2019–20 Israeli political crisis

Israeli politics experienced a crisis and stalemate between April 2019 and April 2020. Three Knesset elections were held during the period without a clear victor or alliance. In the Israeli elections of April 2019, the two major parties, Blue and White and Likud, received an equal number of 35 seats. The Likud received a mandate from the president to attempt to form a government, but Chairman Benjamin Netanyahu of the Likud party failed to arrange a majority coalition of 61 seats. The Knesset was dissolved shortly thereafter.[1]

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A second election was held in September 2019. This time, Blue and White overcame the Likud by a single seat. Nonetheless, the Likud received the mandate from the president after gaining the support of one Knesset member more than Blue and White. Netanyahu again failed to form a government,[2] but this time he could not dissolve the Knesset. Therefore, the mandate passed to Benny Gantz, who also failed to achieve a majority.[3] The President passed the mandate to the Knesset members for 21 days.[4] After no other candidate was offered, the Knesset was dissolved.

In March 2020, the third election was held. This time, Likud gained more seats than Blue and White, but Gantz achieved more recommendations from potential allies in the Knesset and received the mandate from the president. Gantz nevertheless was unable to unite enough allies into a coalition. His bloc was still agreed to replace the Speaker of the Knesset. Following this, the former Knesset Speaker Yuli Edelstein refused to convene the plenary to vote on his replacement. His refusal created a constitutional crisis. The Movement for Quality Government in Israel appealed to the Supreme Court, which ordered Edelstein to convene the Knesset. Following this Edelstein resigned.[5] Meanwhile, the Coronavirus pandemic in Israel worsened, which precipitated negotiations for a national emergency government. On March 26, Gantz was sworn in as the new Knesset Speaker, with the support of the Likud party,[6] causing a split in Blue and White. Finally, on 20 April 2020, the Likud and Blue and White agreed on an equal unity government, which includes a "rotation agreement" between Gantz and Netanyahu on the prime minister's chair.[7]

Following April 2019

Israeli government formation, April–May 2019

15 April–30 May 2019
 
Nominee Benjamin Netanyahu Benny Gantz
Party Likud Blue and White
Electoral vote 65 45

Prime Minister before election

Benjamin Netanyahu
Likud

Outcome of Formation

No government formed and fresh elections called. Netanyahu remains PM in interim

The crisis began after the April 2019 election. The leader of the Blue and White faction, Benny Gantz, conceded the election, paving the way for incumbent Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to start talks with other parties to form a governing coalition.[8] On 15 and 16 April, leaders of all the parties who won seats in the Knesset met with President Reuven Rivlin to recommend a designated person to form a government. Netanyahu received recommendations from leaders representing 65 seats in the Knesset, whereas Gantz received recommendations from leaders representing only 45 seats in the Knesset. Leaders of the two Arab parties, representing 10 seats in the Knesset, declined to make any recommendation.[9][10]

Party Party Leader Seats Recommended Source
Likud Benjamin Netanyahu 35 Netanyahu [11]
Blue & White Benny Gantz 35 Gantz [11]
Shas Aryeh Deri 8 Netanyahu [11]
UTJ Yaakov Litzman 8 Netanyahu [11]
HadashTa'al Ayman Odeh 6 No-one [11]
Labor Avi Gabbay 6 Gantz [12]
Yisrael Beiteinu Avigdor Lieberman 5 Netanyahu [12]
Union of the Right-Wing Parties Rafi Peretz 5 Netanyahu [12]
Meretz Tamar Zandberg 4 Gantz [12]
Kulanu Moshe Kahlon 4 Netanyahu [12]
Ra'amBalad Mansour Abbas 4 No-one [13]

Based on the recommendations he received, Rivlin designated Netanyahu to form the next governing coalition.[14]

After a month of negotiations, Netanyahu's failure to form a government led to a 74 to 45 vote in the Knesset in favour of dispersing just after midnight on 29 May 2019. The new election was scheduled for 17 September 2019.[15]

Following September 2019

Israeli government formation, September 2019

22 September 2019
 
Nominee Benjamin Netanyahu Benny Gantz
Party Likud Blue and White
Electoral vote 55 54

