Opinion polling for the Russian legislative election, 2016

In the run up to the 2016 Russian legislative election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Russia. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous legislative election, held on 4 December 2011, to 11 September 2016.

Graphical summary

Opinion polling for ruling party (WCIOM)
Opinion polling for opposition parties (WCIOM)

Party vote

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If that date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie occurs, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.

The table below represents mostly 2016 polls of Russian citizens (including voters who are undecided about which party they would vote for or are not sure whether they will actually vote, those saying they will not be voting, voters who have decided to spoil their ballots, supporters of any other party that is not on the list). Parties with more than 5% support (enough to enter State Duma) are given in bold. Throughout the campaign political analysts have predicted that only three or four parties will be elected to the Duma - UR, CPRF, LDPR, and JR.[1]

Date Poll source UR CPRF LDPR JR PARNAS Yabloko CPl Rodina PoR Greens PoG[nb 1] CoR RPPJ CPo Lead
18 September 2016 2016 result 54.2%13.3%13.1%6.2%0.7%2.0%0.2%1.5%0.6%0.8%1.3%2.3%1.7%0.1% 40.9%
11 September 2016 FOM 43%8%11%5%1%1%0%1%0%0%1%0%1%0% 32%
11 September 2016 WCIOM 41.1%7.4%12.6%6.3%0.8%1.1%0.1%1.1%0.4%0.6%0.8%0.6%2.4%0.0% 28.5%
4 September 2016 WCIOM 39.3%8.7%10.4%5.3%0.4%1.1%0.2%0.8%0.2%0.5%0.8%0.4%1.6%0.0% 28.9%
4 September 2016 FOM 41%9%11%4%0%1%0%1%0%0%0%0%1%0% 30%
26-29 August 2016 Levada Centre 31%10%9%5%1%1%<1%1%<1%1%<1%1%1%<1% 21%
28 August 2016 WCIOM 41.2%7.7%12.2%5.4%0.4%1.3%0.4%0.9%0.4%0.3%0.6%0.4%1.9%0.2% 29%
28 August 2016 FOM 44%8%11%5%0%1%0%1%0%1%0%0%1%0% 33%
21 August 2016 WCIOM 43.3%8.4%10.8%6.6%0.6%0.9%0.2%0.6%0.2%0.2%0.8%0.4%1.4%0.0% 32.5%
21 August 2016 FOM 45%9%8%4%0%1%0%1%0%0%0%0%1%0% 36%
14 August 2016 WCIOM 44.0%10.1%11.8%7.5%0.3%1.0%0.0%0.3%0.2%0.2%0.6%0.3%0.9%0.2% 32.2%
14 August 2016 FOM 42%10%9%8%<1%1%<1%<1%1%<1%<1%<1%<1%<1% 32%
7 August 2016 FOM 45%10%8%8%<1%1%1%<1%<1%<1%<1%<1%<1%<1% 35%
31 July 2016 FOM 47%9%8%8%<1%<1%1%<1%<1%–<1%<1%<1%<1% 38%
25 July 2016 Levada Centre 39%10%10%3%1%1%<1%<1%<1%<1%<1%1%<1%<1% 29%
24 July 2016 FOM 44%10%11%7%<1%1%<1%<1%1%–<1%<1%<1%<1% 33%
24 July 2016 WCIOM 44.1%10.1%10.7%6.4%0.4%1.1%0.2%0.3%0.1%0.5%0.4%0.1%0.7%0.0% 33.4%
17 July 2016 FOM 45%10%12%7%<1%1%<1%<1%1%–<1%<1%<1%<1% 33%
17 July 2016 WCIOM 44.9%8.7%11.3%6.7%0.3%0.7%0.2%0.3%0.2%0.2%0.7%0.1%0.8%0.1% 33.6%
10 July 2016 FOM 46%10%12%6%<1%1%<1%<1%1%–<1%<1%<1%<1% 34%
10 July 2016 WCIOM 44%9.9%10.5%7.8%0.1%0.8%0.2%0.1%0.4%0.6%0.2%0.4%0.5%0.0% 33.5%
