Opinion polling for the Finnish parliamentary election, 2019
In the run up to the 2019 parliamentary elections in Finland, various organizations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Finland. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.
The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous parliamentary election, held on 19 April 2015, to the present day.
Graphical summary
By party
Poll results
Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The table uses the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if that date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.
The Sipilä Cabinet is composed of the top three parties from the previous election: Centre (Kesk), National Coalition (Kok) and Finns (PS) parties. But after the split of the Finns Party, Blue Reform (Sin) took party's place in the Sipilä Cabinet.
| Date | Polling Firm | KESK | KOK | PS | SDP | VIHR | VAS | SFP | KD | SIN | Others | Lead | Govt-Opposition |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep–2 Oct | Taloustutkimus | 17.6 | 18.9 | 9.3 | 22.6 | 11.6 | 9.8 | 3.7 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3.7 | 37.6 – 61.1 |
| 14–27 Sep | Tietoykkönen | 15.1 | 19.9 | 7.9 | 22.2 | 12.3 | 9.5 | 4.3 | 3.9 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 37.5 – 60.1 |
| 20 Aug–14 Sep | Kantar TNS | 15.5 | 19.7 | 8.7 | 21.4 | 12.9 | 9.6 | 4.5 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 36.8 – 61.0 |
| 13 Aug–4 Sep | Taloustutkimus | 17.8 | 19.0 | 9.4 | 20.3 | 12.6 | 9.1 | 4.3 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 38.4 – 59.2 |
| 13–25 Aug | Tietoykkönen | 15.5 | 19.8 | 8.0 | 21.9 | 13.1 | 9.1 | 4.2 | 3.7 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 37.4 – 60.0 |
| 16 Jul–16 Aug | Kantar TNS | 15.5 | 20.2 | 7.9 | 21.7 | 13.7 | 9.6 | 4.3 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 36.9 – 61.3 |
| 9 Jul–7 Aug | Taloustutkimus | 17.8 | 19.8 | 8.7 | 21.2 | 13.6 | 7.7 | 4.3 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 38.4 – 59.3 |
| 11 Jun–12 Jul | Kantar TNS | 15.3 | 20.2 | 7.8 | 22.1 | 13.2 | 9.6 | 4.3 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 36.8 – 61.2 |
| 6 Jun–3 Jul | Taloustutkimus | 16.6 | 19.7 | 10.3 | 20.3 | 13.9 | 8.6 | 3.3 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 37.4 – 60.0 |
| 6–26 Jun | Tietoykkönen | 15.9 | 19.7 | 7.8 | 20.2 | 13.9 | 9.4 | 4.6 | 3.9 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 38.2 – 59.8 |
| 14 May–10 Jun | Kantar TNS | 15.8 | 19.7 | 8.0 | 21.6 | 13.5 | 9.2 | 4.5 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 37.3 – 60.7 |
| 2 May–5 Jun | Taloustutkimus | 17.6 | 19.3 | 8.3 | 20.0 | 14.4 | 8.9 | 3.9 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 38.6 – 58.9 |
| 18–31 May | Tietoykkönen | 15.1 | 19.5 | 7.9 | 21.2 | 13.1 | 9.0 | 4.8 | 4.3 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 37.1 – 60.3 |
| 16 Apr–11 May | Kantar TNS | 15.7 | 20.5 | 7.7 | 21.2 | 14.2 | 8.7 | 4.4 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 37.9 – 60.0 |
