Andalusian regional election, 1996

Andalusian regional election, 1996
3 March 1996
All 109 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia
55 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered 5,577,567 3.5%
Turnout 4,347,193 (77.9%)
10.6 pp

  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Manuel Chaves Javier Arenas Luis Carlos Rejón
Party PSOE–A PP IULV–CA
Leader since 19 April 1990 25 July 1993 21 July 1988
Leader's seat Cádiz Seville Córdoba
Last election 45 seats, 38.7% 41 seats, 34.4% 20 seats, 19.1%
Seats won 52 40 13
Seat change 7 1 7
Popular vote 1,903,160 1,466,980 603,495
Percentage 44.1% 34.0% 14.0%
Swing 5.4 pp 0.4 pp 5.1 pp
  Fourth party
 
Leader Pedro Pacheco
Party PA
Leader since 1994
Leader's seat Cádiz
Last election 3 seats, 5.8%[lower-alpha 1]
Seats won 4
Seat change 1
Popular vote 287,764
Percentage 6.7%
Swing 0.9 pp
Constituency results map for the Parliament of Andalusia
President before election

Manuel Chaves
PSOE–A

 Elected President

Manuel Chaves
PSOE–A

The 1996 Andalusian regional election was held on Sunday, 3 March 1996, to elect the 5th Parliament of the Autonomous Community of Andalusia. All 109 seats in the Parliament were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with the 1996 Spanish general election.

The PSOE won the election with a greater relative majority than before, enabling it to require the support of only the Andalusian Party in order for Socialist candidate Manuel Chaves González to be invested as President of the Regional Government of Andalusia, ending the period of instability that had dominated the previous legislature.

Overview

Electoral system

The Parliament of Andalusia was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Andalusia, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Andalusian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a President of the Regional Government.[1] Voting for the Parliament was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over eighteen, registered in Andalusia and in full enjoyment of their political rights.

The 109 members of the Parliament of Andalusia were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of 3 percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Parties not reaching the threshold were not taken into consideration for seat distribution. Additionally, the use of the D'Hondt method might result in an effective threshold over three percent, depending on the district magnitude.[2] Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Almería, Cádiz, Córdoba, Granada, Huelva, Jaén, Málaga and Seville. Each constituency was entitled to an initial minimum of eight seats, with the remaining 45 allocated among the constituencies in proportion to their populations on the condition that the number of seats in each province did not exceed two times that of any other.[1][3]

The electoral law provided that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors were allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors were required to secure the signature of at least 1 percent of the electors registered in the constituency for which they sought election. Electors were barred from signing for more than one list of candidates. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election being called.[3][4][5]

Election date

The term of the Parliament of Andalusia expired four years after the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. Election day was to take place between the thirtieth and the sixtieth day from the date of expiry of parliament barring any date within from 1 July to 31 August. The previous election was held on 12 June 1994, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 12 June 1998. The election was required to take place no later than the sixtieth day from the date of expiry of parliament on the condition that it was not held between 1 July and 31 August, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament on Tuesday, 30 June 1998.[1][3][6][7][8]

After legal amendments in 1994, the President of the Regional Government was granted the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of Andalusia and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process and that dissolution did not occur before one year had elapsed since the previous one. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional President within a two-month period from the first ballot, the candidate from the party with the highest number of seats was to be deemed automatically elected.[1][6][7][8]

Opinion polls

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll. When available, seat projections are also displayed below the voting estimates in a smaller font. 55 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Andalusia.

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 3 March 1996 Parliament of Andalusia election results →
Parties and coalitions Popular vote Seats
Votes % ±pp Total +/−
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia (PSOE–A) 1,903,16044.05+5.33 52+7
People's Party (PP) 1,466,98033.96–0.40 40–1
United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia (IULV–CA) 603,49513.97–5.17 13–7
Andalusian Party (PA)1 287,7646.66+0.86 4+1
Communist Party of the Andalusian People (PCPA) 7,3400.17–0.17 0±0
Andalusian Nation (NA) 5,8460.14–0.13 0±0
Humanist Party (PH) 4,3390.10–0.05 0±0
Authentic Spanish Phalanx (FEA) 3,8690.09New 0±0
Centrist Union (UC) 1,6880.04–0.23 0±0
Democratic Andalusian Unity (UAD) 1,4860.03New 0±0
Voice of the Andalusian People (VDPA) 8400.02New 0±0
Blank ballots 33,1650.77–0.08
Total 4,319,972 109±0
Valid votes 4,319,97299.37–0.03
Invalid votes 27,2210.63+0.03
Votes cast / turnout 4,347,19377.94+10.67
Abstentions 1,230,37422.06–10.67
Registered voters 5,577,567
Sources[9][10][11]
Popular vote
PSOE–A
 
