2018 Tripura Legislative Assembly election

The term of the Tripura Legislative Assembly ended on 6 March 2018.[3] Having governed Tripura since the 1998 election, the ruling Left Front alliance, under Chief Minister Manik Sarkar, sought re-election. Meanwhile, the region in general had been under the political control of the Communist Party for 25 years prior to the election, leading to the region being dubbed a "red holdout".[4]

Their primary challengers came in the form of the Bharatiya Janata Party, which under the leadership of Narendra Modi is the governing party of India on a national level.[5] The BJP is a nationalist, rightist party, whose policies directly oppose those of the Communists.[6] However, the party claimed no seats, and a mere 1.5% of the vote, in the region's previous election.[7] Despite the relatively small size of Tripura, the election took on additional significance on a national level as it was an acid test to gauge the successes of the BJP ahead of next year's general election,[8] and a chance to strip the communists, the party's "primary ideological enemy", of its stronghold.[4]

Prior to the election, a number of workers of the BJP were murdered. The BJP alleged that the murders were committed by CPI(M) members, which the party denies.[9][10][11]

The Election Commission of India announced that the Legislative Assembly elections in Tripura will be held on 18 February 2018 and the results will be announced on 3 March 2018.[12]

297 candidates registered to contest the election.

Party		Symbol	Alliance	Seats contested
	Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPM)		Left Front	57
	Communist Party of India (CPI)		Left Front	1
	Revolutionary Socialist Party (RSP)		Left Front	1
	All India Forward Bloc (AIFB)		Left Front	1
	Indian National Congress (INC)		UPA	59
	Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)		NDA	51
	Indigenous Peoples Front of Tripura (IPFT)		NDA	9
	Independents (IND)			27
	Indigenous Nationalist Party of Twipra (INPT)			15
	Tripura People's Party			7
	Amra Bangalee			23
	All India Trinamool Congress (AITC)			24
	Socialist Unity Centre of India (Communist)			5
	Tipraland State Party			9
	Communist Party of India (ML) (Liberation)			5
	North East India Development Party			1
	Pragatishil Amara Bangali Samaj			1
	I.P.F.T Tiprahaa (Independent)			1
Total				297

The other major force in the election was the Indian National Congress, who had taken 36.5% of the popular vote in the region in 2013.[15] They are also, on a wider scale, the largest force in opposing Modi and the BJP in parliament. As such, Rahul Gandhi, in his capacity as the party's leader, campaigned in the region.[16] They were determined to prevent the BJP from seizing control on the region, as such an outcome would represent the "demise of the Left".[17]

The incumbent Left Front government was defeated after 25 years of office out of which Manik Sarkar served for about 20 years, with the Bharatiya Janata Party and Indigenous Peoples Front of Tripura winning a large majority of seats. The Indian National Congress, which was the second largest party in the 2013 election, lost all its seats and most of its vote share.

Parties and coalitions		Popular vote			Seats
		Votes	%	±pp	Contested	Won	+/−
	Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)	10,25,673	43.59%		51	36	36
	Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPM)	9,93,605	42.22%		57	16	33
	Indigenous Peoples Front of Tripura (IPFT)	1,73,603	7.38%		9	8	8
	Indian National Congress (INC)	42,100	1.79%		59	0	10
	Communist Party of India (CPI)	19,352	0.82%		1	0	1
	Revolutionary Socialist Party (RSP)	17,568	0.75%		1	0
	Indigenous Nationalist Party of Twipra (INPT)	16,940	0.72%		15	0
	All India Forward Bloc (AIFB)	13,115	0.56%		1	0
	All India Trinamool Congress (AITC)	6,989	0.3%		24	0
	Independents (IND)				25	0
	Other parties and coalitions					0
	None of the Above (NOTA)	24,220	1.03%
Total		23,53,246	100.00		60		±0
Valid votes
Invalid votes
Votes cast / turnout
Abstentions
Registered voters

The BJP chose Biplab Kumar Deb to be the next Chief Minister. He said: "I am ready to take the responsibility. I will not run away from taking the responsibility. I have already been given a bigger responsibility, the party's state presidentship, which I have been fulfilling to the best of my ability. People responded favourably to our call 'Chalo Paltai' (let's change)." He claimed that having the same party in the central government and at the state level "helps in faster development." He further called for restraint in post-electoral violence: "We do not believe in the politics of vengeance and hatred, so we appeal to the people to maintain peace and calm." In addition he asserted that "the word development does not exist in the dictionary of the CPI-M. Our government will provide good governance and time-bound implementation of all developmental works."[20]

Former Chief Minister of Kerala and senior CPI(M) leader V. S. Achuthanandan called for the party's leadership to ally with "secular forces" to defeat the Sangh Parivar: "The country is facing serious challenges. The Congress, which had ruled for decades in the post-independence period, has become weaker now. He supported party General Secretary Sitaram Yechury's call for an "understanding" with the INC as "a tactical move with secular forces was necessary." The party's provincial minister claimed that the BJP had "misused" money and power at the central government in winning the election and that the "challenge to the democracy and the national integrity." Another CPM figure M. V. Jayarajan, private secretary to Kerala Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan, claimed that the INC voters and leaders were moving towards the BJP and that the result should "not be viewed lightly and all the patriots in the country have the responsibility to check and isolate any effort of the communal forces gaining strength in the country. Politburo member M. A. Baby said that while the result was "unexpected", he did "respect the verdict of the people." He added: "However, there is a decline of 6-7 per cent vote share of the Left front. It's a concern...how the erosion has taken place and why this happened will be dispassionately examined by the party in Tripura and the national leadership."[21]

Media

It was suggested that in order to defeat the BJP, other opposition parties would have to unite.[22]

Polling for the seat of Charilam was postponed to 12 March 2018 after the death of Communist Party of India (Marxist) candidate Ramendra Narayan Debbarma. The CPI(M) withdrew their candidate for the bypoll claiming that there was an increase in violence. This claim was refuted by BJP National Secretary Ram Madhav, who termed it as "bogus", and an attempt by the CPI(M) to hide their defeat.[23]

Despite this, the CPI(M) candidate continued to be present on the ballot paper, and subsequently lost their deposit.[24][25]

• Elections in India
• 2018 elections in India
• 12th Tripura Legislative Assembly

• Election Commission of India