| 19 Apr–2 May | Tietoykkönen | 15.9 | 19.5 | 8.0 | 21.8 | 13.2 | 8.7 | 4.6 | 4.0 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 37.5 – 60.3 |
| 3–26 Apr | Taloustutkimus | 17.0 | 20.2 | 8.5 | 20.0 | 14.9 | 9.1 | 3.7 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 38.7 – 59.5 |
| 19 Mar–12 Apr | Kantar TNS | 15.7 | 20.6 | 8.1 | 21.4 | 14.0 | 8.9 | 4.2 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 37.9 – 60.1 |
| 1–27 Mar | Taloustutkimus | 16.3 | 21.5 | 9.2 | 20.2 | 14.2 | 9.0 | 3.5 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 39.3 – 59.4 |
| 16–26 Mar | Tietoykkönen | 16.1 | 19.9 | 8.2 | 21.0 | 13.3 | 8.7 | 4.4 | 3.9 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 38.0 – 59.5 |
| 19 Feb–15 Mar | Kantar TNS | 15.9 | 21.1 | 8.5 | 20.8 | 14.5 | 8.5 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 38.4 – 59.6 |
| 7–28 Feb | Taloustutkimus | 17.0 | 20.0 | 8.5 | 21.0 | 14.5 | 8.9 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 38.6 – 59.1 |
| 14–26 Feb | Tietoykkönen | 15.5 | 20.5 | 8.7 | 19.6 | 13.6 | 8.8 | 4.8 | 3.9 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 38.3 – 59.4 |
| 22 Jan–15 Feb | Kantar TNS | 16.3 | 21.7 | 8.6 | 19.0 | 14.4 | 9.1 | 4.2 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 39.3 – 58.7 |
| 28 Dec–6 Feb | Taloustutkimus | 17.4 | 20.8 | 9.6 | 18.7 | 14.0 | 8.1 | 4.6 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 39.8 – 58.2 |
| 19–29 Jan | Tietoykkönen | 15.4 | 20.9 | 8.2 | 19.2 | 14.5 | 8.6 | 4.6 | 3.9 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 39.0 – 59.0 |
| 28 Jan | Sauli Niinistö wins the presidential election | ||||||||||||
| 12 Dec–18 Jan | Kantar TNS | 15.6 | 21.9 | 8.1 | 19.0 | 15.5 | 8.8 | 4.4 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2.9 | 39.0 – 59.2 |
| 2017 | |||||||||||||
| 29 Nov–27 Dec | Taloustutkimus | 17.8 | 19.8 | 8.6 | 17.8 | 14.0 | 8.8 | 4.6 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 39.9 – 57.8 |
| 8–18 Dec | Tietoykkönen | 16.2 | 20.8 | 7.8 | 20.1 | 13.7 | 9.0 | 4.8 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 38.7 – 59.5 |
| 14 Nov–10 Dec | Kantar TNS | 14.8 | 22.2 | 8.0 | 19.0 | 15.4 | 9.3 | 4.4 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 3.2 | 38.6 – 59.4 |
| 1–28 Nov | Taloustutkimus | 17.4 | 22.3 | 8.4 | 19.7 | 14.2 | 8.0 | 3.5 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 40.8 – 57.4 |
| 16 Oct–13 Nov | Kantar TNS | 15.1 | 21.4 | 8.7 | 19.0 | 15.7 | 8.8 | 4.4 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 38.1 – 59.9 |
| 4–31 Oct | Taloustutkimus | 17.4 | 22.8 | 6.9 | 18.4 | 14.0 | 9.0 | 4.9 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 4.4 | 41.5 – 56.6 |
| 18 Sep–14 Oct | Kantar TNS | 15.4 | 21.9 | 9.3 | 18.1 | 16.1 | 8.2 | 4.4 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 3.8 | 38.6 – 59.4 |
| 11 Sep–3 Oct | Taloustutkimus | 15.8 | 21.7 | 9.9 | 17.3 | 16.6 | 8.3 | 3.5 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4.4 | 39.0 – 59.5 |
| 21 Aug–19 Sep | Kantar TNS | 16.1 | 21.1 | 9.2 | 17.8 | 16.7 | 7.9 | 4.5 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 3.3 | 38.5 – 59.3 |
