2012 YQ1

2012 YQ1
Discovery[1][2]
Discovered by A. Oreshko
T. Kryachko
Discovery site Elena Remote Obs.
Discovery date 19 December 2012
(first observed only)
Designations
MPC designation 2012 YQ1
NEO · Apollo · PHA [2][3]
Orbital characteristics[3]
Epoch 13 January 2016 (JD 2457400.5)
Uncertainty parameter 6
Aphelion 3.11880 AU (466.566 Gm)
Perihelion 0.86916 AU (130.024 Gm)
1.99398 AU (298.295 Gm)
Eccentricity 0.56411
2.82 yr (1028.4 d)
12.74578°
0° 21m 0.158s /day
Inclination 5.15193°
120.16813°
42.09537°
Earth MOID 0.00774939 AU (1,159,292 km)
Physical characteristics
Mean diameter
 ~220 m (720 ft)[4]
21.1[3] · 20.9[5]

    2012 YQ1 is a sub-kilometer asteroid, classified as a near-Earth object and a potentially hazardous asteroid of the Apollo group, approximately 200 meters in diameter. It was first observed on 19 December 2012, by astronomers Andrey Oreshko and Timur Kryachko at the Elena Remote Observatory (G32) located in the Chilean Atacama desert.[1][2]

    Description

    With a 4-day observation arc, the asteroid had a 1 in 3 million chance of impacting in 2106.[4] With a 10-day observation arc, the asteroid had a 1 in 10 million chance of impacting in 2106.[5] On 5 January 2013, the asteroid passed 0.10 AU (15,000,000 km; 9,300,000 mi) from Earth.[3] It was removed from the Sentry Risk Table on 8 January 2013.[6] It has an observation arc of 32 days and an orbital uncertainty of 7.[3] Since the asteroid has a poorly known orbit, the cone of uncertainty quickly multiplies as a result of perturbations by the inner planets and prevents precise/reliable ephemeris data. Eliminating an entry on the Sentry Risk Table is a negative prediction; a prediction of where it will NOT be.

    In 2013, an article, originally posted on The Voice of Russia[7] had a poorly researched headline stating "We have 93 years left till the next End of the World". This story was reposted on Space Daily, but then astronomer Phil Plait clarified that it was "a fascinating mix of fact and error. A lot of what it says is accurate, but the most important claim—that an asteroid will impact Earth in 2106—is simply wrong."[8]

    Orbit (blue) of asteroid 2012 YQ1 for 6 February 2013

    See also

    References

    1. 1 2 "MPEC 2012-Y15 : 2012 YQ1". IAU Minor Planet Center. 2012-12-21. Retrieved 2013-02-05. (K12Y01Q)
    2. 1 2 3 "2012 YQ1". Minor Planet Center. Retrieved 7 February 2018.
    3. 1 2 3 4 5 "JPL Small-Body Database Browser: (2012 YQ1)" (2013-07-04 last obs.). Jet Propulsion Laboratory. Retrieved 7 February 2018.
    4. 1 2 "Observations of small Solar-System bodies". HohmannTransfer. 2012-12-24. Retrieved 2013-02-06. (3.3e-07 = 1 in 3,030,000 chance)
    5. 1 2 "Observations of small Solar-System bodies". HohmannTransfer. 2012-12-30. Retrieved 2013-02-05.
    6. ↑ "Date/Time Removed". NASA/JPL Near-Earth Object Program Office. Retrieved 2012-03-19.
    7. ↑ Yulia Zamanskaya (5 February 2013). "We have 93 years left till the next End of the World: killer asteroid to hit Earth in 2106". The Voice of Russia.
    8. ↑ Phil Plait (13 Feb 2013). "No, An Asteroid Is NOT Going to Hit Earth in 2106". Slate.

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