Opinion polling for the Ukrainian parliamentary election, 2019

In the run up to the 2019 Ukrainian parliamentary elections, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Ukraine. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous parliamentary election, to the present day. The next general election is scheduled to be held not later than 2019, though it may be held earlier if a snap election is called.

Poll results

In 2018
Polling Firm/Link Last date
of polling		 Decided[1]
BDM 01.10.18 – 11.10.18 18.8 10.4 4.9 12.3 4.5 4.3 10.2 4.7 3.9 8.2 2.8 2.2 53
Sofia 27.09.18 – 06.10.18 19,5 10.8 6,1 11.2 6.3 2.9 7.4 3.1 1.3 9.9 - 1.5 55
PPI 29.09.2018 21.9 10.3 3.1 8.5 4.3 - 5.5 1.9 2.2 4.8 13.3 1.0 49
In 2018
Polling Firm/Link Last date
of polling		 RP Servant of the People Decided[2]
KIIS 08.09.18 – 23.09.18 19,6 11,2 4,1 10,1 9,3 8,1 3,5 9,3 8,2 47
KIIS (NDI) 07.18 20 7 3 13 7 12 2 10 40
Rating 10.09.18 – 18.09.18 20.4 8.6 5 8.5 9.3 6.7 3.9 9.1 12 68.5
IAP, UCI, SM 11.09.18 – 18.09.18 17.9 9.7 5.9 8.2 9.6 8.1 3.6 10.7 9.4 75
BDM 27.08.18 – 12.09.18 23.6 9.5 3 24.1 9.7 4.6 8.3 53
SOCIS, KIIS & Razumkov Centre 30.08.18 – 09.09.18 14.5 7.5 3.4 7.3 5.2 5.2 2.6 8 10
DI & Razumkov Centre 16.08.18 – 22.08.18 18.5 7.7 4.1 7.1 8.7 6.4 9.4 6.4
Seetarget 26.07.18 – 17.08.18 18.6 10.7 5.9 11.2 8.4 9.9 3.4 12.2
BDM 02.08.18 – 16.08.18 18.5 8.9 4.3 14.4 5.7 10.4 4.7 8.3 56
BURI 25.07.18 – 31.07.18 18.1 10.5 12.3 11.1 9.8 15
Rating 20.07.18 – 03.08.18 19,5 6,5 4,3 11,4 7,2 7,0 4,1 11,2 10,5 58
BDM 12.07.18 – 25.07.18 19.8 8.2 3.4 14.6 6.1 10.3 4.9 12 53
IAP, UCI, SM
(only cities 100k+)		 07.07.18 – 11.07.18 19.3 9.3 5.6 12 12 7.6 4.6 12.7 71
BDM 27.06.18 – 10.07.18 18.7 7.2 4.3 22.8 12.1 4.5 11.9 61.8
GFK 30.06.18 – 08.07.18 18 8 3 9 8 8 3 11 10 67.5
Sofia 18.06.18 – 29.06.18 16,8 10,9 5,5 18,2 9,1 4,3 10,5 7,0 56
16,1 11,0 5,4 13,8 7,0 8,2 4,5 10,4 8,6 55
Socis, "SM" 16.06.18 – 24.06.18 18.8 6.7 6.8 11.6 5.9 10.4 5.1 10.4 52
Rating 16.06.18 – 24.06.18 17 7.4 5.1 10.7 9.6 8.2 3.8 10.5 10.4 73.2
KIIS 07.06.18 – 21.06.18 19.5 7.3 3.5 10.5 10.3 9.7 3.8 14.4 5.2 67.2
21.6 7.9 4.6 11.4 10.5 11.1 4,6 15.9 67.2
DI & Razumkov Centre 19.05.18 – 25.05.18 17,9 11,1 7,2 12,7 11,6 11,2 4,7 15,2 7,1 49
BURI 14.05.18 – 25.05.18 21,1 12,5 6,9 9,9 11,8 11,3 3,9 10,5 6,6 60
BDM 12.05.18 – 24.05.18 17.7 7 5.5 11.3 10.3 11,5 5.1 8.6 55.1
SOCIS 11.05.18 – 22.05.18 14.7 13.4 6.5 8.4 6.5 7.6 4.3 10.5 10.9 76.8
IAP 19.04.18 – 04.05.18 24,6 14,7 8,1 11,8 12,7 11,8 4,1 12,3 54
BDM 19.04.18 – 04.05.18 18,7 8,3 4,7 10,4 11,3 10,2 4,8 9,1 46
Sofia 19.04.18 – 30.04.18 16,5 12,7 7,0 14,1 7,6 8,7 4,9 11,9 - 61
Socis 19.04.18 – 25.04.18 17.1 12.4 5.8 11.4 8.4 8 2.3 12.9 12.5 62.8
Rating 10.04.18 – 22.04.18 15.6 7.6 5.2 9.6 8.2 8 3.8 9.7 9 62.8
KIIS 05.04.18 – 19.04.18 14.4 9.9 3.6 9.3 9.3 11.4 2.4 11.5 8.4
BDM 01.04.18 – 14.04.18 25 7.4 10.2 11.7 12.5 10.6 6.4 7.2 52.9
BURI 19.03.18 – 30.03.18 14.6 13.5 6.3 8.8 9.4 8.2 4,9 9.2 6.8 74
