National opinion polling for the Australian federal election, 2019

Opinion polls

Graphical summary

Aggregate data of voting intention from all opinion polling since the last election. A moving average is shown in a solid line.

Voting intention

House of Representatives (lower house) polling
Date Firm Primary vote TPP vote
L/NP ALP GRN ONP OTH L/NP ALP
22–24 Sep 2018 Essential[1] 37% 36% 12% 5% 10% 47% 53%
20–23 Sep 2018 Newspoll[2] 36% 39% 10% 6% 9% 46% 54%
12–15 Sep 2018 Ipsos[3] 34% 31% 15% 7% 13% 47% 53%
8–10 Sep 2018 Essential[4] 36% 37% 10% 8% 9% 46% 54%
6–9 Sep 2018 Newspoll[5] 34% 42% 10% 6% 8% 44% 56%
25–26 Aug 2018 Roy Morgan[6] 36.5% 36% 13% 2.5% 12% 46% 54%
24–26 Aug 2018 Essential[7] 35% 39% 10% 7% 9% 45% 55%
24–25 Aug 2018 Newspoll[8] 33% 41% 10% 7% 9% 44% 56%
24 Aug 2018 Scott Morrison replaces Malcolm Turnbull as Liberal leader and Prime Minister
15-18 Aug 2018 Ipsos[9] 33% 35% 13% 8% 11% 45% 55%
12 Aug 2018 Newspoll[10] 37% 35% 10% 9% 9% 49% 51%
6 Aug 2018 ReachTEL[11] 37% 34% 12% 8% 8% 48% 52%
29 Jul 2018 Newspoll[12] 39% 36% 10% 7% 8% 49% 51%
17 Jul 2018 Essential[13] 40% 36% 10% 6% 8% 49% 51%
16 Jul 2018 Newspoll[14] 38% 36% 10% 7% 9% 49% 51%
3 Jul 2018 Essential[15] 40% 37% 11% 6% 6% 48% 52%
2 Jul 2018 Newspoll[16] 39% 37% 9% 6% 9% 49% 51%
21–24 Jun 2018 Ipsos[17] 35% 35% 12% 6% 12% 47% 53%
14–17 Jun 2018 Newspoll[18] 38% 38% 10% 6% 8% 48% 52%
14–17 Jun 2018 Essential[19] 38% 35% 11% 7% 9% 48% 52%
2 Jun 2018 ReachTEL[20] 35% 34% 11% 9% 11% 48% 52%
31 May – 3 Jun 2018 Essential[21] 36% 37% 10% 8% 9% 46% 54%
24–27 May 2018 Newspoll[22] 38% 38% 9% 8% 7% 48% 52%
17–20 May 2018 Essential[23] 40% 36% 10% 8% 7% 49% 51%
10–13 May 2018 Essential[24] 38% 36% 10% 7% 8% 48% 52%
10–13 May 2018 Newspoll[25] 39% 38% 9% 6% 8% 49% 51%
10–12 May 2018 Ipsos[26] 36% 37% 11% 5% 11% 46% 54%
3–6 May 2018 Essential[27] 38% 37% 10% 6% 9% 47% 53%
30 Apr 2018 ReachTEL[28] 36% 35% 11% 6% 12% 48% 52%
19–22 Apr 2018 Essential[29] 37% 36% 11% 8% 8% 47% 53%
22 Apr 2018 Newspoll[30] 38% 37% 9% 7% 9% 49% 51%
5–8 Apr 2018 Essential[31] 38% 37% 10% 7% 8% 47% 53%
5–8 Apr 2018 Newspoll[32] 38% 37% 10% 7% 8% 48% 52%
3–5 Apr 2018 Ipsos[33][34] 36% 34% 12% 8% 10% 48% 52%
24 Mar – 1 Apr 2018 Roy Morgan[35] 38.5% 37.5% 11% 3% 10% 49% 51%
28 Mar 2018 ReachTEL[36] 34% 36% 10% 7% 13% 46% 54%
22–25 Mar 2018 Essential[37] 38% 36% 9% 8% 9% 48% 52%
22–25 Mar 2018 Newspoll[38] 37% 39% 9% 7% 8% 47% 53%
17–25 Mar 2018 Roy Morgan[39] 40% 35% 12% 3.5% 9.5% 49% 51%
8–11 Mar 2018 Essential[40] 36% 38% 9% 8% 9% 46% 54%
3–11 Mar 2018 Roy Morgan[41] 36% 36% 13.5% 3% 11.5% 46% 54%
1–4 Mar 2018 Newspoll[42] 37% 38% 9% 7% 9% 47% 53%
22–25 Feb 2018 Essential[43] 35% 35% 10% 8% 12% 47% 53%
24 Feb 2018 ReachTEL[44] 33% 37% 11% 7% 12% 46% 54%
15–18 Feb 2018 Newspoll[45] 36% 37% 10% 8% 9% 47% 53%
8–11 Feb 2018 Essential[46] 36% 37% 10% 6% 11% 46% 54%
