| Ariadna | 29 September-2 October 2017 | 14.3% | - | 42.7% | - | - | 17.1% | - | - | - | 0.4% | 9.6% | - | - | 0.9% | 12.7% | 1.0% | - | - | 1.3% |
| Pollster | 16-17 August 2017 | - | - | 39% | - | 6% | 31% | 1% | - | - | 3% | 7% | 2% | - | 3% | - | 3% | 5% | - | - |
| Ariadna | 28-31 July 2017 | 14% | - | 37% | - | - | 23% | - | - | - | 0% | 7% | - | - | 2% | 14% | 2% | - | - | 1% |
| IBRiS | 26-27 July 2017 | 9.9% | 1.2%[lower-alpha 3] | 36.2% | - | - | 20.5% | - | - | - | - | 7.7% | 1.5% | - | 4.1% | 16.3% | - | 2.6% | - | - |
| Ariadna | 23-26 June 2017 | 14% | - | 35% | - | - | 23% | - | - | - | 2% | 11% | - | - | 4% | 9% | 1% | - | - | 1% |
| Ariadna | 9-12 June 2017 | 14% | - | 32% | - | - | 27% | - | - | - | 1% | 9% | - | - | 1% | 12% | 1% | - | - | 3% |
| 21% | - | 34% | - | - | - | 8% | - | - | 1% | 8% | - | - | 4% | 17% | 2% | - | - | 5% | ||
| Ariadna | 12-16 May 2017 | 15.4% | - | 31.9% | - | - | 26.9% | - | - | - | - | 8% | - | - | - | 17.8% | - | - | - | - |
| Kantar Public | 26-27 April 2017 | 10% | 1% | 38% | - | - | 31% | - | - | - | - | 12% | - | - | - | 8% | - | - | - | - |
| Dobra Opinia | 30 March-3 April 2017 | - | - | 37.4% | - | - | 25.8% | - | - | - | - | 9.5% | 7.9% | - | 4.8% | 11.1% | - | 3.5% | - | - |
| Pollster | 7-8 March 2017 | - | 8% | 45% | - | - | 25% | - | - | 4% | - | 5% | 2% | - | - | 8% | - | 3% | - | - |
| Pollster | 2-3 January 2017 | - | 17.18% | 41.23% | 0.59% | 1.60% | 11.55% | 0.24% | 0.17% | 3.96% | - | 7.36% | 7.89% | - | - | 2.62% | 0.44% | 3.93% | 1.27% | - |
| IPSOS | 19-21 December 2016 | 16% | 1% | 36% | 1% | - | 18% | 1% | - | - | - | 5% | 8% | - | - | 8% | 1% | - | - | - |
| Pollster | 5-8 February 2016 | - | 9% | 38% | - | - | 16% | 3% | - | - | - | 14% | 17% | - | 3% | - | - | - | - | - |
| Presidential election | 10 May 2015 | - | 7.3% | 34.8% | - | - | - | - | - | 33.8% | - | 20.8% | - | - | - | - | - | 3.3% | - | - |
Second round
Duda v. Tusk
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Undecided/would not vote | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duda IN |
Tusk PO | |||
| Pollster | 9-10 August 2018 | 51% | 49% | - |
| IBRiS | 26-27 July 2018 | 50% | 45% | 5% |
| Pollster | 13-14 June 2018 | 52.5% | 47.5% | - |
| Millward Brown | 25-26 April 2018 | 53% | 44% | 3% |
| Kantar Public | 20-21 November 2017 | 48% | 27% | 25% |
| IBRiS | 14-15 October 2017 | 49.4% | 37.8% | 12.8% |
| Ariadna | 29 September-2 October 2017 | 47.5% | 36.0% | 16.5% |
| Pollster | 20-21 September 2017 | 47% | 53% | - |
| Ariadna | 28-31 July 2017 | 45% | 41% | 14% |
| Millward Brown | 11-12 July 2017 | 52% | 44% | 4% |
| Pollster | 30 June-4 July 2017 | 52% | 48% | - |
| Ariadna | 23-26 June 2017 | 45% | 38% | 17% |
| IPSOS | 19-21 June 2017 | 49.9% | 37.2% | 13% |
| Ariadna | 12-16 May 2017 | 33% | 33.8% | 33.2% |
| Ariadna | 12-16 May 2017 | 30.8% | 27.4% | 41.8%[lower-alpha 4] |
| Millward Brown | 24-25 April 2017 | 45% | 50% | 5% |
| Pollster | 20-21 April 2017 | 39% | 49% | 12% |
| IPSOS | 17-19 March 2017 | 43.7% | 43.9% | 12.4% |
| Millward Brown | 5 October 2016 | 49% | 45% | 6% |
| Millward Brown | 20-22 May 2016 | 47% | 41% | 12% |
Duda v. Biedroń
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Undecided/would not vote | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duda IN |
Biedroń IN | |||
| Millward Brown | 25-26 April 2018 | 58% | 40% | 2% |