| 21 Aug–5 Sep | Taloustutkimus | 16.2 | 20.8 | 10.3 | 15.6 | 17.8 | 8.2 | 4.5 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 3.0 | 38.4 – 59.7 |
| 17 Jul–18 Aug | Kantar TNS | 17.3 | 20.7 | 7.0 | 17.3 | 17.5 | 8.4 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 3.2 | 39.7 – 58.2 |
| 24 Jul–15 Aug | Taloustutkimus | 17.3 | 20.8 | 8.8 | 15.9 | 17.6 | 7.7 | 4.8 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 3.2 | 39.7 – 58.5 |
| 26 Jun–18 Jul | Taloustutkimus | 16.7 | 20.4 | 8.1 | 18.5 | 16.0 | 9.2 | 4.7 | 3.9 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 37.8 – 60.4 |
| 19 Jun–14 Jul | Kantar TNS | 16.4 | 21.0 | 6.3 | 19.6 | 15.5 | 8.9 | 4.4 | 3.3 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 39.9 – 58.0 |
| 13–20 Jun | Taloustutkimus | 17.0 | 21.3 | 9.7 | 17.1 | 15.1 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 4.2 | 40.6 – 57.6 |
| 17 Jun | Touko Aalto wins the leadership of the Green League | ||||||||||||
| 22 May–16 Jun | Kantar TNS | 16.8 | 21.2 | 6.1 | 19.0 | 14.9 | 8.6 | 4.3 | 3.3 | 3.9 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 41.9 – 56.2 |
| Date | Polling Firm | KESK | KOK | PS | SDP | VIHR | VAS | SFP | KD | Others | Lead | Govt-Opposition |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun | The Finns Party splits and Blue Reform continues working in the Sipilä Cabinet | |||||||||||
| 12 Jun–13 Jun | Tietoykkönen | 17.0 | 20.2 | 10.4 | 17.8 | 14.1 | 9.1 | 5.5 | 4.2 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 47.6 – 50.7 |
| 10 Jun | Jussi Halla-aho wins the leadership of the Finns Party | |||||||||||
| 10 May–6 Jun | Taloustutkimus | 18.4 | 20.5 | 9.0 | 17.7 | 15.1 | 8.8 | 4.8 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 47.9 – 50.1 |
| 24 Apr–19 May | Kantar TNS | 17.7 | 20.6 | 9.4 | 18.7 | 14.3 | 8.6 | 4.6 | 3.7 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 47.7 – 49.9 |
| 10 Apr–9 May | Taloustutkimus | 18.4 | 21.1 | 9.6 | 18.6 | 14.6 | 7.7 | 4.5 | 3.6 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 49.1 – 49.0 |
| 9 Apr | Finnish municipal elections were held | |||||||||||
| 16 Jan–11 Feb | TNS Gallup | 19.8 | 18.4 | 9.1 | 21.6 | 11.1 | 9.1 | 4.8 | 3.5 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 47.3 – 50.1 |
| 19 Dec–11 Jan | TNS Gallup | 19.9 | 18.7 | 8.6 | 21.7 | 12.1 | 8.5 | 4.4 | 3.6 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 47.2 – 50.3 |
| 2016 | ||||||||||||
| 14 Nov–08 Dec | TNS Gallup | 20.8 | 18.4 | 9.9 | 20.8 | 11.2 | 8.2 | 4.6 | 3.5 | 2.6 | 0 | 49.1 – 48.3 |
| 2–29 Nov | Taloustutkimus | 20.4 | 18.9 | 8.5 | 21.1 | 12.6 | 8.6 | 4.0 | 3.6 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 47.8 – 49.9 |
| 17 Oct–11 Nov | TNS Gallup | 20.9 | 18.6 | 10.1 | 20.4 | 11.6 | 7.9 | 4.6 | 3.5 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 49.6 – 48.0 |
| 5 Oct–1 Nov | Taloustutkimus | 19.6 | 18.8 | 8.5 | 21.2 | 13.6 | 8.7 | 4.0 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 47.1 – 50.9 |
| 19 Sep–14 Oct | TNS Gallup | 20.9 | 17.7 | 9.7 | 21.3 | 11.8 | 7.9 | 4.7 | 3.5 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 48.3 – 49.2 |
