Opinion polling in the Philippine presidential election, 2016
Opinion polling, locally known as surveys, in the 2016 Philippine presidential and vice presidential elections is conducted by Social Weather Stations (SWS), Pulse Asia, and other pollsters. The last electoral votes will be cast on Monday, May 9, 2016.
As the positions of president and vice president are elected separately, pollsters usually have separate surveys for each position.
The figure representing the polling numbers for the candidate that topped each poll is emboldened unless two or more candidates tied, when they are all emboldened. Those figures which are within the margin of error are italicized.
Calendar
- Filing of candidacies: October 12 to 16, 2015
- Campaign period for candidates for president, vice president, senators and party-list representatives: February 9 to May 7, 2016
- Campaign period for local positions and district representatives: March 26 to May 7, 2016
- Casting of ballots for local absentee voters: April 27 to 29, 2016
- Election day: May 9, 2016
Graphs
For president
Opinion polling in the presidential election using three-survey moving average.
Others
None/undecided
For vice president
Opinion polling in the vice presidential election, using three-survey moving average.
Others
None/undecided
Until candidacy filing ended on 16 October, 2016
For president
Single-choice surveys
| Date | Mar 19–26, 2014 | Jun 24–Jul 6, 2014 | Sep 8–15, 2014 | Nov 14–20, 2014 | Mar 1–7, 2015 | May 8–18, 2015 | May 13–23, 2015 | May 30–Jun 5, 2015 | Aug 11–18, 2015 | Aug 27–Sep 3, 2015 | Sep 2–5, 2015 | Sep 8–15, 2015 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pollster | Pulse Asia[1] | Pulse Asia[2] | Pulse Asia[3] | Pulse Asia[4] | Pulse Asia[5] | Laylo [6] | IBON [7][8] | Pulse Asia[9] | RMN[10] | Pulse Asia[11] | SWS[12] | Pulse Asia[13] | ||
| Sample size | 1,200 | 1,200 | 1,200 | 1,200 | 1,200 | 1,500 | 1,496 | 1,200 | 4,718 | 1,200 | 1,200 | 2,400 | ||
| Margin of error | ±3% | ±3% | ±3% | ±3% | ±3% | ±2.6% | ±3% | ±3% | ±2.5% | ±3% | ±3% | ±2% | ||
| Benigno Aquino III | Liberal | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4.2 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Kris Aquino | Independent | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Walden Bello | Independent | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.1 | |
| Feliciano Belmonte | Liberal | — | — | — | 0.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jejomar Binay | UNA | 40 | 41 | 31 | 26 | 29 | 28 | 13.8 | 22 | 26.16 | 21 | 24 | 19 | |
| Alan Peter Cayetano | Independent | 4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | — | 2 | 1.9 | 1 | 0.8 | 1 | |
| Noli de Castro | Independent | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Miriam Defensor Santiago | PRP | 10 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 8 | — | 6 | 4.33 | 4 | 12 | 3 | |
| Franklin Drilon | Liberal | — | 1 | 0.4 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Rodrigo Duterte | PDP-Laban | — | — | — | — | 12 | 10 | 7.6 | 15 | 12.42 | 15 | 11 | 16 | |
| Francis Escudero | Independent | 9 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | |
| Joseph Estrada | PMP | — | 9 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 10 | — | 10 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 5 | |
| Richard Gordon | Bagumbayan-VNP | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Panfilo Lacson | Independent | 2 | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 1.83 | 1 | 8 | 2 | |
| Loren Legarda | NPC | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.8 | 6 | |
| Bongbong Marcos | Independent | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 3 | — | — | 0.06 | 5 | 4 | — | |
| Grace Poe | Independent | 15 | 12 | 10 | 18 | 14 | 24 | 13.7 | 30 | 24.84 | 27 | 26 | 26 | |
| Bong Revilla | Lakas | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Leni Robredo | Liberal | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mar Roxas | Liberal | 6 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 3.8 | 10 | 18.14 | 18 | 20 | 20 | |
| Gilberto Teodoro | Independent | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | — | |
| Antonio Trillanes | Independent | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Manny Villar | Nacionalista | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | |
| Others | 1 | 2 | — | 3 | 1 | — | 10.8 | 1 | — | — | 2 | 0.5 | ||
| Refused | 0.03 | 1 | — | 0.3 | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | |||
| Don't know | 0.2 | 0.5 | — | 0.5 | 0.1 | — | — | 0.4 | — | — | ||||
| None | 0.4 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 46.1 | 0.1 | — | — | ||||
Three-choice surveys
The following poll results are for surveys that allowed respondents to choose up to three people. The top three people with the best result are boldfaced; those within the margin of error of the third-best person are italicized.
