< Radiation Oncology < Breast < DCIS


Van Nuys Prognostic Classification:

  • Group 1 Non-high nuclear grade without necrosis
  • Group 2 Non-high nuclear grade with necrosis
  • Group 3 High nuclear grade with or without necrosis


Original Van Nuys Prognostic Index (VNPI) Scoring Index
Parameter1 Point2 Points3 Points
Van Nuys ClassificationGroup 1Group 2Group 3
Clear Margin> or = 10 mm1-9 mm<1 mm
Lesion Size< or = 15 mm16-40 mm> 41 mm
Final Score
Group 13 - 4 points3.8% Recurrence93% 8 year disease free
Group 25 - 7 points11.1% Recurrence84% 8 year disease free
Group 38 - 9 points26.5% Recurrence61 % 8 year disease free


Updated USC / Van Nuys Prognostic Index (VNPI)
Parameter1 Point2 Points3 Points
Van Nuys ClassificationGroup 1Group 2Group 3
Clear Margin> or = 10 mm1-9 mm<1 mm
Lesion Size< or = 15 mm16-40 mm> 41 mm
Age61 or older40 - 6039 or younger
Updated USC / Van Nuys - Total Score
ScoreLocal recurrence5-yr and 10-yr local RFS
4 - 6 points1%99% / 97%
7 - 9 points20%84% / 73%
10 - 12 points50%51% / 34%


References:

  • 2003 Updated USC/VNPI PMID 14553846 Full text -- "The University of Southern California/Van Nuys prognostic index for ductal carcinoma in situ of the breast." (Silverstein MJ, Am J Surg. 2003 Oct;186(4):337-43.)
    • Added age
    • Score 4-6 : no statistical difference in 12-yr local RFS for pts treated with vs without RT
    • Score 7-9 : 12-15% improvement with RT
    • Score 10-12 : benefit with RT, but very high risk of recurrence despite RT
    • Conclusion: Recommend excision alone for scores 4-6. RT for scores 7-9. Consider mastectomy for scores 10-12
  • 1999 Subsequent report on margins: PMID 10320383 Full text, 1999 (1979-1998) "The influence of margin width on local control of ductal carcinoma in situ of the breast." Silverstein MJ et al. N Engl J Med. 1999 May 13;340(19):1455-61.
    • Retrospective. 469 pts. Pts treated until 1989 received post-op RT and those treated after 1989 did not. RT was 40-50 Gy to whole breast + 16-20 Gy boost. Tumors were assessed for histologic subtype, nuclear grade, comedonecrosis, maximal diameter, and margin width. Margins were classified as close or involved (<1 mm), intermediate (1 to <10 mm), or wide.
    • RT decreased the recurrence rate for close or involved margins; for intermediate or wide margins, was not statistically different.
    • Conclusion: RT is not necessary for margins > 10 mm.
  • 1996 First report PMID 8635094 "A prognostic index for ductal carcinoma in situ of the breast." Silverstein MJ et al (and Lewinsky BS). Cancer. 1996 Jun 1;77(11):2267-74.
    • Came up with Van Nuys Prognostic Index (VNPI). Combines tumor size, margin width, histologic classification. Score 1-3 for each to arrive at a total score of 3-9.
    • Evaluated 333 pts treated with excision alone or excision + RT.
    • For pts with VNPI score of 3-4, excellent recurrence free survival (100% vs 97%) whether or not RT was used. For VNPI scores of 5-7, there was a 17% decrease (85% vs 68%) in RFS when RT was used. For score of 8-9, recurrence rate > 60% despite RT.
    • Conclusion: recommend excision alone for score of 3-4, excision + RT for score of 5-7, and mastectomy for 8-9.


Alternative

  • PMID 16750316 -- "Rationalization and regionalization of treatment for ductal carcinoma in situ of the breast." (Smith GL, Int J Radiat Oncol Biol Phys. 2006 Aug 1;65(5):1397-403.) Used classification below for cohort study:


Alternative
ParameterAgeSizeHistology
0 Points 61+<=15 mmGrade I-II
1 Points 40-6016-40 mmGrade I-II + Necrosis
2 Points <40>40 mmGrade III
  • Low risk: 0
  • Intermediate risk: 1-2
  • High risk: 3-6
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