| IBRiS | 14-15 October 2017 | 51.4% | 35.1% | 13.5% |
| Ariadna | 28-31 July 2017 | 51% | 32% | 17% |
| Ariadna | 12-16 May 2017 | 47% | 31% | 22% |
| Ariadna | 12-16 May 2017 | 28.3% | 28.1% | 43.6%[lower-alpha 5] |
| IPSOS | 17-19 March 2017 | 46.9% | 34.6% | 18.4% |
| Millward Brown | 20-22 May 2016 | 49% | 32% | 19% |
Duda v. Kukiz
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Undecided/would not vote | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duda IN |
Kukiz K'15 | |||
| Ariadna | 12-16 May 2017 | 26.4% | 16.3% | 57.3%[lower-alpha 6] |
| IPSOS | 17-19 March 2017 | 44.9% | 26.7% | 28.4% |
| Millward Brown | 20-22 May 2016 | 44% | 26% | 30% |
Duda v. Petru
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Undecided/would not vote | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duda IN |
Petru .N | |||
| Millward Brown | 20-22 May 2016 | 47% | 41% | 12% |
Duda v. Schetyna
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Undecided/would not vote | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duda IN |
Schetyna PO | |||
| Millward Brown | 20-22 May 2016 | 48% | 33% | 19% |
Duda v. Nowacka
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Undecided/would not vote | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duda IN |
Nowacka TR | |||
| Millward Brown | 20-22 May 2016 | 50% | 30% | 20% |
Kaczyński v. Tusk
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Undecided/would not vote | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaczyński PiS |
Tusk PO | |||
| Pollster | 9-10 August 2018 | 35% | 65% | - |
| IBRiS | 26-27 July 2018 | 41% | 50% | 9% |
Notes
- ↑ Includes: 5% – Mateusz Morawiecki, 1% – Zbigniew Ziobro.
- ↑ Includes: 4% – Monika Jaruzelska.
- ↑ Includes: 1.2% – Marian Kowalski.
- ↑ 17.3% undecided, 24.5% would not vote
- ↑ 13.8% undecided, 29.8% would not vote
- ↑ 16.7% undecided, 40.6% would not vote
References
- ↑ {{cite web|url=https://dorzeczy.pl/kraj/40293/Sondaz-CBOS-Wielki-wzrost-poparcia-dla-prezydenta-Dudy.html|tile=Sondaż CBOS: Wielki wzrost poparcia dla prezydenta Dudy|website=dorzeczy.pl|accessdate=2 March 2018}}
- ↑ {{cite web|url=http://www.fakt.pl/wydarzenia/polityka/cbos-prezydent-duda-z-najwiekszym-poparciem-premier-morawiecki-na-drugim-miejscu/lr073kx|title: Prezydent Duda z największym poparciem|website=fakt.pl|accessdate: 2 March 2018}}
- ↑ "Wybory prezydenckie w 2020 r. Czy Donald Tusk ma szansę wygrać?" [Will Donald Tusk have a chance to win the 2020 presidential elections?]. Parlamentarny.pl. 29 December 2015. Retrieved 28 March 2017.
- ↑ "Schetyna: Marzy mi się, żeby Donald Tusk był kandydatem na prezydenta koalicji rządzącej" ["Schetyna: I dream of Donald Tusk being the ruling coalition's presidential candidate"]. wprost.pl. 2017-04-26. Retrieved 2017-10-07.
- ↑ "Wybory prezydenckie 2020: Paweł Kukiz kandydatem na prezydenta Polski?" [Presidential election 2020: Paweł Kukiz being the presidential candidate?]. Parlamentarny.pl. 12 October 2017. Retrieved 22 October 2017.
- ↑ "Biedroń: jeśli Kaczyński mnie wkurzy, wystartuję w wyborach i zostanę tym prezydentem" [Biedroń: If Kaczyński pisses me off, I will run for election and become president.]. gazeta.pl. Retrieved 2017-10-07.
This article is issued from
Wikipedia.
The text is licensed under Creative Commons - Attribution - Sharealike.
Additional terms may apply for the media files.