| Date | Nov 27–Dec 1, 2014 | Mar 20–23, 2015 | Jun 5–8, 2015 | Sep 2–5, 2015 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pollster | SWS[14] | SWS[15] | SWS[16] | SWS[17] | ||
| Sample size | 1,800 | 1,200 | 1,200 | 1,200 | ||
| Margin of error | ±2% | ±3% | ±3% | ±3% | ||
| Jejomar Binay | UNA | 37 | 36 | 34 | 35 | |
| Alan Peter Cayetano | Independent | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |
| Miriam Defensor Santiago | PRP | 10 | 11 | 4 | 2 | |
| Franklin Drilon | Liberal | 1 | 1 | — | — | |
| Rodrigo Duterte | PDP-Laban | 5 | 15 | 20 | 16 | |
| Francis Escudero | Independent | 9 | 8 | 4 | 6 | |
| Joseph Estrada | PMP | 9 | 11 | 7 | 3 | |
| Panfilo Lacson | Independent | 2 | 1 | 7 | 1 | |
| Loren Legarda | NPC | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | |
| Bongbong Marcos | Independent | 3 | 7 | 3 | 5 | |
| Manny Pacquiao | UNA | 1 | 1 | — | — | |
| Francis Pangilinan | Liberal | 1 | — | — | — | |
| Grace Poe | Independent | 21 | 31 | 42 | 47 | |
| Bong Revilla | Lakas | 5 | 1 | — | — | |
| Mar Roxas | Liberal | 19 | 15 | 21 | 39 | |
| Antonio Trillanes | Independent | 5 | 3 | 1 | — | |
| Manny Villar | Nacionalista | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | |
| Others | 5 | — | 1 | — | ||
| Don't know/refused | 15 | 3 | 9 | 5 | ||
| None | 8 | 12 | 5 | 2 | ||
For vice president
| Date | Mar 19–26, 2014 | Jun 24–Jul 6, 2014 | Sep 8–15, 2014 | Nov 14–20, 2014 | Mar 1–7, 2015 | Mar 20–23, 2015 | May 8–18, 2015 | May 13–23, 2015 | May 30–Jun 5, 2015 | Jun 5–8, 2015 | Aug 11–18, 2015 | Sep 2–5, 2015 | Sep 8–15, 2015 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pollster | Pulse Asia[1] | Pulse Asia[2] | Pulse Asia[3] | Pulse Asia[4] | Pulse Asia[5] | SWS[18] | Laylo [6] | IBON [7][8] | Pulse Asia[9] | SWS[19] | RMN[10] | SWS[20] | Pulse Asia[13] | ||
| Sample size | 1,200 | 1,200 | 1,200 | 1,200 | 1,200 | 1,200 | 1,500 | 1,496 | 1,200 | 1,200 | 4,718 | 1,200 | 2,400 | ||
| Margin of error | ±3% | ±3% | ±3% | ±3% | ±3% | ±3% | ±2.6% | ±2.6% | ±3% | ±3% | ±2.5% | ±3% | ±2% | ||
| Lito Atienza | Buhay | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.9 | — | |
| Bam Aquino | Liberal | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Benigno Aquino III | Liberal | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | |
| Kris Aquino | Independent | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jejomar Binay | UNA | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | — | 6.8 | — | 7 | — | 24 | — | |
| Alan Peter Cayetano | Independent | 6 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 3 | 11 | — | 12 | 2 | — | 5 | 9 | |
| Miriam Defensor Santiago | PRP | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | — | 1.9 | — | 2 | — | — | — | |
| Franklin Drilon | Liberal | — | 5 | 5 | 6 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Rodrigo Duterte | PDP-Laban | — | — | — | — | 11 | 4 | 11 | — | 9 | 3 | — | 9 | — | |
| JV Ejercito | UNA | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Francis Escudero | Independent | 20 | 22 | 19 | 20 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 2.5 | 15 | 7 | 21.36 | 20 | 23 | |
| Jinggoy Estrada | UNA | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | |
| Joseph Estrada | PMP | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 7 | — | — | 3 | — | 7 | 4 | |
| Win Gatchalian | NPC | — | — | — | 0.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Kim Henares | Independent | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.1 | |
| Panfilo Lacson | Independent | 5 | — | — | — | — | 1.6 | 7 | — | 6 | 3 | — | 3 | 5 | |
| Loren Legarda | NPC | — | — | — | — | — | 1.7 | — | — | — | 1.4 | — | 5 | — | |
| Bongbong Marcos | Independent | 5 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 5 | — | 9 | 1 | 11.82 | 7 | 13 | |