Prime Minister before election

Benjamin Netanyahu
Likud

Outcome of Formation

No government formed and fresh elections called. Netanyahu remains PM in interim

The do-over election did not provide a clear view of the next government, as none could be formed without at least one party or leader reneging on their campaign promises on who should be prime minister, or on the religious-secular issue. Some mentioned the possibility of a third election.[16][17] The day before the election, Benny Gantz called President Reuven Rivlin to try to avoid a third election at all costs, after Benjamin Netanyahu had refused to rule them out.[18]

On election night, Avigdor Lieberman of Yisrael Beiteinu called for a "broad liberal government" that includes both Blue and White and Likud, and reiterated that he did not want to form any majority with the Arab parties. Benny Gantz claimed Prime ministership and Blue and White repeated that they would not form a government with Netanyahu, although they were open to one with Likud. Benyamin Netanyahu called for a "strong Zionist government".[19] On the left, Labor-Gesher stated it wanted to bring Arab parties "to the table", some of which are open to recommending Gantz.[19]

On 18 September, Netanyahu met with the emissaries of Yamina, Shas, and UTJ, to build a right-wing bloc to negotiate together.[20]

On 19 September, Rivlin, Netanyahu and Gantz met during a memorial ceremony for Shimon Peres. Netanyahu urged Gantz to speak with him about forming a unity government, for the sake of avoiding a third election.[19] Speaking for Blue and White, Gantz and Lapid both rejected Netanyahu's offer, saying Blue and White had won, and that Gantz had the right to lead a unity government committed to liberal policies on social issues, and thus refusing to discuss forming such a government with Netanyahu as long as right-wing religious parties were included. Lapid remarked that "if Netanyahu steps aside, we'll have a unity government".[21][22] Lieberman likewise accused Netanyahu of "deception" by offering a unity government, but conditioning it on the inclusion of religious parties.[23]

The same day, Gantz met with Horowitz. His aides said they expect a meeting with other party leaders, Odeh and Peretz. Labor-Gesher's six MKs could allow Netanyahu's bloc of 55 to find a majority. Likud thus reportedly offered Peretz the Finance portfolio, and a raise of the minimum wage, but the same sources say Peretz turned down the offer, which goes against a campaign vow. Netanyahu met with Degel HaTorah MKs, who, along with other Haredi parties (Shas, Agudat Yisrael), are starting to backtrack on their refusal not to govern with Lapid, in the case Lapid himself U-turns on Netanyahu. Lieberman was equivocal as to whether he would support Gantz, fearing to be sidelined from a unity government, or one that includes Haredim. According to Channel 13, Gantz reportedly promised to include Yisrael Beiteinu in any coalition.[24]

Joint List and Balad

On 21 September, the 13 MKs from the Joint List met together. 10 of them—with three Balad MKs dissenting—expressed their readiness to nominate Gantz if he meets "basic demands" on the peace process, the Arab community's interests, and the Jewish nation-state law.[25] President Rivlin met with party leaders on 22 September for the first day of talks.[26] On 22 September 2019, the Joint List leader Ayman Odeh declared that the Joint List had agreed, by internal majority voting, to endorse Benny Gantz for prime minister, marking the first time an Arab-Israeli party had endorsed a Zionist for prime minister.[27][28] Though initial reports suggested that the Joint List's recommendation gave Gantz a 57 to 55 edge, Rivlin revealed on 23 September that three Balad MKs—elected as part of the Joint List—demanded that their names be removed from a list of nominees of Gantz. After a day of confusion, Tibi and Odeh—leaders of the two pro-Gantz parties within Joint List—wrote a letter to Rivlin clarifying that the Joint List did not, in fact, have a unity agreement that legally binds individual parties to follow the party's nomination for the prime minister.[29] As such, Balad's three MKs were legally allowed to ignore the Joint List's recommendation. As a result, Netanyahu leads Gantz in tallied recommendations by a 55 to 54 margin, with eight delegates from Yisrael Beiteinu and three delegates from Balad yet to recommend either.[29]

