2021 Saxony-Anhalt state election
The 2021 Saxony-Anhalt state election will be held on 6 June 2021 to elect the 8th Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt.[1] The current government is coalition of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU), Social Democratic Party (SPD), and The Greens, led by Minister-President Reiner Haseloff.
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All 83 seats in the Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt (plus overhang and leveling seats) 42+ seats needed for a majority | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Election date
The Landtag is elected for five years, with its term commencing when the new Landtag first meets. Election must take place between 58 and 62 months after the start of the legislative period.[2] In November 2019, the state government announced that the election will take place on 6 June 2021.[1]
Electoral system
The Landtag is elected via mixed-member proportional representation. 41 members are elected in single-member constituencies via first-past-the-post voting. 42 members are then allocated using compensatory proportional representation, distributed in each of Berlin's twelve boroughs. Voters have two votes: the "first vote" for candidates in single-member constituencies, and the "second vote" for party lists, which are used to fill the proportional seats. The minimum size of the Landtag is 83 members, but if overhang seats are present, proportional leveling seats will be added to ensure proportionality. An electoral threshold of 5% of valid votes is applied to the Landtag; parties that fall below this threshold are excluded from the Landtag.[3]
Background
In the previous election held on 13 March 2016, the CDU remained the largest party with 29.8% of votes cast, a decline of 2.7 percentage points. Alternative for Germany (AfD) contested its first election in Saxony-Anhalt, winning 24.3%. The Left fell from second to third place with 16.3%, a decline of 7.4 points. The SPD lost half its voteshare, falling to 10.6%. The Greens narrowly retained their seats with 5.2%.
The CDU had led a coalition with the SPD since 2011, but this government lost its majority in the election. The CDU subsequently formed a coalition with the SPD and Greens.
Campaign
Lead candidates
On 9 March 2020, state CDU leader Holger Stahlknecht announced his desire to become the CDU's top candidate for the election. However, he stated he would not contest the position if Haseloff chose to seek another term as Minister-President.[4]
Parties
The table below lists parties currently represented in the 7th Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt.
Name | Ideology | Leader(s) | 2016 result | |||
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Votes (%) | Seats | |||||
CDU | Christian Democratic Union of Germany Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands |
Christian democracy | Reiner Haseloff | 29.8% | 30 / 87 | |
AfD | Alternative for Germany Alternative für Deutschland |
National conservatism | Martin Reichardt | 24.3% | 24 / 87 | |
Linke | The Left Die Linke |
Democratic socialism | Stefan Gebhardt | 16.3% | 16 / 87 | |
SPD | Social Democratic Party of Germany Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands |
Social democracy | Julianne Kleemann Andreas Schmidt |
10.3% | 11 / 87 | |
Grüne | Alliance 90/The Greens Bündnis 90/Die Grünen |
Green politics | Sebastian Striegel Susan Sziborra-Seidlitz |
5.2% | 5 / 87 |
Opinion polling
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
CDU | AfD | Linke | SPD | Grüne | FDP | Others | Lead |
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Infratest dimap | 28 May–3 Jun 2020 | 1,003 | 34 | 19 | 16 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 15 |
INSA | 2–16 Mar 2020 | 1,005 | 25 | 25 | 18 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 6 | Tie |
Infratest dimap | 21–25 Aug 2018 | 1,000 | 28 | 21 | 19 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
CONOSCOPE | 30 Jan–8 Mar 2018 | 1,100 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 15 |
Infratest dimap | 12–17 Jun 2017 | 1,000 | 40 | 13 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 20 |
Infratest dimap | 15–19 Nov 2016 | 1,000 | 33 | 22 | 18 | 15 | 5 | – | 7 | 11 |
2016 state election | 13 Mar 2016 | – | 29.8 | 24.3 | 16.3 | 10.3 | 5.2 | 4.9 | 9.0 | 5.5 |
References
- "Termin für Landtagswahl 2021 steht - Höhere Kosten für Steuerzahler". Mdr.de.
- "Landesverfassung_LV" (PDF). Landtag Sachsen-Anhalt. 20 March 2020.
- "Wahlsystem". Landwahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt.
- "Stahlknecht will CDU-Spitzenkandidat werden – aber nicht gegen Haseloff antreten". Mdr.de. 9 March 2020.