| Isko Moreno | PMP | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.7 | — | — | — | |
| Manny Pacquiao | UNA | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.5 | — | — | — | |
| Francis Pangilinan | Liberal | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | |
| Grace Poe | Independent | 24 | 26 | 31 | 33 | 29 | 26 | 23 | 15.9 | 41 | 21 | 36.01 | 27 | 24 | |
| Bong Revilla | Lakas | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 0.7 | — | — | — | |
| Leni Robredo | Liberal | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0.4 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | 3 | |
| Mar Roxas | Liberal | 8 | — | — | — | — | 12 | — | 5.1 | — | 12 | — | — | — | |
| Vilma Santos | Liberal | 5 | 4 | 6 | — | — | 0.6 | 5 | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | 5 | |
| Antonio Trillanes | Independent | 7 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 6 | — | 5 | 1.1 | — | 4 | 4 | |
| Others | 0.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 5 | — | 7.8 | 1 | — | — | 3 | 1 | ||
| Refused | 0.2 | 1 | — | — | 0.2 | — | — | 13 | 1 | 22 | — | 3 | |||
| Don't know | 0.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | 0.2 | — | ||||||
| None | — | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 7 | — | 60.0 | 0.3 | 8 | — | ||||
October 17, 2015 to February 12, 2016
For president
| Date | Oct 25-Nov 5, 2015 | Nov 27, 2015 | Dec 4–11, 2015 | Dec 4–12, 2015 | Dec 12–14, 2015 | Jan 5-14, 2016 | Jan 8–10, 2016 | Jan 24–28, 2016 | Jan 27-Feb 4, 2016 | Feb 5-7, 2016 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pollster | RMN[21] | MBC– DZRH[22] | Pulse Asia[23] | Standard [24] | SWS[25] | RMN[26] | SWS[27] | Pulse Asia[28] | Standard [29] | SWS[30] | ||
| Sample size | 3,604 | 7,436 | 1,500 | 1,800 | 1,200 | 3,578 | 1,800 | 1,200 | 3,000 | 1,200 | ||
| Margin of error | ±2.5% | ±1.14% | ±2.6% | ±2% | ±3% | ±2.5% | ±2% | ±3% | ±1.8 | ±3% | ||
| Jejomar Binay | UNA | 22.95 | 18.63 | 33 | 23 | 26 | 21.49 | 31 | 23 | 22 | 29 | |
| Rizalito David | Ang Kapatiran | — | 0.21 | — | — | 0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Miriam Defensor Santiago | PRP | 11.74 | 6.22 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5.14 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | |
| Rodrigo Duterte | PDP-Laban | — | 30.25 | 23 | 19 | 20 | 27.86 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 24 | |
| Grace Poe | Independent | 37.15 | 25.14 | 21 | 28 | 26 | 28.59 | 24 | 30 | 29 | 24 | |
| Mar Roxas | Liberal | 19.64 | 14.92 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 15.12 | 21 | 20 | 22 | 18 | |
| Camilo Sabio | Independent | — | 0.08 | 0.1 | — | 0.04 | — | 0 | — | — | — | |
| Roy Señeres | PMM | — | 0.31 | 0 | — | 0 | — | 0.1 | — | — | — | |
| Augusto Syjuco | Independent | — | 0.10 | 27 | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Others | — | 2.23 | — | 0.1 | 0.1 | — | 0 | 0.1 | — | — | ||
| Refused | — | — | 0.3 | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0.4 | — | — | ||
| Don't know | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | ||||
| Undecided/None | 8.52 | 1.92 | 1 | 4 | 1.79 | 1 | 4 | 2 | ||||
For vice president
| Date | Oct 25-Nov 5, 2015 | Nov 27, 2015 | Dec 4–11, 2015 | Dec 4–12, 2015 | Dec 12–14, 2015 | Jan 5-14, 2016 | Jan 8–10, 2016 | Jan 24–28, 2016 | Jan 27–Feb 4, 2016 | Feb 5–7, 2016 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pollster | RMN[21] | MBC– DZRH[22] |
Pulse Asia[31] | Standard [32] | SWS[25] | RMN[26] | SWS[27] | Pulse Asia[28] | Standard [33] | SWS[30] | ||
| Sample size | 3,604 | 7,436 | 1,500 | 1,800 | 1,200 | 3,578 | 1,800 | 1,200 | 3,000 | 1,200 | ||
| Margin of error | ±2.5% | ±1.14% | ±2.6% | ±2% | ±3% | ±2.5% | ±2% | ±3% | ±1.8% | ±3% | ||
| Albert Alba | Ang Kapatiran | — | — | 0.3 | — | 0.8 | — | 1 | — | — | — | |
