2021 Saxony-Anhalt state election

The 2021 Saxony-Anhalt state election will be held on 6 June 2021 to elect the 8th Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt.[1] The current government is coalition of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU), Social Democratic Party (SPD), and The Greens, led by Minister-President Reiner Haseloff.

Next Saxony-Anhalt state election

6 June 2021

All 83 seats in the Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt (plus overhang and leveling seats)
42+ seats needed for a majority
 
Leader Reiner Haseloff Martin Reichardt Stefan Gebhardt
Party CDU AfD Left
Leader's seat Dessau-Roßlau-Wittenberg List
Last election 30 seats, 29.8% 24 seats, 24.3% 16 seats, 16.3%

 
Leader Juliane Kleemann
& Andreas Schmidt
Sebastian Striegel &
Susan Sziborra-Seidlitz
Party SPD Green
Leader's seat
List
List
Last election 11 seats, 10.6% 5 seats, 5.2%

Incumbent Minister-President

Reiner Haseloff
CDU


Election date

The Landtag is elected for five years, with its term commencing when the new Landtag first meets. Election must take place between 58 and 62 months after the start of the legislative period.[2] In November 2019, the state government announced that the election will take place on 6 June 2021.[1]

Electoral system

The Landtag is elected via mixed-member proportional representation. 41 members are elected in single-member constituencies via first-past-the-post voting. 42 members are then allocated using compensatory proportional representation, distributed in each of Berlin's twelve boroughs. Voters have two votes: the "first vote" for candidates in single-member constituencies, and the "second vote" for party lists, which are used to fill the proportional seats. The minimum size of the Landtag is 83 members, but if overhang seats are present, proportional leveling seats will be added to ensure proportionality. An electoral threshold of 5% of valid votes is applied to the Landtag; parties that fall below this threshold are excluded from the Landtag.[3]

Background

In the previous election held on 13 March 2016, the CDU remained the largest party with 29.8% of votes cast, a decline of 2.7 percentage points. Alternative for Germany (AfD) contested its first election in Saxony-Anhalt, winning 24.3%. The Left fell from second to third place with 16.3%, a decline of 7.4 points. The SPD lost half its voteshare, falling to 10.6%. The Greens narrowly retained their seats with 5.2%.

The CDU had led a coalition with the SPD since 2011, but this government lost its majority in the election. The CDU subsequently formed a coalition with the SPD and Greens.

Campaign

Lead candidates

On 9 March 2020, state CDU leader Holger Stahlknecht announced his desire to become the CDU's top candidate for the election. However, he stated he would not contest the position if Haseloff chose to seek another term as Minister-President.[4]

Parties

The table below lists parties currently represented in the 7th Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt.

Name Ideology Leader(s) 2016 result
Votes (%) Seats
CDU Christian Democratic Union of Germany
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands
Christian democracy Reiner Haseloff 29.8%
30 / 87
AfD Alternative for Germany
Alternative für Deutschland
National conservatism Martin Reichardt 24.3%
24 / 87
Linke The Left
Die Linke
Democratic socialism Stefan Gebhardt 16.3%
16 / 87
SPD Social Democratic Party of Germany
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands
Social democracy Julianne Kleemann
Andreas Schmidt
10.3%
11 / 87
Grüne Alliance 90/The Greens
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
Green politics Sebastian Striegel
Susan Sziborra-Seidlitz
5.2%
5 / 87

Opinion polling

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
CDU AfD Linke SPD Grüne FDP Others Lead
Infratest dimap 28 May–3 Jun 2020 1,003 34 19 16 13 8 4 6 15
INSA 2–16 Mar 2020 1,005 25 25 18 11 11 4 6 Tie
Infratest dimap 21–25 Aug 2018 1,000 28 21 19 14 6 8 4 7
CONOSCOPE 30 Jan–8 Mar 2018 1,100 35 15 20 16 5 6 3 15
Infratest dimap 12–17 Jun 2017 1,000 40 13 20 13 6 5 3 20
Infratest dimap 15–19 Nov 2016 1,000 33 22 18 15 5 7 11
2016 state election 13 Mar 2016 29.8 24.3 16.3 10.3 5.2 4.9 9.0 5.5

References

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