Next Madeiran regional election

Next Madeiran regional election
No later than October 2019
47 seats to the Legislative Assembly of Madeira
24 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls

 
Leader Miguel Albuquerque Rui Barreto Paulo Cafôfo[lower-alpha 1]
Party PSD CDS–PP PS
Leader since 10 January 2015 22 July 2018 19 January 2018
Last election 24 seats, 44.4% 7 seats, 13.1% 5 seats[lower-alpha 2]
Current seats 24 7 5
 
Leader Élvio Sousa Edgar Silva José Manuel Coelho
Party JPP CDU PTP
Leader since 2015 1996 2011
Last election 5 seats, 10.3% 2 seats, 5.5% 1 seat[lower-alpha 2]
Current seats 5 2 1
Incumbent President

Miguel Albuquerque
PSD

A regional election will be held in Madeira no later than October 2019, to determine the composition of the Legislative Assembly of the Autonomous Region of Madeira. The election will renovate all 47 members of the assembly.

The current president, Miguel Albuquerque from the Social Democratic Party, will defend the historical dominance of the PSD in these islands since 1976 and seek a second term.

Parties

The table below lists parties currently represented in the Legislative Assembly of Madeira.

Name Ideology Leader 2015 result
Votes (%) Seats
PSD Social Democratic Party
Partido Social-Democrata		 Liberal conservatism Miguel Albuquerque 44.4%
24 / 47
CDS-PP CDS – People's Party
Centro Democrático Social – Partido Popular		 Conservatism Rui Barreto 13.1%
7 / 47
PS Socialist Party
Partido Socialista		 Social democracy Emanuel Câmara[lower-alpha 1]
Paulo Cafôfo		 11.4%
[lower-alpha 2]
5 / 47
PTP Portuguese Labour Party
Partido Trabalhista Português		 Social democracy José Manuel Coelho
1 / 47
JPP Together for the People
Juntos pelo Povo		 Centrism Élvio Sousa 10.3%
5 / 47
PCP Portuguese Communist Party
Partido Comunista Português		 Communism Edgar Silva 5.5%
[lower-alpha 3]
2 / 47
B.E. Left Bloc
Bloco de Esquerda		 Democratic socialism Roberto Almada 3.8%
2 / 47
Ind. Independent
Independente		 Gil Canha (elected for the now extinct PND)
1 / 47

Opinion polls

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample
size		 TO JPP CDU PTP O Lead
Eurosondagem
Seat projection		 19.07.18–24.07.18 1,018 ? 36.3
18 / 19		 7.1
3 / 4		 35.7
18 / 19		 6.0
3		 4.8
2		 3.9
2		 1.2
–		 5.0
–		 0.6
Eurosondagem
Seat projection		 05.02.18–07.02.18 1,018 ? 38.5
20 / 21		 5.9
3		 33.2
17 / 18		 6.8
3		 3.1
1		 4.9
2		 1.4
–		 6.2
–		 5.3
Eurosondagem
Seat projection		 22.10.17–24.10.17 1,017 ? 36.3
19		 6.0
3		 33.6
17		 6.5
3		 4.5
2		 4.1
2		 2.1
1		 6.9
–		 2.7
Local Elections 01.10.17 N/A 54.2% 33.6 9.1 29.1 10.2 2.4 0.7 1.7 13.2 4.5
Eurosondagem
Seat projection		 07.06.17–09.06.17 1,010 ? 40.4
21 / 22		 5.4
2 / 3		 30.0
15 / 16		 4.7
2		 4.9
2		 5.9
3		 1.9
–		 6.8
–		 10.4
Eurosondagem
Seat projection		 14.03.17–16.03.17 1,017 ? 38.0
20 / 21		 8.6
4		 27.2
14 / 15		 4.1
2		 5.0
2 / 3		 6.9
3		 1.3
–		 8.9
–		 10.8
Regional Election 29.03.15 N/A 49.6% 44.4 13.7 11.4[lower-alpha 2] 10.3 5.5 3.8 [lower-alpha 2] 10.9 30.7

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 The leader of the PS-Madeira is Emanuel Câmara, but he has nominated the mayor of Funchal, Paulo Cafôfo, as the PS candidate for the Presidency of the Madeira Government.
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 PS, PTP, PAN and MPT contested the 2015 election in a electoral coalition called Change which received 11.4% of the vote.
  3. ↑ The Portuguese Communist Party (PCP) and the Ecologist Party "The Greens" (PEV) contested the 2015 election in a coalition called Unitary Democratic Coalition and won a combined 5.5% of the vote and elected 2 MP's to parliament.

References

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