| Alan Peter Cayetano | Independent | 11.90 | 18.25 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 17.36 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |
| Francis Escudero | Independent | 38.10 | 28.49 | 29 | 33 | 30 | 32.14 | 28 | 33 | 31 | 26 | |
| Gringo Honasan | UNA | 5.94 | 6.11 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 6.32 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 6 | |
| Bongbong Marcos | Independent | 18.70 | 24.62 | 23 | 19 | 19 | 21.60 | 25 | 23 | 25 | 26 | |
| Leni Robredo | Liberal | 13.65 | 12.53 | 11 | 19 | 14 | 14.06 | 17 | 18 | 20 | 19 | |
| Antonio Trillanes | Independent | 5.38 | 7.75 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 6.01 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | |
| Others | — | — | 0.34 | — | 0.64 | — | 2.3 | — | — | — | ||
| Refused | — | — | 0.1 | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0.3 | — | — | ||
| Don't know | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | ||||
| Undecided/None | 6.33 | 2.25 | 1 | 5 | 2.52 | 2 | — | 2 | ||||
February 13 to March 25, 2016
For president
| Date | Feb 13, 2016 | Feb 15-20, 2016 | Feb 16-27, 2016 | Feb 23-27, 2016 | Feb 24-Mar 1, 2016 | Mar 1-6, 2016 | Mar 4-7, 2016 | Mar 8-13, 2016 | Mar 15-20, 2016 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pollster | MBC– DZRH [34][35] |
Pulse Asia [36] | Pulse Asia[37] | Pulse Asia[38] | Standard [39] | Pulse Asia [40] | SWS [41] | Pulse Asia [42] | Pulse Asia [43] | ||
| Sample size | 7,572 | 1,800 | 5,200 | 2,600 | 3,000 | 2,600 | 1,800 | 4,000 | 4,000 | ||
| Margin of error | ±1.13% | ±2% | ±1.4% | ±1.9% | ±1.8% | ±1.9% | ±2% | ±1.5% | ±1.5% | ||
| Jejomar Binay | UNA | 23.2 | 25 | 24 | 22 | 23 | 21 | 24 | 22 | 23 | |
| Miriam Defensor Santiago | PRP | 3.9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | |
| Rodrigo Duterte | PDP-Laban | 26.4 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 21 | 25 | 24 | |
| Grace Poe | Independent | 27 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 28 | |
| Mar Roxas | Liberal | 19 | 21 | 19 | 20 | 22 | 20 | 22 | 20 | 19 | |
| Refused | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||
| Don't know | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||
| Undecided/None | 2.3 | 4 | 2 | — | 4 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 4 | ||
For vice president
| Date | Feb 13, 2016 | Feb 15-20, 2016 | Feb 16-27, 2016 | Feb 23-27, 2016 | Feb 24-Mar 1, 2016 | Mar 1-6, 2016 | Mar 4-7, 2016 | Mar 8-13, 2016 | Mar 15-20, 2016 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pollster | MBC– DZRH [34][35] |
Pulse Asia[36] | Pulse Asia[37] | Pulse Asia[38] | Standard [44] | Pulse Asia [40] | SWS [41] | Pulse Asia [42] | Pulse Asia [43] | ||
| Sample size | 7,572 | 1,800 | 5,200 | 2,600 | 3,000 | 2,600 | 1,800 | 4,000 | 4,000 | ||
| Margin of error | ±1.13% | ±2% | ±1.4% | ±1.9% | ±1.8% | ±1.9% | ±2% | ±1.5% | ±1.5% | ||
| Alan Peter Cayetano | Independent | 14.8 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 14 | |
| Francis Escudero | Independent | 26.8 | 29 | 26 | 25 | 30 | 25 | 28 | 24 | 25 | |
| Gringo Honasan | UNA | 5.5 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | |
| Bongbong Marcos | Independent | 25.1 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 22 | 26 | 25 | 25 | |
| Leni Robredo | Liberal | 18.8 | 19 | 18 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 24 | 20 | 21 | |
| Antonio Trillanes | Independent | 6.2 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 4 | |
| Refused | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||
| Don't know | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||
| Undecided/None | 2.7 | 3 | 2 | — | 5 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 5 | ||
March 26 to April 24, 2016
Ballots for local absentee voters were cast from April 27 to 29, 2016.