 44.05%
PP
 
 33.96%
IULV–CA
 
 13.97%
PA
 
 6.66%
Others
 
 0.59%
Blank ballots
 
 0.77%
Seats
PSOE–A
 
 47.70%
PP
 
 36.70%
IULV–CA
 
 11.93%
PA
 
 3.67%

Distribution by constituency

Constituency PSOE–A PP IULV–CA PA
% S % S % S % S
Almería 45.6 5 39.7 5 10.3 1 3.3 −
Cádiz 39.5 6 32.5 5 12.8 2 13.8 2
Córdoba 41.7 6 31.6 4 19.7 3 5.7 −
Granada 44.9 7 37.5 5 12.4 1 3.9 −
Huelva 49.2 6 32.8 4 11.5 1 5.3 −
Jaén 47.3 6 36.2 5 12.2 1 3.3 −
Málaga 39.6 6 37.3 6 15.8 2 5.7 1
Seville 47.4 10 29.7 6 13.9 2 7.5 1
Total 44.1 52 34.0 40 14.0 13 6.7 4
Sources[10][11]

Aftermath

Investiture
Manuel Chaves (PSOE–A)
Ballot → 11 April 1996
Required majority → 55 out of 109 ☑
56 / 109
53 / 109
Abstentions
0 / 109
Absentees
0 / 109
Sources[11]

Notes

  1. ↑ Data for PA–PAP in the 1994 election.

References

Opinion poll sources
  1. 1 2 "El PP ganará con claridad las elecciones andaluzas pero PSOE e IU tienen la mayoría". El Mundo (in Spanish). 26 February 1996.
  2. ↑ "El PP ganará ampliamente en Andalucía". El País (in Spanish). 24 February 1996.
  3. ↑ "Distribuciones de frecuencia marginales del Estudio 2207 (Andalucía)". CIS (in Spanish). 21 February 1996.
  4. ↑ "Estudio CIS nº 2207" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 21 February 1996.
  5. ↑ "Andalucía prepara un vuelco histórico". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 21 February 1996.
  6. ↑ "El PP podría formar gobierno en Andalucía con el apoyo del PA". Diario de Navarra (in Spanish). 19 February 1996.
  7. ↑ "El PP ganará en Andalucía, pero no podrá formar un Gobierno estable". El País (in Spanish). 10 February 1996.
  8. ↑ "IU baja entre dos y cuatro escaños, y los andalucistas mantienen su presencia en el Parlamento". El País (in Spanish). 10 February 1996.
  9. ↑ "El PSOE pierde Andalucía". El Mundo (in Spanish). 29 January 1996.
  10. ↑ "El PP ganaría por primera vez las elecciones autonómicas andaluzas, según una encuesta". ABC (in Spanish). 9 January 1996.
  11. ↑ "Una encuesta del PSOE le sitúa como vencedor en las autonómicas, mientras que la oposición replica que los datos son "absolutamente falsos" y que el sondeo no tiene "ninguna credibilidad"". ABC Sevilla (in Spanish). 9 December 1995.
  12. ↑ "El PSOE volvería a ganar las elecciones autonómicas andaluzas". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 9 December 1995.
  13. ↑ "El PP obtendría ahora en Andalucía ocho escaños más que los socialistas, según una encuesta del propio PSOE". ABC (in Spanish). 27 November 1995.
  14. ↑ "Situación social y política en Andalucía. Elecciones Autonómicas. Octubre-noviembre 1995 (Estudio nº 2196)". CIS (in Spanish). 18 October 1995.
  15. ↑ "Estudio CIS nº 2196. Ficha técnica" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 18 October 1995.
Other
  1. 1 2 3 4 "Statute of Autonomy for Andalusia of 1981". Organic Law No. 2 of 30 December 1981. Official State Gazette (in Spanish). Retrieved 16 September 2017.
  2. ↑ Gallagher, Michael (30 July 2012). "Effective threshold in electoral systems". Trinity College, Dublin. Retrieved 22 July 2017.
  3. 1 2 3 "Andalusia Electoral Law of 1986". Law No. 1 of 2 January 1986. Official Gazette of the Junta of Andalusia (in Spanish). Retrieved 16 September 2017.
  4. ↑ "General Electoral System Organic Law of 1985". Organic Law No. 5 of 19 June 1985. Official State Gazette (in Spanish). Retrieved 28 December 2016.
  5. ↑ "Representation of the people Institutional Act". juntaelectoralcentral.es. Central Electoral Commission. Retrieved 16 June 2017.
  6. 1 2 "Government and Administration of the Autonomous Community Law of 1983". Law No. 6 of 21 July 1983. Official Gazette of the Junta of Andalusia (in Spanish). Retrieved 17 September 2017.
  7. 1 2 "Government and Administration of the Autonomous Community Law Reform of 1990". Law No. 1 of 30 January 1990. Official Gazette of the Junta of Andalusia (in Spanish). Retrieved 17 September 2017.
  8. 1 2 "Government and Administration of the Autonomous Community and Andalusia Electoral Laws Reform of 1994". Law No. 6 of 18 May 1994. Official Gazette of the Junta of Andalusia (in Spanish). Retrieved 17 September 2017.
  9. ↑ "Electoral Results Consultation. Parliament of Andalusia. March 1996. Andalusia totals". juntadeandalucia.es (in Spanish). Junta of Andalusia. Retrieved 25 September 2017.
  10. 1 2 "Parliament of Andalusia election results, 3 March 1996" (PDF). juntaelectoralcentral.es (in Spanish). Electoral Commission of Andalusia. 26 March 1996. Retrieved 25 September 2017.
  11. 1 2 3 "Parliament of Andalusia elections since 1982". historiaelectoral.com (in Spanish). Electoral History. Retrieved 25 September 2017.

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