Rating 15.03.18 – 31.03.18 18 10 8 11 9 10 4 10 6 51
IAP, UCI, SM 06.03.18 – 18.03.18 23 15 9 12 12 11 4 12 48.2
BDM 02.03.18 – 13.03.18 22 9 11 13 13 8 8 6 54
KIIS 05.02.18 – 21.02.18 22.5 6.6 6 12.4 10.3 13.7 5.8 9.4 65.7
Razumkov Centre 15.12.17 – 14.12.17 11 9 7 6 9 6 3 7 4 65
GFK Ukraine 15.11.17 – 14.12.17 19 12 6 14 13 8 5 10 43
In 2017
Polling Firm/Link Last Date
of Polling		 RP Decided[3]
DI & Razumkov Centre 15.12.17 – 19.12.17 17.5 13.1 9.9 9.3 13.5 9.3 4.9 11.1 2.5 - 49
"KIIS" 02.12.17 – 14.12.17 17.2 13.4 7.4 10.7 10.2 10.2 5.4 8.8 3.1 1.8 57
"Rating" 22.11.17 – 30.11.17 16.8 14.5 6.5 9.4 8.9 7.7 5.6 6.8 - -
IAP, "Socioprognoz", "Kiev Press Club" and "Mediakhab" 14.11.17 – 24.11.17 18.1 15.3 7.4 9.2 13.1 12.6 6.3 8.6 3.4 - 55
Sofia 05.10.17 – 13.10.17 17.8 13.2 8.4 15.8 7.2 7.4 6.1 6.9 - - 55.6
Razumkov Centre 06.10.17 – 11.10.17 10 13.6 5.9 8.6 6.8 6.5 4.2 8.9 - -
Socis 05.10.17 – 11.10.17 14.1 16.9 9.3 10.4 9.8 8.9 3.7 11.4 2.5 2 69.8
IRI 14.09.17 – 10.10.17 19 10 6 8 10 6 4 8 2 2 48
NDI, NED, GAC, USIAD, Sweden Gov. 05.09.17 – 17.09.17 14 11 11 10 14 13 6 3 4 - 67
IAP, "Socioprognoz", "Kiev Press Club" and "Mediakhab" 12.09.17 – 25.09.17 18.4 16.0 6.9 9.7 13.2 12.6 6.5 7.3 4.7 - 54
Average last polls 2017 01-09.2017 16.2 12.0 8.5 11.2 10.1 10.5 5.7 7.8 2.7 1.6 55
Sofia 06.08.17 – 12.08.17 16.7 14.1 9.8 15.0 8.5 10.5 5.1 9.1 2.7 - 46
GfK Ukraine & Center for Insights in Survey Research 09.06.17 – 07.07.17 20 8 6 8 10 10 6 6 3 1 52
"Social Monitoring" & Ukrainian institute social survey Yaremenko 20.07.17 – 29.07.17 18.0 13.3 5.7 11.4 12.1 10.5 6.2 6.7 2.5 - 52
Z&B Global 12.07.17 – 19.07.17 16.5 15.4 9.1 8.9 9.8 7.8 6.7 6.3 1.9 2.0 54
DI & Razumkov Centre 09.06.17 – 13.06.17 14.3 11.9 7.4 10.7 9.8 9.3 5.5 10.6 2.3 2.2 61
Rating for FOCUS 22.05.17 – 31.05.17 19.2 14.1 9.5 14.5 12.8 13.1 9.2 10.7 - - 59
Rating 19.05.17 – 25.05.17 13.2 11.3 7.1 10.4 8.2 8.9 6.4 7.6 2.2 0.9 62
Rating 21.04.17 – 05.05.17 14.5 10.4 8.2 10.9 8.9 9.2 4.3 7.5 2.6 1.2 59
Sofia 26.05.17 – 01.06.17 14.0 12.7 8.1 13.4 8.2 10.1 5.1 7.3 2.9 0.9 62
Rating 12.05.17 – 20.05.17 13.9 10.2 7.1 10.4 9.2 9.5 6.6 7.7 1.7 0.9 61
Razumkov Centre 21.04.17 – 26.04.17 13.0 11.3 8.0 7.5 9.9 9.7 4.9[4] 11.1 1.6 1.5 64
Z&B Global 03.04.2017 – 12.04.2017 19.0 15.7 11.0 12.7 13.3 9.9 5.8 8.5 -[nb 1] - 63.5
NAN Urkaine 21.02.17 – 25.02.17 16.9 10.5 10.5 9.3 6.4 15.7 4.9 2.2 4.9 2.0 40.7
Active Group 24.02.17 – 03.03.17 17.9 12.4 10.2 11.4 11.8 10.1 4.9 8.4 - - -
2016
DI & Razumkov Centre 16.12.16 – 20.12.16 13.2 11.9 9.1 10.8 6.8 9.3 3.7 6.5 5.6 2.2 64
Rating 08.12.16 – 18.12.16 16 11.8 8.6 11.7 5.9 8.5 5.9 6.7 2.7 1.6 60
KIIS 03.12.16 – 12.12.16 18.3 11.9 7.6 12.2 10.4 9.8 5 4.8 4.1 1 54
UIF 21.11.16 – 28.11.16 17 14.6 11.7 8.8 5.4 9.7 5.9 4.3 7.4 – 47
Rating, SOCIS 24.11.16 – 02.12.16 15.5 14.1 9.8 11.2 8.8 9.1 4.9 7.1 4.1 1 65
Rating 10.11.16 – 17.11.16 17.4 12.6 7.4 11.1 6.2 8.4 6.1 5.6 3.1 1.1 59
