London Assembly election, 2020

Next London Assembly election
on or before 7 May 2020
25 London Assembly Seats
13 seats needed for majority

  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Jeremy Corbyn Theresa May Jonathan Bartley & Siân Berry
(job share)
Party Labour Conservative Green
Leader since 12 September 2015 11 July 2016 September 2016 &
September 2018 respectively
Last election 12 seats 8 seats 2 seats
  Fourth party Fifth party
 
Leader Gerard Batten Vince Cable
Party UKIP Liberal Democrat
Leader since 17 February 2018 20 July 2017
Last election 2 seats 1 seat
London Assembly constituencies

The next election to the London Assembly is due to be held on Thursday 7 May 2020.[1]

Background

In the 2016 London elections, the Labour Party won the post of London Mayor, as well as 12 seats in the London Assembly elections. The party polled over 1 million votes, which represented the best-ever result for any political party in a London Assembly election. The Conservative Party were the runners-up, winning 8 seats, followed by the Green Party (2 seats), the UK Independence Party (2 seats) and the Liberal Democrats (1 seat). The Women's Equality Party, meanwhile, achieved 3.5% of the regional list vote, failing to reach the 5% minimum threshold required for representation.

The following year, in the snap election on 8 June 2017, Labour polled 55% of the popular vote in London, winning 49 of 73 London seats in the British House of Commons. In the 2018 borough elections across the capital, Labour saw their best result in over 45 years, winning 47% of the vote.

Electoral system

The election system used is called the Additional Member System. There are 14 constituencies that elect one member each to the Assembly. These seats have previously only ever been won by the Labour Party or the Conservative Party. The remaining 11 seats are distributed by a second vote, by a modified D'Hondt method of closed-list voting, with a 5% minimum threshold. These seats have been won by other parties too. The overall result is a compromise between constituency representation and London-wide proportional representation.

Marginal Seats

The following lists are based on the 2016 results and may not be the actual seats targeted in a campaign.

Labour Targets

Rank Constituency Winning party 2016 Swing to gain Labour's place 2016 Result
1 Havering and Redbridge Conservative 0.4 2nd
2 Croydon and Sutton Conservative 3.2 2nd
3 West Central Conservative 4.75 2nd
4 South West Conservative 5.02 2nd

Conservative Targets

Rank Constituency Winning party 2016 Swing to gain Conservative's place 2016 Result
1 Merton and Wandsworth Labour 1.15 2nd
2 Ealing and Hillingdon Labour 3.95 2nd
3 Barnet and Camden Labour 4.35 2nd
4 Brent and Harrow Labour 5.95 2nd

Green Targets

Rank Constituency Winning party 2016 Swing to gain Green's place 2016 Result
1 Merton and Wandsworth Labour 16.9 3rd
2 West Central Conservative 17.5 3rd
3 Ealing and Hillingdon Labour 17.5 4th
4 Lambeth and Southwark Labour 18.9 3rd

UKIP Targets

Rank Constituency Winning party 2016 Swing to gain UKIP's place 2016 Result
1 Havering and Redbridge Conservative 11 3rd
2 Croydon and Sutton Conservative 14.25 4th
3 Bexley and Bromley Conservative 15 3rd

Liberal Democrat Targets

Rank Constituency Winning party 2016 Swing to gain Lib Dem's place 2016 Result
1 South West Conservative 12.57 3rd
2 Croydon and Sutton Conservative 14.1 3rd

See also

References

  1. ↑ "Electing the Mayor and Assembly". London City Hall.


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