1–3 Feb 2018 Newspoll[47] 38% 37% 10% 5% 10% 48% 52%
26–28 Jan 2018 Essential[48] 35% 36% 10% 8% 11% 46% 54%
25 Jan 2018 ReachTEL[49] 34% 36% 10% 8% 12% 48% 52%
11–15 Jan 2018 Essential[50] 37% 38% 9% 6% 10% 47% 53%
19 Dec 2017 Essential[51] 37% 38% 9% 7% 9% 47% 53%
14–17 Dec 2017 Newspoll[52] 36% 37% 10% 7% 10% 47% 53%
12 Dec 2017 Essential[53] 35% 38% 10% 7% 9% 46% 54%
7–10 Dec 2017 YouGov[54] 34% 35% 11% 8% 13% 50% 50%
5 Dec 2017 Essential[55] 35% 38% 9% 8% 10% 45% 55%
30 Nov − 3 Dec 2017 Newspoll[56] 36% 37% 10% 8% 9% 47% 53%
29 Nov 2017 ReachTEL[57] 33% 36% 10% 9% 12% 47% 53%
28 Nov 2017 Essential[58] 36% 38% 9% 8% 9% 46% 54%
23–27 Nov 2017 YouGov[59] 32% 32% 10% 11% 16% 47% 53%
21 Nov 2017 Essential[60] 35% 38% 9% 8% 10% 46% 54%
14 Nov 2017 YouGov[61] 31% 34% 11% 11% 14% 48% 52%
14 Nov 2017 Essential[62] 36% 38% 9% 8% 10% 46% 54%
13 Nov 2017 Newspoll[63] 34% 38% 9% 10% 9% 45% 55%
30 Oct 2017 Essential[64] 36% 37% 10% 7% 9% 46% 54%
26–29 Oct 2017 Newspoll 35% 37% 10% 9% 9% 46% 54%
24 Oct 2017 Essential[65] 37% 36% 9% 8% 10% 48% 52%
12–15 Oct 2017 Newspoll 36% 37% 10% 9% 8% 46% 54%
4 Oct 2017 Essential[66] 36% 38% 10% 7% 10% 46% 54%
1 Oct 2017 ReachTEL[67] 36% 38% 9% 8% 9% 47% 53%
26 Sep 2017 Essential[68] 37% 37% 10% 7% 9% 47% 53%
21–24 Sep 2017 Newspoll[69] 36% 38% 9% 8% 9% 46% 54%
19 Sep 2017 Essential[70] 38% 36% 10% 8% 8% 48% 52%
14–18 Sep 2017 YouGov[71] 34% 35% 11% 9% 11% 50% 50%
12 Sep 2017 Essential[72] 36% 37% 10% 9% 8% 46% 54%
6–9 Sep 2017 Ipsos[73][74] 35% 34% 14% 1% 15% 47% 53%
5 Sep 2017 Essential[72] 36% 37% 10% 8% 9% 47% 53%
31 Aug – 4 Sep 2017 YouGov[75] 34% 32% 12% 9% 13% 50% 50%
28 Aug – 2 Sep 2017 Newspoll[76] 37% 38% 9% 8% 8% 47% 53%
29 Aug 2017 Essential[77] 37% 36% 10% 8% 9% 47% 53%
23 Aug 2017 ReachTEL[78] 34.5% 36.7% 10.3% 10.4% 8.2% 48% 52%
22 Aug 2017 Essential[79] 37% 37% 9% 8% 9% 47% 53%
17–21 Aug 2017 YouGov[80] 34% 33% 10% 10% 13% 51% 49%
17–20 Aug 2017 Newspoll[81] 35% 38% 9% 9% 9% 46% 54%
15 Aug 2017 Essential[82] 37% 39% 9% 8% 7% 46% 54%
8 Aug 2017 Essential[83] 37% 39% 9% 8% 7% 46% 54%
3–6 Aug 2017 Newspoll[84] 36% 36% 11% 8% 9% 47% 53%
1 Aug 2017 Essential[85] 38% 36% 10% 8% 8% 48% 52%
25 Jul 2017 Essential[86] 38% 37% 10% 7% 8% 47% 53%
20–24 Jul 2017 YouGov[87] 36% 33% 10% 8% 13% 50% 50%
20–23 Jul 2017 Newspoll[88] 36% 37% 9% 9% 9% 47% 53%
19 Jul 2017 ReachTEL[89] 37.2% 35.1% 8.8% 11.7% 7.2% 49% 51%
18 Jul 2017 Essential[90] 36% 38% 10% 7% 9% 46% 54%
6–11 Jul 2017 YouGov[91] 36% 33% 12% 7% 12% 52% 48%
6–9 Jul 2017 Newspoll[92] 35% 36% 10% 11% 8% 47% 53%
29 June 2017 ReachTEL[93] 36.4% 35.4% 10.2% 9.6% 8.3% 48% 52%
22–27 Jun 2017 YouGov[94] 33% 34% 12% 7% 14% 49% 51%
15–18 Jun 2017 Newspoll[95] 36% 37% 9% 11% 7% 47% 53%
14 June 2017 Essential[96] 38% 36% 10% 8% 8% 48% 52%
26–29 May 2017 Newspoll[97] 36% 36% 10% 9% 9% 47% 53%
23 May 2017 Essential[98] 37% 38% 10% 6% 9% 46% 54%
