Opinion polling for the French departmental elections, 2015
This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2015 French departmental elections, which were held in two rounds on 22 and 29 March 2015.
Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polling commission (Commission nationale des sondages) and utilize the quota method.
National
First round
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | EXG | FG | EELV | PS | DVG | MoDem | UDI | UMP | DVD | FN | DIV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 election | 22 Mar 2015 | – | 49.83% | 0.07% | 6.10% | 2.03% | 21.46% | 7.10% | 0.64% | 1.29% | 27.46% | 7.21% | 25.24% | 1.40% |
Ifop-Fiducial | 18–19 Mar 2015 | 1,132 | 53% | <0.5% | 6% | 3% | 20% | 4% | 29% | 6% | 30% | 2% | ||
OpinionWay | 17–19 Mar 2015 | 2,274 | 54% | – | 6% | 3% | 22% | 4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 29% | 4% | 29% | 2% |
Harris Interactive | 17–18 Mar 2015 | 1,015 | – | <0.5% | 7% | 2% | 19% | 5% | 1% | 28% | 8% | 29% | 1% | |
CSA | 16–18 Mar 2015 | 979 | 56% | <0.5% | 7% | 3% | 20% | 4% | 3% | 27% | 5% | 28% | 3% | |
Ipsos | 16–17 Mar 2015 | 1,038 | 54% | – | 7% | 2% | 21% | 5% | 0.5% | (DVD) | 30% | 4% | 29% | 1.5% |
Ifop | 11–13 Mar 2015 | 1,473 | 54% | <0.5% | 6% | 3% | 19% | 5% | <0.5% | 29% | 5% | 30% | 3% | |
Harris Interactive | 10–11 Mar 2015 | 1,020 | – | 0.5% | 7% | 3% | 26% | 0.5% | 32% | 29% | 2% | |||
Odoxa | 5–6 Mar 2015 | 880 | – | 1% | 8% | 4% | 20% | – | 29% | – | 31% | 7% | ||
Harris Interactive | 3–5 Mar 2015 | 1,030 | – | 1% | 6% | 4% | 21% | 3% | 28% | 30% | 7% | |||
OpinionWay | 3–5 Mar 2015 | 977 | 56% | – | 7% | 2% | 21% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 29% | 5% | 28% | 1% |
CSA | 2–4 Mar 2015 | 965 | 58% | <0.5% | 6% | 2% | 21% | 4% | 5% | 25% | 5% | 29% | 3% | |
Odoxa | 26–27 Feb 2015 | 807 | – | 2% | 9% | 4% | 19% | – | 27% | – | 33% | 6% | ||
Ifop | 19–20 Feb 2015 | 918 | 57% | 2% | 6% | 7% | 20% | – | – | 28% | – | 30% | 7% | |
Ifop-Fiducial | 11–13 Feb 2015 | 900 | – | 2% | 7% | 6% | 21% | – | 6% | 27% | – | 29% | 2% | |
BVA | 29–30 Jan 2015 | 1,028 | – | 2% | 9% | 7% | 18% | 8% | 5% | 25% | – | 26% | – | |
Odoxa | 22–23 Jan 2015 | 1,015 | – | 1% | 10% | 7% | 20% | 6% | 7% | 23% | – | 26% | – | |
Odoxa | 11–12 Dec 2014 | 1,002 | – | 2% | 9% | 7% | 17% | 5% | 7% | 25% | – | 28% | – |
By second round configuration
The Ifop poll conducted from 23 to 24 March 2015 tested hypotheses in cantons in which specific configurations were present in the second round; the sample size provided represents the entire poll and not that within each configuration.
Left–right–FN
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Left | Right | FN |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Odoxa | 11–12 Dec 2014 | 1,002 | – | 32% | 39% | 29% |
Ifop | 23–24 Mar 2015 | 1,902 | – | 35% | 34% | 31% |
Harris Interactive | 22 Mar 2015 | 991 | – | 37% | 41% | 22% |
Left–right
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Left | Right |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ifop | 23–24 Mar 2015 | 1,902 | – | 44% | 56% |
Harris Interactive | 22 Mar 2015 | 991 | – | 42% | 58% |
Left–FN
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Left | FN |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ifop | 23–24 Mar 2015 | 1,902 | – | 54% | 46% |
Harris Interactive | 22 Mar 2015 | 991 | – | 60% | 40% |
Right–FN
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | Right | FN |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ifop | 23–24 Mar 2015 | 1,902 | – | 63% | 37% |
Harris Interactive | 22 Mar 2015 | 991 | – | 71% | 29% |
Departmental projections
The departmental projections below were constructed for the 93 departments of metropolitan France excluding Corse-du-Sud and Haute-Corse.