Opinion polling in the Philippines is conducted by firms such as Social Weather Stations (SWS), Pulse Asia and other pollsters. Frontrunners appear in bold. Those which are within the margin of error are in italics.
For president
| Date | Mar 26–Apr 1, 2016 | Mar 30–Apr 2, 2016 | Apr 2, 2016 | Mar 29–Apr 3, 2016 | Apr 1–7, 2016 | Apr 5–10, 2016 | Apr 11–16, 2016 | Apr 12–17, 2016 | Apr 13–18, 2016 | Apr 16–20, 2016 | Apr 18–20, 2016 | Apr 19–24, 2016 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pollster | Standard [45] | SWS[46] | MBC– DZRH [47] |
Pulse Asia [48] | The Center [49] | Pulse Asia [50] | The Center [51] | Pulse Asia [52] | D' Strafford [53] | Pulse Asia [54] | SWS [55] | Pulse Asia [56] | ||
| Sample size | 3,000 | 1,500 | 7,490 | 4,000 | 1,800 | 4,000 | 1,800 | 4,000 | 2,800 | 1,800 | 1,800 | 4,000 | ||
| Margin of error | ±1.8% | ±3% | ±1.13% | ±1.5% | ±2.5% | ±1.5% | ±2.5% | ±1.5% | ±1.9% | ±2.3% | ±2% | ±1.5% | ||
| Jejomar Binay | UNA | 18 | 20 | 15.3 | 20 | 22 | 20 | 23.25 | 19 | 19 | 16 | 14 | 18 | |
| Miriam Defensor Santiago | PRP | 2 | 3 | 3.5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |
| Rodrigo Duterte | PDP-Laban | 30 | 27 | 36 | 30 | 29 | 32 | 26.75 | 34 | 20 | 35 | 33 | 33 | |
| Grace Poe | Independent | 27 | 23 | 28.2 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 26.25 | 22 | 26 | 23 | 24 | 22 | |
| Mar Roxas | Liberal | 21 | 18 | 15.2 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 20.75 | 18 | 26 | 17 | 19 | 20 | |
| Refused | – | – | – | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | 0.3 | — | — | ||
| Don't know | — | – | – | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | — | — | 5 | — | ||
| Undecided/None | 2 | – | 1.8 | 4 | 2.3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 5 | ||
For vice president
| Date | Mar 26–Apr 1, 2016 | Mar 30–Apr 2, 2016 | Apr 2, 2016 | Mar 29–Apr 3, 2016 | Apr 1–7, 2016 | Apr 5–10, 2016 | Apr 11–16, 2016 | Apr 12–17, 2016 | Apr 13–18, 2016 | Apr 16–20, 2016 | Apr 18–20, 2016 | Apr 19–24, 2016 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pollster | Standard [45] | SWS [46] | MBC– DZRH [47] |
Pulse Asia [48] | The Center [49] [57] | Pulse Asia [58] | The Center [51] | Pulse Asia [59] | D' Strafford [53] | Pulse Asia [54] | SWS [55] | Pulse Asia [56] | ||
| Sample size | 3,000 | 1,500 | 7,490 | 4,000 | 1,800 | 4,000 | 1,800 | 4,000 | 2,800 | 1,800 | 1,800 | 4,000 | ||
| Margin of error | ±1.8% | ±3% | ±1.13% | ±1.5% | ±2.5% | ±1.5% | ±2.5% | ±1.5% | ±1.9% | ±2.3% | ±2% | ±1.5% | ||
| Alan Peter Cayetano | Independent | 15 | 13 | 18.4 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 15 | |
| Francis Escudero | Independent | 28 | 21 | 22.6 | 21 | 22.5 | 23 | 23 | 20 | 23 | 18 | 18 | 18 | |
| Gringo Honasan | UNA | 3 | 5 | 4.3 | 4 | 4.25 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | |
| Bongbong Marcos | Independent | 25 | 26 | 29.8 | 28 | 28.5 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 25 | 29 | 25 | 31 | |
| Leni Robredo | Liberal | 21 | 19 | 17.8 | 22 | 23.5 | 21 | 25 | 23 | 32 | 24 | 26 | 26 | |
| Antonio Trillanes | Independent | 5 | 5 | 5.5 | 5 | 3.75 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | |
| Refused | – | – | – | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | 0.7 | — | — | ||
| Don't know | – | – | – | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | — | — | 3 | — | ||
| Undecided/None | 4 | – | 1.6 | 5 | 1.75 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | 7 | 5 | 5 | ||
From April 23 until election day, May 9, 2016
Opinion polling in the Philippines is conducted by firms such as Social Weather Stations (SWS), Pulse Asia and other pollsters. Frontrunners appear in bold. Those which are within the margin of error are in italics.