12–15 May 2017 Newspoll[99] 36% 36% 10% 9% 9% 47% 53%
11 May 2017 ReachTEL[100] 38% 34.1% 10.9% 11% 6% 47% 53%
10–11 May 2017 Ipsos[101] 37% 35% 13% 2% 13% 47% 53%
26–30 Apr 2017 Essential[102] 38% 37% 9% 7% 9% 47% 53%
20–23 Apr 2017 Newspoll[103] 36% 35% 9% 10% 10% 48% 52%
13–16 Apr 2017 Essential[104] 36% 37% 10% 8% 10% 46% 54%
6–9 Apr 2017 Essential[105] 37% 36% 10% 8% 9% 47% 53%
1–4 Apr 2017 Essential[106] 37% 36% 10% 8% 9% 47% 53%
30 Mar – 2 Apr 2017 Newspoll[107] 36% 36% 10% 10% 8% 47% 53%
24–27 Mar 2017 Essential[108] 35% 37% 10% 8% 11% 46% 54%
22–25 Mar 2017 Ipsos[109][110] 33% 34% 16% 2% 15% 45% 55%
17–20 Mar 2017 Essential[111] 34% 37% 9% 10% 9% 45% 55%
16–19 Mar 2017 Newspoll[112] 37% 35% 9% 10% 9% 48% 52%
10–13 Mar 2017 Essential[113] 35% 36% 9% 11% 9% 47% 53%
3–6 Mar 2017 Essential[114] 37% 37% 9% 9% 8% 47% 53%
23–26 Feb 2017 Newspoll[115] 34% 37% 10% 10% 9% 45% 55%
16–19 Feb 2017 Essential[116] 36% 34% 10% 10% 10% 48% 52%
9–12 Feb 2017 Essential[117] 36% 35% 9% 10% 9% 48% 52%
2–5 Feb 2017 Newspoll[118] 35% 36% 10% 8% 11% 46% 54%
20–23 Jan 2017 Essential[119] 35% 37% 10% 9% 8% 46% 54%
13–16 Jan 2017 Essential[120] 38% 37% 9% 8% 8% 47% 53%
12 Jan 2017 ReachTEL[121] 37.1% 35.0% 9.8% 10.6% 7.5% 46% 54%
9–12 Dec 2016 Essential[122] 37% 37% 9% 7% 9% 47% 53%
1–4 Dec 2016 Newspoll[123] 39% 36% 10% 5% 10% 48% 52%
25–28 Nov 2016 Essential[124] 39% 36% 9% 7% 9% 49% 51%
24–26 Nov 2016 Ipsos[125] 36% 30% 16% 7% 9% 49% 51%
17–20 Nov 2016 Newspoll[126] 38% 38% 10% 4% 10% 47% 53%
11–14 Nov 2016 Essential[127] 37% 37% 11% 6% 9% 47% 53%
3–6 Nov 2016 Newspoll[128] 39% 38% 10% 13% 47% 53%
20–23 Oct 2016 Newspoll[129] 39% 37% 10% 5% 9% 48% 52%
14–17 Oct 2016 Essential[130] 37% 37% 11% 5% 9% 47% 53%
7–10 Oct 2016 Essential[131] 38% 36% 10% 6% 10% 48% 52%
6–9 Oct 2016 Newspoll[132] 39% 36% 10% 6% 9% 48% 52%
22–25 Sep 2016 Newspoll[133] 38% 37% 10% 15% 48% 52%
9–12 Sep 2016 Essential[134] 38% 37% 10% 5% 11% 48% 52%
8–11 Sep 2016 Newspoll[135] 41% 36% 9% 14% 50% 50%
26–29 Aug 2016 Essential[136] 40% 37% 10% 13% 49% 51%
25–28 Aug 2016 Newspoll[137] 41% 36% 9% 14% 50% 50%
19–22 Aug 2016 Essential[138] 39% 36% 10% 15% 49% 51%
12–15 Aug 2016 Essential[139] 39% 37% 10% 14% 48% 52%
5–8 Aug 2016 Essential[140] 40% 37% 10% 13% 48% 52%
27 Jul – 1 Aug 2016 Essential[141] 39% 37% 10% 14% 48% 52%
20–24 Jul 2016 Essential[142] 39% 37% 10% 14% 48% 52%
13–17 Jul 2016 Essential[143] 39% 36% 10% 15% 49% 51%
6–10 Jul 2016 Essential[144] 41% 36% 10% 13% 49% 51%
30 Jun – 3 Jul 2016 Essential[145] 41% 37% 10% 12% 50% 50%
2 July 2016 election 42.0% 34.7% 10.2% 1.3% 11.8% 50.4% 49.6%
28 Jun – 1 Jul 2016 Newspoll[146] 42% 35% 10% 13% 50.5% 49.5%
30 Jun 2016 ReachTEL[147] 42.8% 34.6% 10.7% 12% 51% 49%
27–30 Jun 2016 Essential[148] 42.5% 34.5% 11.5% 12% 50.5% 49.5%
28–29 Jun 2016 Galaxy[149] 43% 36% 10% 11% 51% 49%
26–29 Jun 2016 Ipsos[150] 40% 33% 13% 14% 50% 50%