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Left | Right | Hung |
---|---|---|---|---|
2015 election | 29 Mar 2015 | 29 | 64 | 0 |
OpinionWay | 27 Mar 2015 | 27 | 61 | 5 |
OpinionWay | 23 Mar 2015 | 25 | 63 | 5 |
OpinionWay | 22 Mar 2015 | 19 | 71 | 3 |
OpinionWay | 19 Mar 2015 | 20 | 66 | 7 |
Cantonal projections
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Left | Right | FN |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
OpinionWay | 27 Mar 2015 | – | 750–800 | 1100–1150 | 60–100 |
Ifop | 23–24 Mar 2015 | 1,902 | 560–680 | 970–1110 | 50–110 |
Aisne
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | FG/ PCF |
PS/ DVG |
UMP/ UDI |
FN | DIV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 election | 22 Mar 2015 | – | 46.73% | 2.63% | 28.92% | 29.60% | 38.67% | 0.17% |
Odoxa | 6–10 Mar 2015 | 814 | – | 7% | 20% | 24% | 41% | 8% |
Dordogne
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | FG/ PCF |
PS/ PRG |
DVG/ EELV |
UMP/UDI/ MoDem |
DVD | FN |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 election | 22 Mar 2015 | – | 39.96% | 10.40% | 33.67% | 4.44% | 19.94% | 10.18% | 21.37% |
Ifop | 11–12 Mar 2015 | 804 | 48% | 10% | 22% | 10% | 26% | 7% | 25% |
Gard
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | FG | PS | DVG/ EELV |
UMP/UDI/ MoDem |
DVD/ DLF |
FN |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 election | 22 Mar 2015 | – | 46.02% | 11.77% | 15.78% | 9.62% | 22.21% | 3.48% | 35.54% |
Ifop | 16–17 Mar 2015 | 604 | 52% | 10% | 16% | 9% | 25% | 7% | 33% |
Gironde
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | FG | PS/ DVG |
EELV | UMP/UDI/ MoDem/CPNT |
DVD | FN |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 election | 22 Mar 2015 | – | 49.45% | 8.05% | 33.05% | 2.60% | 31.84% | 1.22% | 22.78% |
Ifop | 13–14 Mar 2015 | 802 | 50% | 7% | 24% | 11% | 28% | 9% | 21% |
Landes
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | FG | PS | EELV | UMP/UDI/ MoDem |
FN |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 election | 22 Mar 2015 | – | 42.80% | 7.85% | 38.79% | 1.62% | 32.63% | 18.67% |
Ifop | 11–12 Mar 2015 | 802 | 50% | 11% | 28% | 6% | 32% | 23% |
Pyrénées-Orientales
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | PS | DVG/FG/ EELV |
UMP/ UDI |
FN | DIV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 election | 22 Mar 2015 | – | 42.80% | 25.02% | 7.97% | 23.65% | 31.42% | 11.95% |
Ifop | 16–17 Mar 2015 | 604 | 48% | 22% | 10% | 30% | 33% | 5% |
Essonne
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | FG/ PCF |
PS | UMP/ UDI |
DVD | FN | DIV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 election | 22 Mar 2015 | – | 52.58% | 5.08% | 31.47% | 31.57% | 8.32% | 22.71% | 0.85% |
PollingVox | 19 Mar 2015 | – | – | 11% | 23% | 31% | 5% | 23% | 7% |
Odoxa | 3–5 Mar 2015 | 807 | – | 16% | 22% | 25% | 9% | 20% | 8% |
Val-de-Marne
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | FG/ PCF |
PS/ DVG |
EELV | UMP/ UDI |
FN |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2015 election | 22 Mar 2015 | – | 55.56% | 17.20% | 21.95% | 6.21% | 33.33% | 17.21% |
Odoxa | 11–13 Mar 2015 | 813 | – | 23% | 19% | 8% | 31% | 19% |
External links
- Notices of the French polling commission (in French)
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