For president
| Date | Apr 23–29, 2016 | Apr 25–29, 2016 | Apr 26–29, 2016 | Apr 28–30, 2016 | Apr 27-May 1, 2016 | May 1-3, 2016 | May 1-5, 2016 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pollster | The Center [60] | D' Strafford [61] | Pulse Asia [62] | Argus [63] | Standard [64] | SWS[65] | D' Strafford [66] | ||
| Sample size | 1,800 | 4,500 | 4,000 | 6,000 | 3,000 | 4,500 | 4,000 | ||
| Margin of error | ±2.5% | ±1.2% | ±1.5% | ±1.9% | ±1.8% | ±1.0% | ±1.2% | ||
| Jejomar Binay | UNA | 23 | 17 | 17 | 19 | 15 | 13 | 16.6 | |
| Miriam Defensor Santiago | PRP | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | |
| Rodrigo Duterte | PDP-Laban | 29 | 25 | 33 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 25.4 | |
| Grace Poe | Independent | 25 | 24 | 21 | 27 | 25 | 22 | 22.5 | |
| Mar Roxas | Liberal | 21 | 28 | 22 | 19 | 22 | 20 | 30.5 | |
| Refused | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||
| Don't know | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 0.3 | ||
| Undecided/None | — | 1 | 5 | — | 4 | 4 | 1.7 | ||
For vice president
| Date | Apr 23–29, 2016 | Apr 25–29, 2016 | Apr 26–29, 2016 | Apr 28–30, 2016 | Apr 27-May 1, 2016 | May 1-3, 2016 | May 1-5, 2016 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pollster | The Center [60] | D' Strafford [61] | Pulse Asia [62] | Argus [63] | Standard [64] | SWS[67] | D' Strafford [66] | ||
| Sample size | 1,800 | 4,500 | 4,000 | 6,000 | 3,000 | 4,500 | 4,000 | ||
| Margin of error | ±2.5% | ±1.2% | ±1.5% | ±1.9% | ±1.8% | ±1.0% | ±1.2% | ||
| Alan Peter Cayetano | Independent | 15 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 17 | |
| Francis Escudero | Independent | 18 | 18 | 18 | 22 | 20 | 15 | 18 | |
| Gringo Honasan | UNA | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |
| Bongbong Marcos | Independent | 31 | 28 | 28 | 33 | 30 | 29 | 25 | |
| Leni Robredo | Liberal | 25 | 34 | 30 | 24 | 29 | 28 | 35 | |
| Antonio Trillanes | Independent | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | |
| Refused | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||
| Don't know | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||
| Undecided/None | 3 | 1 | 4 | — | 3 | 9 | 1 | ||
References
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- 1 2 "Even with Aquino endorsement, more prefer Poe over Roxas". Rappler.com. 2014-07-18. Retrieved 2014-07-20.
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- 1 2 Pangco Panares, Joyce (2015-06-02). "Binay keeps slim lead over Poe". The New Standard. Retrieved 2015-06-02.
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- 1 2 Holmes, Ronald D. (2015-06-18). "Pulse Asia Research's June 2015 Nationwide Survey on the May 2016 Elections". PulseAsia.ph. Retrieved 2015-06-18.
- 1 2 "Binay holds small edge over Poe in recent poll". Sun.Star Manila. 2015-09-17. Retrieved 2015-09-14.