Preferred Prime Minister and satisfaction

Leadership polling
Date Firm Preferred Prime Minister Morrison Shorten
Morrison Shorten Satisfied Dissatisfied Satisfied Dissatisfied
22–24 Sep 2018 Essential[1] 39% 27% 37% 31% 35% 31%
20–23 Sep 2018 Newspoll[2] 45% 32% 44% 39% 32% 54%
8–10 Sep 2018 Essential[4] 39% 27% 37% 31% 35% 43%
6–9 Sep 2018 Newspoll[5] 42% 36% 41% 39% 37% 51%
24–25 Aug 2018 Newspoll[8] 33% 39%
24 Aug 2018 Scott Morrison replaces Malcolm Turnbull as Liberal leader
Turnbull Shorten Turnbull Shorten
9–12 Aug 2018 Newspoll[10] 44% 32% 36% 55% 32% 56%
26–29 Jul 2018 Newspoll[12] 48% 29% 42% 48% 32% 57%
18–21 Jul 2018 Ipsos[151] 57% 30% 55% 38% 38% 54%
16 Jul 2018 Newspoll[152] 48% 29% 39% 50% 33% 55%
10–13 May 2018 Newspoll[25] 46% 32% 41% 49% 32% 56%
3–6 May 2018 Essential[153] 40% 26% 40% 42% 37% 41%
4–6 Mar 2018 Essential[102] 37% 35% - - - -
26–30 Apr 2017 Essential[102] 45% 31% 35% 47% 33% 47%
20–23 Apr 2017 Newspoll[103] 42% 33% 32% 57% 33% 53%
30 Mar – 2 Apr 2017 Newspoll[107] 41% 32% 30% 59% 32% 54%
22–25 Mar 2017 Ipsos[109] 45% 33% - - - -
17–20 Mar 2017 Essential[111] 43% 29% - - - -
16–19 Mar 2017 Newspoll[112] 43% 29% 30% 57% 29% 57%
10–13 Mar 2017 Essential[113] 38% 26% 33% 50% 30% 49%
23–26 Feb 2017 Newspoll[154] 40% 33% 29% 59% 30% 56%
2–5 Feb 2017 Newspoll[118] 42% 30% 35% 54% 32% 54%
1–4 Dec 2016 Newspoll[123] 41% 32% 32% 55% 34% 51%
24–26 Nov 2016 Ipsos[125] 51% 30% 45% 45% 37% 53%
17–20 Nov 2016 Newspoll[126] 43% 33% 34% 54% 36% 51%
3–6 Nov 2016 Newspoll[128] 42% 32% 30% 58% 36% 51%
20–23 Oct 2016 Newspoll[129] 42% 32% 29% 57% 36% 51%
6–9 Oct 2016 Newspoll[132] 45% 30% 31% 56% 35% 51%
9–12 Sep 2016 Essential[134] 41% 26% 35% 43% 36% 41%
8–11 Sep 2016 Newspoll[135] 43% 31% 34% 53% 35% 52%
25–28 Aug 2016 Newspoll[137] 43% 32% 34% 52% 36% 50%
5–8 Aug 2016 Essential[140] 40% 30% 38% 43% 37% 41%
6–10 Jul 2016 Essential[144] 39% 31% 37% 48% 39% 41%
2 Jul 2016 election
28 Jun – 1 Jul 2016 Newspoll[146] 48% 31% 40% 47% 36% 51%
30 Jun 2016 ReachTEL[147] 52.9% 47.1% - - - -
26–29 Jun 2016 Ipsos[150] 49% 35% 49% 41% 42% 50%
23–26 Jun 2016 Essential[155] 40% 29% 40% 40% 37% 39%
^ Remainder were "uncommitted" to either leader.

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