Razumkov Centre 04.11.16 – 09.11.16 14.5 15.8 10.6 12.6 6 7.5 3.7 5 2.5 1.5 64
KIIS 04.11.16 – 13.11.16 19.1 13.2 6 10.1 8.1 9 5.5 6.1 3 0.9 44
Rating 28.09.16 – 07.10.16 16.6 12.9 9.2 10.9 6.1 11.2 6.5 6.6 2 0.9 61
KIIS 16.09.16 – 26.09.16 15.4 14.5 10.3 13.1 5.3 9.6 3.9 6 1.9 1 46.6
Polling Firm/Link Last Date
of Polling		 "Wave"[nb 2] RP [5] Decided Others
Rating 28.09.16 – 07.10.16 16.6 12.9 9.2 10.9 2 11.2 6.5 6.6 – 0.9 61 23.2
KIIS 16.09.16 – 26.09.16 15.4 14.5 10.3 13.1 1.9 9.6 3.9 6.0 – 1.0 41 24.5
Average last 5 polls 09.2016 17.3 12.5 12.2 13.3 5.3 10.8 6.1 2.2 0.2 0.5 – –
CSI Sofia 26.08.16 – 05.09.16 14.4 15.0 9.0 15.6 6.8 9.4 5.1 3.7 1.2 0.6 55.1 19.2
Rating 18.08.16 – 23.08.16 18.3 9.1 11 12.6 3.1 11 5.6 3.8 – 0.2 58.5 25.3
УIСД 05.07.2016 – 16.07.2016 17.9 13.8 14.7 15 5.1 13.7 7.2 – – – 57.8 12.6
VIP-Kонсалтинг 30.06.16 – 07.07.16 17.1 10.9 13.8 8.0 4.6 10.0 6.1 1.8 – 0.5 78.9 27.2
SOFIA 29.06.16 – 08.07.16 15.4 14.6 10.1 18.7 6.2 10.2 5.7 3 0.7 0.6 – 14.8
Rating 28.05.16 – 14.06.16 17.7 13.5 11.1 17.2 3.6 9.9 4.9 3.7 – – 55 18.4
KIIS 20.05.16 – 02.06.16 22.0 13.0 11.1 11.9 2.8 11.2 4.3 5.1 2.4 0.4 53.8 15.8
Polling Firm/Link Last Date
of Polling		 RP Decided Others
Average last 5 polls 05.2016 1.4 11.3 13.0 12.7 9.5 16.4 4.4 1.0 4.2 0.8 1.9 7.3 – –
KIIS 20.05.16 – 02.06.16 1.1 13.0 11.1 11.9 11.2 22.0 4.3 1.7 5.1 – 1.8 2.8 53.8 15.2
DI 11.05.16 – 16.05.16 1.6 11.9 12.7 10.9 10.1 14.4 4.3 2.3 7.2 2.2 1.8 3.2 55.7 17.4
Razumkov Centre 22.04.16 – 26.04.16 0.9 14.3 13.6 14.7 10.3 10.1 5.8 0.8 2.4 0.8 2.5 6.6 60.8 17.2
Rating 14.01.16 – 22.01.16 1.2 10.4 11.6 12.8 8.2 15.1 4.6 – 3.5 1.2 3.5 11.6 57 17.5
KIIS 23.02.16 – 08.03.16 2.5 10.9 11.4 12.1 11.6 20.5 5.8 1.1 5.6 0.7 2.2 4.5 56.0 15.4
Razumkov Centre 19.02.16 – 24.02.16 2.0 11.1 11.2 11.3 6.6 9.1 3.7 0.8 2.9 1.6 2.7 5.8 72.5 5.2
Gorshenin Institute 08.02.16 – 17.02.16 2.9 9.7 15.6 12.8 12.5 14.0 8.6 – 6.1 – 6.3 12.2 ? 11.5
KIIS 05.02.16 – 16.02.16 2.5 16.6 11.8 14.2 10.3 15.1 6.2 1.0 5.3 0.9 3.9 3.6 41.3 12.5
Rating 14.01.16 – 22.01.16 0.9 14.3 11.7 13.5 5.5 11.6 6.9 1.5 2.8 2.0 4.7 11.6 61.1 14.8
2015
Rating 01.12.15 – 10.12.15 1.0 16.5 12.2 12.2 7.9 12.3 7.8 2.1 4.1 2.3 5.1 56.8 13.8
Rating 03.10.15 – 12.10.15 1.1 19.8 10.2 14.0 6.1 15.1 5.4 2.2 4.2 4.0 4.1 64.6 11.6
KIIS 17.09.15 – 27.09.15 1.3 19.9 12.8 11.0 7.4 18.8 3.2 2.0 4.0 6.4 2.2 58.4 10.9
KIIS 27.06.15 – 09.07.15 2.8 23.5 12.2 7.2 10.2 22.7 3.9 2.1 5.5 5.4 – 56.4 2.6
Rating 03.06.15 –13.06.15 3.4 20.5 13.1 12.7 7.9 12.4 4.8 2.6 7.1 6.6 – 56.2 5.8
Rating 19.05.15 – 29.05.15 4.1 21.2 15.8 9.7 12.0 15.3 4.6 2.6 5.4 4.1 – 39.2 4.5
Razumkov Centre 06.03.15  – 12.03.15 7.9 24.4 16.1 11.8 7.8 7.6 3.1 3.4 4.7 – – 57.9 7.9
KIIS 26.02.15 – 11.03.15 6.6 26.7 17.1 10.2 8.4 11.5 4.1 – 4.8 5.2 – 61.8 2.8
2014
Rating 06.11.14  – 13.11.14 24.5 23.5 12.7 8.5 7.0 6.1 4.4 2.7 1.7 2.1 – 67 3.4
Ukrainian parliamentary election, 2014 26.10.2014 22.14 21.82 10.97 9.43 7.44 5.68 4.71 3.11 3.10 1.80 – – – –