- ↑ "Grace Poe tops Pulse Asia survey anew". In. 2015-09-24. Retrieved 2015-09-24.
- ↑ "BusinessWorld-SWS September 2015 Pre-Election Survey: Poe (26%), Binay (24%) and Roxas (20%) lead Presidential race". www.sws.org.ph. Retrieved 2015-09-24.
- 1 2 Holmes, Ronald D. (2015-09-28). "Pulse Asia Research's September 2015 Nationwide Survey on the May 2016 Elections". pulseasia.ph. Retrieved 2015-10-08.
- ↑ Avendaño, Christine O.; Salaverria, Leila B. (2014-12-23). "Binay, 37%; Poe, 21%; Roxas, 19%". Philippine Daily Inquirer. Retrieved 2014-12-25.
- ↑ Fernandez, Chuchay; Aquino, Tricia (2015-04-16). "SWS SURVEY | Grace Poe nears Binay-level popularity as 'presidentiable'; Duterte jumps, ties Mar". Interaksyon.com. Retrieved 2015-04-16.
- ↑ "SWS: Grace Poe tops Binay as most preferred successor". Philippine Daily Inquirer. 2015-05-19. Retrieved 2015-05-19.
- ↑ "Grace Poe still poll front runner, Mar Roxas No. 2 – SWS". Rappler. Retrieved 2015-09-20.
- ↑ "First Quarter 2015 Social Weather Survey: Grace Poe tops the people's choice for Vice-President". SWS.org.ph. 2015-04-23. Retrieved 2015-04-23.
- ↑ "Grace Poe still top choice for vice president – SWS". Rappler. 2015-06-23. Retrieved 2015-06-23.
- ↑ "BusinessWorld-SWS September 2015 Pre-Election Survey: Poe (27%) and Escudero (20%) lead Vice-Presidential race". SWS.org.ph. 2015-09-25. Retrieved 2015-09-28.
- 1 2 http://i360.photobucket.com/albums/oo46/LEONLEON_PHOTO/71eb8e12-ea2d-4c2f-8af9-caa2c0adeab2_zpsu9zrsqjl.jpg
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- ↑ "VP Binay leads in latest Pulse Asia survey on 2016 presidential bets". GMA News Online. December 22, 2015.
- ↑ "Poe still ahead in tighter race". Standard. December 21, 2015.
- 1 2 "BusinessWorld-SWS December 2015 Pre-Election Survey: Poe, Binay, Roxas and Duterte lead Presidential race; Escudero leads over Robredo, Marcos and Cayetano in VP race; Sotto, Recto and Pangilinan lead Senatorial race". www.sws.org.ph. Retrieved 2016-01-15.
- 1 2 https://themanilajourno.wordpress.com/2016/01/25/duterte-at-poe-tabla-sa-pinakahuling-rmn-survey/
- 1 2 "Binay leads over Poe, Roxas and Duterte in Presidential race; Escudero and Marcos lead over Robredo and Cayetano in VP race; Sotto, Lacson, Recto and Pangilinan lead Senatorial race". www.sws.org.ph. Retrieved 2016-01-15.
- 1 2 "Poe still ahead in tighter race". Philippine Daily Inquirer. December 21, 2015.
- ↑ "Poe keeps lead in Laylo survey". Standard. February 9, 2016.
- 1 2 "BusinessWorld-SWS February 2016 Pre-Election Survey: Binay, Poe and Duterte lead over Roxas in Presidential race; Marcos and Escudero lead over Robredo and Cayetano in VP race; Sotto, Lacson, Recto and Pangilinan lead Senatorial race". www.sws.org.ph. 2016-02-16. Retrieved 2016-01-18.
- ↑ "Escudero keeps lead in VP race but Marcos closes in – Pulse Asia". Rappler. 2015-12-22. Retrieved 2016-01-21.
- ↑ https://thelayloreport.wordpress.com/
- ↑ "Marcos closes in on Escudero". Standard. February 10, 2016. Retrieved 2016-02-10.
- 1 2 "DZRH News – Desisyon 2016: Poe, Chiz tops MBC second wave survey". DZRH. February 18, 2016.
- 1 2 "Poe leads, Binay gains in MBC poll". The Manila Times. February 18, 2016.
- 1 2 Holmes, Ronald D. (2016-03-04). "Pulse Asia Research's February 2016 Nationwide Survey on the May 2016 Elections". Pulse Asia. Retrieved 6 March 2016.