3 July 2016 WCIOM 44.3%10.4%9.0%7.9%0.5%0.8%0.3%0.4%0.3%0.3%0.4%0.2%0.6%0.0% 33.9%
3 July 2016 FOM 46%10%11%7%<1%1%<1%<1%1%–<1%<1%<1%<1% 35%
27 June 2016 Levada Centre 55.8%18.2%14.2%5.1%–––––––––– 37.6%
26 June 2016 WCIOM 45.1%9.4%10.1%6.5%0.4%1.1%0.3%0.3%0.6%0.2%0.5%0.7%0.4%0.0% 35%
26 June 2016 FOM 45%10%11%6%<1%1%1%<1%<1%–<1%<1%<1%<1% 34%
24 June 2016 FBK 39%6%5%4%<1%<1%–––––––– 33%
19 June 2016 WCIOM 43.1%9.5%11.4%6.9%0.6%1%0.1%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.3%0.2%0.7%0.1% 31.7%
12 June 2016 WCIOM 45.5%8.9%9.7%6.8%0.1%1.2%0.3%0.4%0.3%0.5%0.3%0.4%0.6%0.1% 35.8%
5 June 2016 FOM 48%10%11%5%<1%1%<1%<1%1%–<1%<1%<1%<1% 37%
5 June 2016 WCIOM 46.7%10.3%10.1%5.1%0.3%0.8%0.4%0.2%0.5%0.6%0.2%0.4%0.5%0.1% 36.4%
29 May 2016 WCIOM 45.4%9.9%9.9%5.5%0.3%1.3%0.3%0.1%0.3%0.5%0.1%0.1%0.8%0.2% 35.5%
22 May 2016 WCIOM 46.2%9.3%11%5.9%0.3%1.2%0.2%0.1%0.5%0.5%0.2%0.3%0.5%0.1% 35.2%
15 May 2016 WCIOM 47.9%10.1%10.8%5.8%0.2%0.9%0.3%0.1%0.2%0.4%0.1%0.3%0.3%0.0% 37.1%
1 May 2016 WCIOM 49%10.7%10.5%6.4%0.4%1.1%0.1%0.3%0.1%0.5%0.4%0.3%0.8%0.2% 38.3%
24 April 2016 WCIOM 48.5%9.1%9.9%6.4%0.2%0.9%0.3%0.2%0.5%0.3%0.3%0.4%0.6%0.1% 38.6%
17 April 2016 WCIOM 47.6%10%9.2%5.6%0.4%1%0.1%0.4%0.5%0.5%0.4%0.6%0.9%0.1% 37.6%
10 April 2016 FOM 46%9%11%5%1%1%1%<1%1%–<1%<1%<1%<1% 35%
10 April 2016 WCIOM 45.7%10.3%10.6%6.6%0.3%1.5%0.6%0.4%0.2%0.5%0.3%0.2%1.0%0.0% 35.1%
3 April 2016 WCIOM 47.9%9%8.5%6.3%0.5%0.7%0.4%0.1%0.4%0.2%0.1%0.2%0.6%0.0% 38.9%
27 March 2016 WCIOM 47.5%9.1%9.3%5.4%0.4%1.7%0.3%0.4%0.5%0.3%0.2%0.3%1.0%0.3% 38.2%
20 March 2016 WCIOM 44.1%10.1%9.6%6.3%0.8%1.5%0.5%0.4%0.4%0.3%0.3%0.6%0.3%0.1% 34%
February 2016 WCIOM[nb 2] 49%9%9%6%–––––––––– 40%
10 February 2016 Levada Centre 39%10%5%3%<1%1%1%1%1%<1%–––– 29%
January 2016 WCIOM[nb 3] 51%9%8%5%–––––––––– 42%
December 2015 WCIOM[nb 4] 53%8%6%5%–––––––––– 45%
10 December 2015 Levada Centre 44%10%5%2%<1%1%1%1%1%1%–––– 34%
November 2015 WCIOM[nb 5] 53%8%7%5%–––––––––– 45%
October 2015 WCIOM[nb 6] 55%8%6%5%–––––––––– 47%
5 October 2015 Levada Centre 40%11%6%3%1%1%1%1%1%1%–––– 31%
September 2015 WCIOM[nb 7] 53%8%7%5%–––––––––– 45%
7 September 2015 Levada Centre 43%11%5%3%1%1%1%1%1%2%–––– 32%
4 December 2011 2011 Result 49.32%19.19%11.67%13.24%—3.43%——0.97%—0.60%——— 30.13%

Notes

  1. ↑ In opinion polls often found under the old name of "Right Cause"
  2. ↑ Average result for month
  3. ↑ Average result for month
  4. ↑ Average result for month
  5. ↑ Average result for month
  6. ↑ Average result for month
  7. ↑ Average result for month

References

  1. ↑ "Политтехнологи дали новый прогноз по числу проходящих в Госдуму партий". Retrieved 7 September 2016.
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