| 12 Sep–04 Oct | Taloustutkimus | 20.5 | 17.1 | 9.2 | 20.5 | 14.0 | 8.8 | 4.3 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 0 | 46.8 – 51.4 |
| 22 Aug–15 Sep | TNS Gallup | 20.9 | 17.9 | 9.6 | 20.2 | 12.6 | 8.6 | 4.6 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 48.4 – 49.3 |
| 15 Aug–06 Sep | Taloustutkimus | 20.7 | 17.7 | 8.4 | 20.0 | 13.6 | 9.3 | 4.7 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 46.8 – 51.2 |
| 18 Jul–18 Aug | TNS Gallup | 20.6 | 17.3 | 9.5 | 19.1 | 12.9 | 9.6 | 4.8 | 3.7 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 47.4 – 50.1 |
| 11 Jul–09 Aug | Taloustutkimus | 21.8 | 17.6 | 7.6 | 18.9 | 13.7 | 9.8 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 2.9 | 47.0 – 50.8 |
| 20 Jun–15 Jul | TNS Gallup | 21.1 | 17.8 | 9.5 | 18.7 | 13.3 | 9.0 | 4.9 | 3.4 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 48.4 – 49.3 |
| 08 Jun–05 Jul | Taloustutkimus | 21.1 | 18.6 | 8.6 | 18.2 | 14.1 | 9.2 | 4.3 | 3.6 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 48.3 – 49.4 |
| 16 May–16 Jun | TNS Gallup | 20.9 | 17.0 | 9.1 | 20.6 | 13.6 | 8.2 | 4.7 | 3.7 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 47.0 – 50.8 |
| 12 Jun | Anna-Maja Henriksson wins the leadership of the Swedish People's Party | |||||||||||
| 11 Jun | Petteri Orpo wins the leadership of the National Coalition Party | |||||||||||
| 9 May–7 Jun | Taloustutkimus | 20.2 | 17.7 | 9.0 | 20.1 | 14.8 | 8.3 | 4.2 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 0.1 | 46.9 – 50.9 |
| 6 Jun | Li Andersson wins the leadership of the Left Alliance | |||||||||||
| 12–14 May | TNS Gallup | 20.7 | 17.7 | 9.3 | 22.0 | 11.4 | 9.0 | 4.3 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 47.7 – 50.1 |
| 4 Apr–3 May | Taloustutkimus | 20.4 | 17.0 | 8.5 | 21.5 | 13.5 | 8.5 | 4.5 | 3.6 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 45.9 – 51.6 |
| 14 Mar–11 Apr | TNS Gallup | 20.6 | 17.1 | 9.7 | 21.7 | 11.7 | 8.7 | 4.4 | 3.7 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 47.4 – 50.2 |
| 7–30 Mar | Taloustutkimus | 21.7 | 17.1 | 9.5 | 20.3 | 12.5 | 8.3 | 4.7 | 3.6 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 48.3 – 49.4 |
| 15 Feb–11 Mar | TNS Gallup | 21.5 | 17.4 | 10.2 | 21.4 | 10.9 | 8.3 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 2.3 | 0.1 | 49.1 – 48.6 |
| 3 Feb–1 Mar | Taloustutkimus | 20.7 | 16.9 | 9.0 | 22.9 | 10.7 | 8.9 | 4.5 | 3.9 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 46.6 – 50.9 |
| 18 Jan–14 Feb | TNS Gallup | 21.4 | 18.0 | 9.9 | 21.2 | 10.8 | 8.5 | 4.3 | 3.7 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 49.3 – 48.5 |
| 11 Jan–2 Feb | Taloustutkimus | 20.9 | 17.3 | 9.8 | 21.5 | 12.3 | 8.6 | 4.1 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 48.0 – 49.9 |
| 14 Dec–14 Jan | TNS Gallup | 19.7 | 17.9 | 9.6 | 22.8 | 11.1 | 7.9 | 4.5 | 4.2 | 2.3 | 3.1 | 47.2 – 50.5 |
| 2015 | ||||||||||||
| 7–29 Dec | Taloustutkimus | 21.4 | 18.7 | 8.9 | 22.7 | 11.7 | 7.3 | 3.9 | 3.4 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 49.0 – 49.0 |
| 16 Nov–10 Dec | TNS Gallup | 20.9 | 17.7 | 10.8 | 21.1 | 11.3 | 8.4 | 4.3 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 49.4 – 48.6 |