- 1 2 "Pulse Asia survey: Binay, Poe remain the top contenders". Manila Bulletin. 2016-03-09. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
|first1=missing|last1=in Authors list (help) - 1 2 "Grace, Bongbong top people power week survey". Philippine Star. 2016-03-09. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
|first1=missing|last1=in Authors list (help) - ↑ Panares, Joyce Pangco (2016-03-07). "Closer than ever". Manila Standard. Retrieved March 7, 2016.
- 1 2 "Poe slightly ahead of Duterte in new Pulse Asia survey". Retrieved 2016-03-15.
- 1 2 "Poe takes the lead; Robredo closes in". Retrieved 2016-04-02.
- 1 2 Panares, Joyce Pangco (2016-03-07). "Duterte catches up, ties Poe for lead: ABS-CBN survey". ABS-CBN. Retrieved 22 March 2016.
- 1 2 Esguerra, Christian V. (April 1, 2016). "Poe regains solo lead in ABS-CBN Pulse Asia survey". ABS-CBN News. Retrieved April 1, 2016.
- ↑ Panares, Joyce Pangco (2016-03-08). "Chiz still leads VP race; Cayetano fading". Manila Standard. Retrieved 8 March 2016.
- 1 2 "Duterte surges in Standard poll". Manila Standard. April 5, 2016. Retrieved May 3, 2016.
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- 1 2 "Duterte tops MBC-DZRH latest survey". DZRH. April 5, 2016. Retrieved April 6, 2016.
- 1 2 Esguerra, Christian V. (April 12, 2016). "Duterte overtakes Poe, claims lead in ABS-CBN survey". ABS-CBN News. Retrieved April 12, 2016.
- 1 2 "Duterte, Marcos top The Center poll". The Manila Bulletin. April 14, 2016. Retrieved April 14, 2016.
- ↑ "Duterte continues surge in ABS-CBN poll". Rappler. April 19, 2016. Retrieved April 18, 2016.
- 1 2 "It's still a 4-way fight: Duterte falls, Binay inches up". The Daily Tribune. April 23, 2016. Retrieved April 23, 2016.
- ↑ Marcos still leading VP pick – ABS-CBN poll." Rappler, April 24, 2016.
- 1 2 "Roxas, Poe 'tied' at top spot – D' Strafford poll". Sun Star Cebu. April 20, 2016. Retrieved April 21, 2016.
- 1 2 "PULSE ASIA POLL: Duterte, Bongbong pad leads further". News5. April 26, 2016. Retrieved April 26, 2016.
- 1 2 "BusinessWorld-SWS April 2016 Survey: Duterte leads despite 'rape' joke; Leni, Bongbong tied in VP". News5. April 24, 2016. Retrieved April 24, 2016.
- 1 2 "Duterte, Marcos sustain leads in latest Pulse Asia survey". CNN Philippines. April 30, 2016. Retrieved May 2, 2016.
- ↑ "Marcos todo arangkada sa VP race". Pilipino Star. April 10, 2016. Retrieved April 15, 2016.
- ↑ "Marcos keeps lead in VP race – ABS-CBN survey". Rappler. April 19, 2016. Retrieved April 18, 2016.
- ↑ "Marcos still leading VP pick – ABS-CBN poll." Rappler, April 24, 2016.
- 1 2 "Marcos widens lead in new survey". The Manila Times. May 3, 2016. Retrieved May 3, 2016.
- 1 2 "Roxas nangunguna sa D' Strafford survey". Philippine Star. May 1, 2016. Retrieved May 2, 2016.
- 1 2 "Amid bank controversy, Duterte keeps survey lead". Rappler. May 3, 2016. Retrieved May 3, 2016.
- 1 2 "Poe dikit uli kay Digong". Pilipino Star Ngayon. May 6, 2016. Retrieved May 7, 2016.
- 1 2 "Duterte on top". Manila Standard. May 5, 2016. Retrieved May 5, 2016.
- ↑ "Duterte widens lead in final pre-election SWS survey". Philippine Daily Inquirer. May 6, 2016. Retrieved May 6, 2016.
- 1 2 "Election 2016: May 2016". D' Strafford. May 7, 2016. Retrieved May 7, 2016.
- ↑ "Marcos, Robredo in 'statistical tie' in final SWS pre-election poll". Philippine Daily Inquirer. May 6, 2016. Retrieved May 6, 2016.
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