Moldovan parliamentary election, 2019

2019 Moldovan parliamentary election


All 101 seats in Parliament
51 seats needed for a majority

 
Leader Zinaida Greceanîi Viorel Cibotaru Vladimir Voronin
Party PSRM PLDM PCRM
Leader since 2016 2016 1994
Last election 25 seats, 20.5% 23 seats, 20.2% 21 seats, 17.5%

 
Leader Vlad Plahotniuc Mihai Ghimpu Maia Sandu
Party PDM PL PAS
Leader since 2017 1997 2016
Last election 19 seats, 15.8% 13 seats, 9.7% New

 
Leader Andrei Năstase
Party PPDA
Leader since 2015
Last election New

Incumbent Prime Minister

Pavel Filip
PDM


Parliamentary elections will be held in Moldova on 24 February 2019.[1]

Electoral system

The 101 seats in the Parliament are to be elected according to a new mixed system introduced in 2017; 50 lawmakers will be elected on party lists and the remaining 51 in individual constituencies.[2][3] The electoral threshold varies depending on the type of list; for alliances of three or more parties it is 11%, for alliances of two parties it is 9%, for single parties or organisations it is 6%, and for independent candidates it is 2%. Turnout must be at least 33% to make the election valid.[4] There is still controversy against the new election system and a referendum in 2018 against it is possible.[5][6] New controversies came up and demonstrations started after the June 3 mayoral elections in Chișinău were invalidated because of Facebook posts of the candidates on election day. The mayoral election had been won by Andrei Năstase, a candiate in opposition to governmental PDM and presidential PSRM parties.[7]

Opinion polls

Vote

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty. The threshold for a party to elect members is 6%.