| 9 Nov–1 Dec | Taloustutkimus | 21.6 | 18.3 | 8.9 | 21.0 | 12.6 | 8.1 | 4.6 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 48.8 – 49.8 |
| 19 Oct–12 Nov | TNS Gallup | 21.6 | 18.4 | 11.0 | 19.6 | 11.6 | 8.0 | 4.3 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 51.0 – 47.0 |
| 12 Oct–3 Nov | Taloustutkimus | 21.7 | 18.3 | 9.8 | 20.7 | 12.2 | 7.4 | 4.4 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 49.8 – 48.1 |
| 14 Sep–16 Oct | TNS Gallup | 22.2 | 17.7 | 11.4 | 18.3 | 11.5 | 8.6 | 4.4 | 3.9 | 2.0 | 3.9 | 51.3 – 46.7 |
| 7 Sep–6 Oct | Taloustutkimus | 21.7 | 18.0 | 10.7 | 18.3 | 12.7 | 8.3 | 4.8 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 3.7 | 50.4 – 48.1 |
| 10 Aug–10 Sep | TNS Gallup | 22.3 | 18.0 | 15.6 | 15.0 | 11.1 | 7.8 | 4.8 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 4.3 | 55.9 – 42.2 |
| 10 Aug–1 Sep | Taloustutkimus | 23.0 | 18.9 | 15.0 | 14.4 | 12.4 | 7.6 | 4.2 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 4.1 | 56.9 – 41.5 |
| 28 Aug | Sari Essayah wins the leadership of the Christian Democrats | |||||||||||
| 13 Jul–7 Aug | TNS Gallup | 23.2 | 17.6 | 16.7 | 14.2 | 11.4 | 7.2 | 4.7 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 5.6 | 57.5 – 40.6 |
| 7 Jul–4 Aug | Taloustutkimus | 23.1 | 18.2 | 15.6 | 14.5 | 12.7 | 7.8 | 3.9 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 4.9 | 56.9 – 41.6 |
| 15 Jun–9 Jul | TNS Gallup | 21.9 | 18.2 | 17.6 | 14.7 | 9.8 | 7.9 | 4.5 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 3.7 | 57.7 – 40.2 |
| 3 Jun–1 Jul | Taloustutkimus | 22.7 | 17.3 | 15.6 | 14.6 | 11.5 | 8.4 | 4.5 | 3.4 | 2.0 | 5.4 | 55.6 – 42.4 |
| 18 May–11 Jun | TNS Gallup | 21.0 | 18.5 | 18.0 | 14.8 | 10.0 | 7.8 | 4.5 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 57.5 – 40.4 |
| 4 May–2 Jun | Taloustutkimus | 23.1 | 16.7 | 17.5 | 15.0 | 10.5 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 5.6 | 57.3 – 40.6 |
| 20 Apr–15 May | TNS Gallup | 21.1 | 18.0 | 19.2 | 15.1 | 9.3 | 6.8 | 4.6 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 58.3 – 39.2 |
| 19 Apr 2015 | Election Results | 21.1 | 18.2 | 17.7 | 16.5 | 8.5 | 7.1 | 4.9 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 57.0 – 40.5 |
Preferred Prime Minister polling
Some opinion pollsters have asked voters which party leader they would prefer as Prime Minister.
| Date | Polling Firm | Juha Sipilä | Petteri Orpo | Antti Rinne | Touko Aalto | Ville Niinistö | Jussi Halla-aho | Timo Soini | Li Andersson | Paavo Väyrynen | Anna-Maja Henriksson | Sampo Terho |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-17 Jan 2018 | Kantar TNS | 12 | 17 | 8 | 3 | – | 9 | – | 13 | – | – | 2 |
| 7 Nov 2017 | Taloustutkimus | 15 | 25 | 8 | 8 | – | 7 | – | 12 | – | – | – |
| 28–29 Jun 2017 | Taloustutkimus | 21 | 19 | 11 | 4 | – | 13 | – | 6 | – | 1 | – |
| 19–28 Jun 2017 | Taloustutkimus | 26.4 | 30.6 | 15.3 | 8.3 | – | 8.3 | – | – | 6.9 | – | – |
| 19–31 Dec 2016 | Taloustutkimus | 25.4 | 19.7 | 15.5 | – | 22.5 | – | 7.0 | – | 7.0 | 2.8 | – |
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