Party Party Leader Seats Recommended Source
Blue & White Benny Gantz 33 Gantz [26]
Likud Benjamin Netanyahu 32 Netanyahu [26]
Joint List Ayman Odeh 13 divided [30][31]
HadashAyman Odeh5Gantz[31]
Ta'alAhmad Tibi2Gantz[31]
United Arab ListMansour Abbas3Gantz[31]
BaladMtanes Shehadeh3No-one[30][32]
Shas Aryeh Deri 9 Netanyahu [26]
Yisrael Beiteinu Avigdor Lieberman 8 No-one [33]
UTJ Yaakov Litzman 7 Netanyahu [31]
Yamina Ayelet Shaked 7 Netanyahu [31]
Labor-Gesher Amir Peretz 6 Gantz [34]
Democratic Union Nitzan Horowitz 5 Gantz [33]

Netanyahu and Gantz attempt to form governments

On 25 September, Rivlin selected Netanyahu to attempt to form the thirty-fifth government of Israel,[35] but with the stipulation that if the attempt fails, Rivlin retains the mandate to nominate another candidate.[36]

New members of Knesset were sworn in on 3 October 2019.[37] The same day, talks between Netanyahu and Lieberman ended with no breakthrough.[38] Moments after it was announced that Netanyahu was aiming to demonstrate Likud party unity with a leadership contest, the Israeli Prime Minister received a challenge from Gideon Sa'ar, who tersely tweeted, "I'm ready", should the Prime Minister agree to hold a leadership election.[39][40] On 4 October, Netanyahu decided against holding a leadership election.[41]

On 22 October, Netanyahu informed President Rivlin that he was unable to form a government.[2][42] On 23 October, President Rivlin gave the mandate of forming a government to Gantz.[43]

Gantz was then given 28 days to form a coalition to lead the government,[3] but was unable and returned the mandate on 21 November.[44] Following this, a period of 21 days began in which any Knesset member can lead the government if they submit 61 signatures to the president.[44][45] Since no MK was able to form a government by 11 December, the Knesset again voted to dissolve itself, and new elections will be held on 2 March 2020.[46]

Following March 2020

Israeli government formation, March–April 2020

March-April 2020
 
Nominee Benny Gantz Benjamin Netanyahu
Party Blue and White Likud
Electoral vote 61 58

Prime Minister before election

Benjamin Netanyahu
Likud

Outcome of Formation

TBD

On 8 March 2020, Lieberman gave Gantz his backing to form a new government.[47] The next day, the Joint List agreed to work with Gantz and Lieberman to oust Netanyahu.[48] Orly Levy announced on 10 March that she would not support a minority government and had left the Labor–Gesher–Meretz alliance. Blue and White MKs Zvi Hauser and Yoaz Hendel had previously stated that they would not support a government that relied on the Joint List's support.[49] An aide to Gantz also stated that he plans to form a government by 23 March.[50] Lieberman and Labor party leader Amir Peretz also reaffirmed on 11 March that an alliance with the Joint List would not change their party's position on forming a political alliance with Gantz.[51] The elected MKs were sworn in on 16 March 2020.[52] On March 15, Israeli President Reuven Rivlin announced that he had asked Gantz to form the new government after Gantz received support from 61 of the 120 MKs.[53]

Prior to the election, Gantz vowed to form a government that would not include Netanyahu.[54] However, after the election and with the outbreak of the 2019-2020 coronavirus pandemic, Gantz reversed his stance and announced he was willing to support an emergency coalition with Netanyahu.[55] On 21 March, Netanyahu announced negotiations were completed for a national unity government with a rotating prime ministership where Netanyahu served first, to later be replaced by Gantz, though Gantz denied this and claimed negotiations were still ongoing.[56]

COVID-19

Two Israeli cruise ship passengers were infected with COVID-19 in February 2020 and arrived in Israel that month. Other victims did the same and were not put into immediate quarantine. This led to a rapid spread of the virus, causing a national emergency.

Government formation

The Likud and Blue and White agreed on an equal unity government on 20 April 2020, which includes a "rotation agreement" between Gantz and Netanyahu of the premiership.[57]

See also

  • 2019–20 Israeli constitutional crisis

References

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