Date Polling firm/source PSRM PLDM PCRM PDM PL PN PPEM PPDA PAS PUN Others Lead Decided
1-12 September 2018 ASDM 47.3 2.7 14.5 2.1 13.7 15.4 1.6 2.7 31.9 -
26 June–7 July 2018 ASDM 49.7 2.8 13.5 2.5 15.9 11.1 1.2 3.3 33.8 74.9
15–28 March 2018 ASDM 50.5 2.9 10.7 0.8 2.6 1.8 8.9 19.3 0.8 0.7 1.1 31.2 73.1
7 February–7 March 2018IRI 43.9 4.99.82.42.42.44.924.4 1.2 2.4 21.5 83.0
16 February–6 March 2018IMAS 38.9 0.8 7.916.2 2.0 3.4 3.2 7.316.4 3.2 0.5 0.2 22.5 -
2–18 January 2018ASD 50.4 2.310.6 1.0 2.0 1.6 5.424.1 1.1 0.7 0.7 26.3 -
18 November–5 December 2017 BOP 47.6 1.1 4.5 5.1 2.7 4.4 1.4 6.2 22.5 2.9 0.7 0.5 25.1 -
20 November–2 December 2017 ASDM 51.2 1.0 2.3 6.9 1.2 2.0 1.9 4.8 25.9 0.7 1.9 25.3 64.3
7–29 October 2017 Ziarul Timpul FOP 50.3 1.5 3.7 6.2 1.7 3.2 1.8 4.1 25.9 1.6 - 24.4 88.4
23 September–17 October 2017 IRI 34.0 <1.0 4.0 9.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 4.0 23.0 1.5 0.5 11.0 81.0
9–20 September 2017 CBS-Axa 51.1 4.5 6.0 1.2 3.9 1.3 5.8 24.1 2.1 27.0 50.8
22 June–9 July 2017 IMAS 42.3 1.0 6.4 11.7 2.2 5.2 2.2 7.5 19.2 1.3 1.0 23.1 50.8
7–25 April 2017 CBS-Axa 52.7 3.7 3.5 1.1 3.7 1.3 6.0 26.6 1.0 0.4 26.1 60.3
23 March–17 April 2017 BOP 43.6 0.2 4.3 4.9 1.0 4.1 1.7 6.0 32.2 1.0 1.0 11.4 75
10–19 March 2017 Ziarul Timpul FOP 54.2 0.6 2.6 4.3 0.6 2.5 1.4 5.6 28.2 - 26.0 89.3
13 February–7 March 2017 IRI 36.0 <1.0 4.0 4.0 <1.0 6.0 1.0 5.0 29.0 4.0 7.0 87
18–27 January 2017 CBS-AXA 51.2 4.2 4.3 0.5 3.2 0.9 5.8 28.5 1.5 22.7 63.3
2–10 January 2017 ASDM 49.0 1.0 3.5 9.5 1.5 8.0 2.0 12.0 11.0 2.5 37.0 77
13 November 2016 Igor Dodon (PSRM) is elected the President of Moldova
6–16 October 2016 IPP 39.0 1.0 4.0 11.5 1.5 11.5 2.5 13.0 14.0 2.0 25.0 67
29 September–9 October 2016 Intellect Grup 32.0 1.0 6.5 16.5 2.0 9.0 3.5 13.0 15.5 1.0 15.5 79
28 September–5 October 2016 ASDM 34.4 1.9 6.5 11.4 4.0 9.3 5.6 14.3 12.6 - 20.1 -
21 September–8 October 2016 CCSM 32.2 1.5 3.2 15.8 2.8 7.9 5.1 11.6 19.8 - 12.4 78.3
19–28 September 2016 Intellect Grup 30.6 1.4 7.2 14.4 4.1 10.1 4.2 13.2 15.0 - 15.6 83.5
14–25 September 2016 CBS-AXA 35.6 0.7 7.3 13.5 3.2 13.3 3.9 12.7 9.9 - 12.1 82.2
1–23 September 2016 IRI 29.0 5.0 12.0 1.0 8.0 3.0 13.0 14.0 1.0 15.0 86
2–10 September 2016 ASDM 27.7 2.7 8.7 11.9 5.5 11.5 7.9 10.3 13.8 - 13.8 92.6
11–24 June 2016 Intellect Grup 23.0 1.7 11.6 10.9 4.4 15.9 4.9 10.9 16.9 - 6.1 76.9
21 May–15 June 2016 FOP 28.7 1.5 8.6 8.0 3.3 13.6 7.2 12.4 16.7 - 12.0 91.5
May 2016 NDI 21.0 <1.0 12.0 8.0 5.0 13.0 5.0 18.0 16.0 - 3.0 76
16–23 April 2016 IPP 28.0 0.5 8.0 5.0 2.5 19.0 5.0 14.0 17.5 0.5 9.0 64
1–10 April 2016 ASDM 21.0 3.5 7.5 7.5 6.0 14.5 6.5 16.0 9.0 8.5 5.0 84
11–25 March 2016 IRI 20.0 2.0 6.0 7.0 2.0 21.0 4.0 12.0 12.0 2.0 1.0 88
11–20 March 2016 FOP 24.5 0.5 10.0 7.0 3.0 18.0 7.0 15.0 14.5 0.5 6.5 88
10–21 February 2016 ASDM 22.0 3.0 8.0 8.5 7.5 16.5 8.5 17.5 8.5 5.5 78
5–13 February 2016 CBS-AXA 21.5 1.0 5.0 7.0 2.0 33.0 6.0 14.0 10.5 - 11.5 60
8–16 January 2016 ASDM 23.5 3.0 7.0 9.0 8.0 20.5 9.0 12.5 7.5 3.0 72
11–30 November 2015 NDI 21.0 3.0 12.5 5.5 7.0 22.5 10.0 17.0 1.5 1.5 71
8 November–1 December 2015 IPP 15.0 3.0 10.5 9.0 7.5 23.5 10.5 18.0 3.0 5.5 67
10–18 November 2015 ASDM 22.5 3.5 7.5 9.5 8.0 21.0 9.5 8.5 10.0 1.5 72
29 September–21 October 2015 IRI 15.0 3.0 7.0 5.0 5.0 20.0 12.0 7.0 2.0 7.0 76
10–18 September 2015 CBS-AXA 20.0 7.5 10.0 6.5 9.5 23.0 10.0 7.0 6.5 3.0 56
14 June 2015 Local elections 16.6 18.3 10.2 17.6 12.6 11.1 7.6 0.3 6.0 0.7 49
6–18 May 2015 CBS-AXA 28.6 8.7 15.5 6.8 11.7 14.8 14.0 - 13.1 60
1–12 April 2015 ASDM 25.5 14.0 15.5 11.5 15.0 8.5 7.5 2.5 10.0 -
1–26 March 2015 NDI 17.0 10.0 15.0 11.0 13.0 18.0 17.0 7.0 - 1.0 72
22 February–4 March 2015 CBS-AXA 20.8 15.9 20.5 8.2 20.8 9.3 4.4 - 0.0 61
January 2015 CBS-AXA 23.3 21.3 22.8 14.6 18.0 - 0.5 60
30 November 2014 Parliamentary elections 20.5 20.2 17.5 15.8 9.7 16.3 0.3 57

References

  1. Vițu, Valeria. "24 februarie 2019, ziua alegerilor parlamentare în R.Moldova". RFI (in Romanian).
  2. Hundreds Protest In Moldova Against New Electoral Law
  3. New Electoral Law in Moldova Criticised as a Tool to Keep Power
  4. Electoral system IPU
  5. Hundreds Protest In Moldova Against New Electoral Law
  6. Anti-Mixed Voting Coalition backs referendum initiative
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