Seat projections

Date Polling Firm Fatherland Opposition Bloc For life Radical Party Petro Poroshenko Bloc Self Reliance Civil Position Svoboda Revival Our Land Agrarian Party Non-affiliated
12-25 July 2018 BDM 103 73 25 42 33 54 89
27 June - 10 July 2018 BDM 94 115 48 27 51 85
14-24 May 2018 BDM 84 61 41 40 36 24 30 24 79
19 Apr - 04 May 2018 BDM 101 51 63 38 48 7 38 9 11 8 45
1-14 Apr 2018 BDM 120 45 35 35 35 30 25 25 15 10 44
Ukrainian parliamentary election, 2014 19 29 22 132 33 – 6 – – – 100

Notes

  1. ↑ Less than 4%
  2. ↑ Kasko, Sakvarelidze, Chimak

See also

References

  1. ↑ without "another party", "was not determined", "will not vote"
  2. ↑ without "another party", "was not determined", "will not vote"
  3. ↑ without "another party", "was not determined", "will not vote"
  4. ↑ + Right Sector, National Corpus
  5. ↑ http://nv.ua/publications/najem-zalishchuk-leshchenko-nefedov-gatsko-i-drugie-mogut-sozdat-novuju-partiju-uzhe-29-ijunja-156382.html
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